On Mar 25, 1:54 pm, Joshua Marinacci <[email protected]> wrote:
> That's why caching is  
> important and why JavaFX hitting 100m downloads of the runtime is  
> important. It means that there are 100m desktops that can run your  
> JavaFX app without having to download the runtime. (100m was in feb,  
> i'm sure it's 200m+ by now).

Downloads don't matter because of the "multiple download problem",
runtime penetration does.  I believe that since JDK 6u11, JavaFX is
included in the JDK, so I already racked up two JavaFX downloads
because I got u11 and u12, and I will get one more with each new JDK
release.  The same is true for JRE downloads, if the JRE includes
JavaFX.

So the JavaFX team should publish the penetration rates, similar to
Flash (http://www.adobe.com/products/player_census/flashplayer/
version_penetration.html), as a better way to measure how widely
distributed JavaFX is.

Also after a while, you will have exhausted all the computers that
JavaFX can get to easily (early adopters, JDK 1.6 auto-update), and
then it becomes a lot harder to gain more market share.  Look at
Microsoft: They push Silverlight through their web page, through
Windows Update and through attractive content, and they don't even
publish their penetration rate, probably because it's too low (said to
be about 25% worldwide).
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