http://www.theage.com.au/world/politicians-grasp-indonesia-challenge--now-business-needs-to-catch-up-20121012-27i0y.html
Politicians grasp Indonesia challenge - now business needs to catch up
  Date, October 13, 2012 
 
Hamish McDonald
Asia-Pacific editor, Sydney Morning Herald

 
Flashpoint … protesters in Sydney call for Australia to grant asylum to 43 
Papuans who arrived by boat in 2006. Photo: Reuters

Just over a month ago, popular Darwin identity Vikki Riley was riding her bike 
on one of her regular visits to asylum seekers at the Airport Lodge, a motel 
turned into a detention centre, when she was swiped by a car and killed.

Two days later, John Madigan rose in the Senate and proposed a condolence 
motion, noting among other things her ''advocacy on behalf of refugees and the 
people of West Papua and East Timor''.

The sole Democratic Labor Party senator was then approached by floor managers 
of the main parties and told that unless the Papua reference was removed, his 
motion would fail. In the vote it did fail, its 11 crossbench supporters 
outvoted by 37 no-votes, most from Labor, with many absenting themselves.

To human rights activists watching with increasing alarm the rising level of 
protest and punishment in closed-off Papua, with hardline members of the 
Indonesian parliament's foreign affairs and defence committee last week calling 
for the military to be unleashed, it seemed a particularly craven example of 
expedient silence

To others it would be an example of how our politicians are now wary about 
being led into the most explosive issue in relations with Indonesia, if a 
little excessively in this instance.

''We have at last learnt to be sensitive about Papua,'' says Ken Ward, a former 
Indonesia specialist with Canberra's Office of National Assessments, although 
he was not referring to this case. ''That's something you can credit Australian 
politicians with. They do realise they can't idly talk about oppression in 
Papua or anything like that without really infuriating the Indonesians.''

The decade since the first Bali bombings is widely seen as a crisis turned to 
advantage. It wiped away Australia's role in the independence of East Timor as 
an active Indonesian grievance.

The co-operation between the Australian Federal Police and Indonesia's 
Detachment 88 special police unit in the hunt for the terrorists became a 
paradigm for a bilateral relationship rated by Canberra as ''never better'', 
particularly after the conciliatory Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono was elected 
Indonesia's President in 2004.

Yet it remains prone to disruption on several hot-button issues. When 43 
Papuans crossed the Torres Strait by small boat and were given temporary asylum 
in 2006, Yudhoyono recalled his ambassador from Canberra, a step never taken by 
even his predecessors Sukarno and Suharto during much more serious flare-ups.

Indonesian politicians remain alert for even the slightest hint of Australians 
of any institutional standing questioning the territorial integrity of their 
country, as criticism about Papua tends to be seen. John Howard's hurried 
Lombok Treaty gave a specific guarantee on Papua, but suspicion lingers. One 
Jakarta conspiracy theory even saw the stationing of US marines in Darwin not 
as a ''pivot'' against China, but as staging point for intervening in Papua.

Yudhoyono and his ministers know that it's not, but it's one of several cases 
where politicians on one or other side feel compelled to talk more loudly in 
public than effective diplomacy demands.

With our politicos, it's terrorism and boat people. As Ward notes, Indonesia is 
willing to co-operate against Jemaah Islamiyah, but the incessant public praise 
from Australian leaders is embarrassing in domestic politics. ''The Indonesians 
don't like to hear it because they provide the terrorists that we are 
co-operating about,'' Ward says. ''We are mindlessly scratching an Indonesian 
sore.''

Beneath the police co-operation, the relationship still needs a lot more 
content. Tourism from Australia understandably took a dive after the bombings, 
but is now well above pre-attack levels, with 800,000 visitors last year and 
586,000 by this July. From the 75,000 to 100,000 surfie visitors to the Eat, 
Pray, Love crowd at Ubud, and Pilbara miners using it as home, the island of 
Bali is being loved and overdeveloped by Australians - an escapist cliche 
epitomised by the AAMI ad, showing ''Rhonda'' using her saved insurance 
premiums for a Bali escape and discovery of a handsome young ''Ketut''.

Yet the government relationship is still asymmetrical, despite a huge aid 
budget and pledges by both main parties to raise it to a first-grade strategic 
partnership. Indonesians have little interest in Australia, or much else 
outside their nervously watched frontiers.

''Certainly in our dealings with the Indonesian intelligence agency, 
discussions on anything outside Indonesia were always one-way,'' Ward recalls. 
''They had no expertise at all. Even now there is no think tank about China.''

Indonesia's ''passive'' international stance is partly a blessing, Ward adds.

Indonesia opposed the US invasions of Iraq and Afghanistan, and does not 
recognise Israel. ''Hidden from the surface at the moment is a very big gap in 
our perceptions of the outside world, particularly related to the Middle East 
and American behaviour,'' he says. ''If that comes to the surface it's going to 
be a fairly nasty shock for Australia.''

The tail of expertise behind Australia's presence in Jakarta has also 
atrophied. Australian correspondents there are pressed by news editors for 
stories about terrorists, people smugglers and drug arrests, not profiles of 
Indonesian politicians, social movements or companies. Indonesian language 
study has been steadily disappearing from our schools and universities, 
although Sydney University's Adrian Vickers says student numbers have recently 
picked up, and an easing of Canberra's travel advice earlier this year has 
allowed language immersion visits to get insurance cover.

Wider interest in Indonesia expertise might return if more Australian 
companies, beyond the ANZ and Commonwealth banks and several miners, joined the 
multinational investment rush into Indonesia, where $US30 billion of foreign 
direct investment is likely to be approved this year.

Patrick Alexander, a former Australian diplomat-turned-venture capitalist in 
Jakarta, says Australian business has been generally slow to pick up on the 
structural change in the Indonesian economy since the 1997-98 Asian financial 
crisis.

Domestic demand pulled the economy out of a long slump by 2004, and now 
Indonesia is seen not as a sweatshop manufacturing zone for cheap exports but 
as the biggest component of a south-east Asia-wide market for sophisticated 
products and services and it is best placed to supply it. Companies from 
Europe, Japan and South Korea, America, China and India are piling in.

''I don't field many questions about terrorism these days,'' Alexander says. 
''What people are worried about is about infrastructure: where will they be 
able to locate their factories; is it going to be too difficult to get the 
goods to the port?''

''The real problem with Australia is that it looks upon Indonesia more as a 
trading opportunity and less as an investment opportunity,'' he says, adding 
that with 6 per cent average growth, Indonesia will outgrow Australia in 
economic size within a decade. ''That will make Australian businesses sit up.

''But they should be sitting up and taking a look at it now.''


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