http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/jordans-abdullah-urges-diplomatic-action-to-end-syrian-conflict/2013/04/25/67f95f32-adbc-11e2-a986-eec837b1888b_story.html?wpisrc=nl_headlines


Jordan’s Abdullah urges diplomatic action to end Syrian conflict.
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By Joby Warrick, Published: April 26 
Jordan is urging the Obama administration to intensify efforts to find a 
political settlement to the Syrian conflict, warning that its northern neighbor 
appears increasingly headed toward either anarchy or a breakup that could 
imperil the region for decades to come.

Jordan’s monarch, King Abdullah II, presented a blunt assessment of the 
two-year-old conflict during meetings this week with congressional leaders and 
White House officials, citing evidence that a long-feared splintering of Syria 
along sectarian and tribal lines appears to be speeding up.

Video

 
President Obama said Friday that any use of chemical weapons by Syria would be 
a "game changer," but he cautioned that the United States needs more evidence 
that President Assad has used the deadly agents against his people.


 
Sen. Patrick Leahy, Democrat of Vermont, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid 
(L) greet King Abdullah II of Jordan prior to meetings in Washington.


At the White House on Friday, the king described a “fragmentation of Syrian 
society, which is becoming more and more alarming.”

“We’re now seeing the surge of the second threat appear, which is that of 
militant terrorist organizations that have risen over the past several months,” 
Abdullah told reporters at the start of the meeting, his second with President 
Obama in a month.

Despite military gains by the rebels in some parts of Syria, Jordanian 
intelligence officials see potential for a protracted struggle lasting many 
more months or even longer, with neither side capable of a decisive victory. 
Left on its current trajectory, the conflict will result in “a Taliban-style 
failed state, or a series of small mini-states,” said a senior Jordanian 
official, insisting on anonymity in discussing intelligence assessments. “We’re 
looking at the potential for sectarian spillover, threatening the whole region.”

U.S. and Jordanian officials familiar with Abdullah’s congressional briefings 
said the monarch was particularly concerned about the growing dominance of 
al-Qaeda-aligned Islamist militants. Jordanian officials warned that the 
Islamists could be a destabilizing force in the region for years and could even 
come to power in some provinces if the country breaks apart.

Despite the failure of previous initiatives, the king urged a renewed attempt 
at a negotiated settlement as the only realistic path toward ending the 
conflict without splintering the country or condemning it to endless bloodshed. 
But he has acknowledged that such a settlement would not be acceptable to the 
rebels as long as President Bashar al-Assad remains in power.

A more immediate worry for Jordan is the burden of caring for more than a 
half-million Syrian refugees who have sought sanctuary there since the start of 
the conflict two years ago. The king has asked for $850 million in new U.S. aid 
this year to help Jordan cope with the flood of refugees that threatens to 
overwhelm the kingdom, a resource-poor country of 6 million that already was 
struggling with high unemployment, chronic water shortages and energy-supply 
disruptions before the crisis began.

Jordan’s largest Syrian refugee camp, known as Zaatari, has swollen to 125,000 
inhabitants, making it essentially Jordan’s fifth-largest city. By the end of 
the year, the number of refugees in Jordan is projected to surpass 1 million, 
straining the capacity of the country’s schools and hospitals.

A key U.S. ally in the region, Jordan has partnered with the Obama 
administration on initiatives ranging from counterterrorism operations to the 
Israeli-Palestinian peace process while also providing a staging ground for 
humanitarian relief since the start of the Syrian crisis. Abdullah has publicly 
denied published reports that his security services are providing military 
training for Syrian rebels.

Obama promised more U.S. support for Jordan and praised Abdullah for the 
country’s recent efforts at political reform, saying he believed Jordan “can be 
an extraordinary model for effective governance in the region.”

Jordan, which was spared the kind of massive unrest that swept many of its 
neighbors during the Arab Spring uprisings, held historic parliamentary 
elections this year that drew nearly 60 percent of the country’s eligible 
voters.

The polls were judged fair by international observers, although political 
parties aligned with the Islamist Muslim Brotherhood movement boycotted the 
vote, arguing that election rules unfairly restricted their ability to contest 
seats.

U.S. officials fear that turbulence from Syria could complicate Abdullah’s 
efforts to implement economic and political reforms. Jordan was rocked by 
violent protests in November after the government lifted subsidies on gasoline 
and other fuels to comply with International Monetary Fund requirements.

Economic pressures have fueled popular resentment against the refugees, who are 
competing with Jordanians for a limited pool of jobs and housing.


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