There was a front page article in the San Jose Mercury-News two weeks ago (on the anniversary of the Hayward Fault quake that you mentioned). They said that there is a running average of 140 years between big ones, and this is the 139th anniversary. It might be time for Albert Lehr to get out his surfboard, 'cuz there's gonna be a 7.000034 closeby.
Mike Russ Edmunds <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: --- "Donald K. Kaskey" wrote: > > -------------True Russ but the two faults are so close together that > the seismologists are speculating on how this Calaveras quake will > affect the Hayward fault, since a biggie has been > predicted on that fault within the next 30 years (give or take an > eon). Keeps em working and out of the bars I'd say. > > Yes. They are close and both originate to the south from the San Andreas system down in the Morgan Hill area. One could probably speculate either that this will relieve pressue on the Hayward, thus delaying it or one could argue that this builds them up, bringing it sooner. May as well stick with any prior prediction. The last major one on the Hayward was in the 1860's, IIRC. Given a predicted period of about 150 years +/- 30, yours above is right there. Russ Edmunds Blue Bell, PA ( 360' ASL ) [15 mi NNW of Philadelphia] 40:08:45N; 75:16:04W, Grid FN20id FM: Yamaha T-80 & Onkyo T-450RDS w/ APS9B @15' AM: Hammarlund HQ-150 & 4' FET air core loop __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around http://mail.yahoo.com _______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list [email protected] http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: [email protected] __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam protection around http://mail.yahoo.com _______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list [email protected] http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: [email protected]
