> > The probability of a collision using random choice is not a paradox. Its
> > a simple calculation, using the formula as given in the document.
> 
> Well, the birthday paradox isn't really a paradox either.
> > 
> > The observation is that even though the /8 space contains
> > 1.1 trillion entries, there is a greater than 0.5 probability that there will
> > be a clash after some 1.2 million draws. Normally this would not matter in the
> > slightest, BUT the proposal also notes a potential to use these addresses
> > in the context of end point identifiers, and in such a case there is
> > a strict requirement for uniqueness, and my observation is that self-driven
> > random choice is inadequate. Its not a paradox risk. Its just the underlying
> > mathematics of random draw probabilities.
> 

Actually, I believe we do not have a birthday paradox issue in this case.
The birthday paradox would exist only if ALL 1.2 million self-drawn prefixes would see 
each other.
However, in our scenario, the merging of two enterprises, only the two local prefixes 
may collide with each other.
They can not collide with the other 1.2 million or any other number of prefixes out 
there.
Thus, the probability remains 2^-40.

Regards,

-- Nir Arad

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