That is all well and good, but since the experts took nearly two years deciding whether or not we had entered Cycle 24, and ultimately deciding we had done so a year or so prior, IMHO this is either 1) a perception of the obvious at present which is potentially pretty accurate or 2) a prediction which will prove to be wrong in a year or so.
I am reluctant to accept that we are 3 years into Cycle 24, and that's the assumption the prediction is based on, partially based on my comments above. If I am correct, then the maximum may not be hit until a year or perhaps more beyond what is predicted here., and as a result, the number predicted is probably low. Russ Edmunds 15 mi NNW of Philadelphia Grid FN20id <[email protected]> FM: Yamaha T-80 & Onkyo T-450RDS w/ APS9B @15'; Grundig G8 AM: Modified Sony ICF 2010's barefoot --- On Thu, 5/3/12, Nick Hall-Patch <[email protected]> wrote: > From: Nick Hall-Patch <[email protected]> > Subject: [IRCA] latest solar cycle prediction > To: "Mailing list for the International Radio Club of America" > <[email protected]> > Date: Thursday, May 3, 2012, 2:48 PM > NASA's latest solar maximum > prediction: > > > http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml > > > Not surprisingly, it's now predicted to be very low, given > the rather low sunspot numbers up until > now. As one wag pointed out, at what > point does a prediction become an observation? > > The above site does give some interesting background as to > how the predictions are made. > > best wishes, > > Nick > > > > _______________________________________________ > IRCA mailing list > [email protected] > http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca > > Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are > those of the original contributors and do not necessarily > reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing > staff, or officers > > For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org > > To Post a message: [email protected] > > _______________________________________________ IRCA mailing list [email protected] http://montreal.kotalampi.com/mailman/listinfo/irca Opinions expressed in messages on this mailing list are those of the original contributors and do not necessarily reflect the opinion of the IRCA, its editors, publishing staff, or officers For more information: http://www.ircaonline.org To Post a message: [email protected]
