On Wed, 16 May 2001, lists wrote:

> > There is some debate between the optimists who argue that address space
> > will be so large and plentiful that ISPs will just hand out /48's to each
> > customer in accordance with IESG recommendations, and the pessimists who
> > argue that ISPs will charge extra for anything they can, and will continue
> > to charge much $$ for address space because that is the situation with
> > IPv4.
>
> Except that it's cheaper for the ISP to hand out /48's than to have billing
> for 2 or more separate sized IP blocks -- as long as getting additional blocks
> from the RIR is "easy". Stop thinking as if you're still caught in an economy
> of scarcity...(grin)

Heh.  OK, so if the registries all agree that giving each customer a /48
whether they want it or not is a good use of address space, then I'm sure
that's the path the ISPs will take.  But as Dan Lanciani points out, ISPs
could easily filter out (2^48 - n) IP addresses in your /48, where n is
proportional to your monthly bill.  Regardless of how it is enforced, it
is a question of whether the restriction exists at all.

> > The odd conclusion of this argument is that we *need* NAT for IPv6, just
> > to keep the ISPs in check.  If the IETF takes any measures to make NATv6
> > infeasible, the IPv4 pricing paradigm will continue, regardless of how
> > available address space becomes.  -Nathan
>
> We also expect that NAT won't work for the next wave of killer apps as it
> doesn't preserve end-to-end semantics. So your argument is half right on as
> long as the usage of the internet is restricted to current applications (ie.
> the web as an alternative to TV).

I agree that NAT breaks a lot of things.  But I still maintain that the
software will always kludge around it, even if that takes a very ugly
kludge.  In particular, SIP has a lot of workarounds for NATs and other
firewalls, and I would expect that many of the future end-to-end killer
apps will be based on it.  -Nathan

-- 
+-------------------+---------------------+------------------------+
| Nathan Lutchansky | [EMAIL PROTECTED] |  Lithium Technologies  |
+------------------------------------------------------------------+
|  I dread success.  To have succeeded is to have finished one's   |
|  business on earth...  I like a state of continual becoming,     |
|  with a goal in front and not behind. - George Bernard Shaw      |
+------------------------------------------------------------------+


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