Joshua Marinacci wrote:
> And when was the last pandemic? 90 years ago?
There abouts, yes.

Most health experts are convinced another one /will /occur, however -- 
especially given the speed and quantity of travel today.

The question is when -- but there seems to be agreement that the current 
swine flu outbreak isn't it.
> On Apr 29, 2009, at 9:01 AM, Jess Holle wrote:
>> True enough -- for most flus.
>>
>> Health officials are quite worried of something like the last flu 
>> pandemic, though -- in that it caused healthy people's immune systems 
>> to go into overdrive and hit the young healthy adults hard.
>>
>> Sure we have antivirals, etc, now, but it's not clear that they'd be 
>> enough in terms of efficacy or quantity.
>>
>> Health officials are generally not worried that the current strains 
>> of swine flu have this potential, though.  The swine flu's potency 
>> does not appear to be anywhere near that of the bird flu of a few 
>> years back and that was nothing like the potency of the last flu 
>> pandemic.  There's reason to worry, but there's no clear reason to 
>> worry that much about *this* outbreak -- unless your immune system is 
>> already on shaky ground or you have no access to good health care.
>>
>> --
>> Jess Holle
>>
>> Joshua Marinacci wrote:
>>> When *treated* the flu annoying rather than fatal.  When you hear  
>>> about millions of people dying of the flu (like what used to happen  
>>> every 30 years or so in centuries past) it was because of lack of  
>>> sanitation, lack of healthcare, lack of clean water, etc.  It is very  
>>> rare for a healthy person in a first world nation to die of the flu.
>>> - J
>>>
>>> On Apr 28, 2009, at 12:02 AM, [email protected] wrote:
>>>   
>>>> ----- Original Message -----
>>>> Da : James Williams <[email protected]>
>>>> A : The Java Posse <[email protected]>
>>>> Oggetto : [The Java Posse] Re: Noro Virus on JavaOne 2008,
>>>> Swine Flu on JavaOne 2009?
>>>> Data : Mon, 27 Apr 2009 23:29:57 -0700 (PDT)
>>>>
>>>>     
>>>>> I think the EU was a bit premature in their
>>>>> recommendations.
>>>>>       
>>>> Indeed EU didn't make (yet) any specific recommendations on
>>>> travels. The EU "health minister" spoke "on her own behalf"
>>>> (clearly public officers shouldn't talk on their own behalf
>>>> and it was an unfortunate action).
>>>>
>>>> Nobody knows what will happen three weeks from now. The
>>>> spread could be worse or better; from my point of view I'm
>>>> interested in being explained why there have been dead
>>>> people in Mexico and no in USA or elsewhere (as numbers
>>>> increase, it becomes less and less likely to be just due to
>>>> low figures). It could turn out that there is some specific
>>>> worsening factor in Mexico and the bug is less dangerous as
>>>> we think. I repeat, who knows. It's useless to think about
>>>> it _now_.
>>>>
>>>> -- 
>>>> f.g.
>>>>
>>>> -- 
>>>> Fabrizio Giudici, Ph.D. - Java Architect, Project Manager
>>>> Tidalwave s.a.s. - "We make Java work. Everywhere."
>>>> weblogs.java.net/blog/fabriziogiudici -
>>>> www.tidalwave.it/blog
>>>> [email protected] - mobile: +39 348.150.6941
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>     
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>   
>>
>>
>>
>>
>
>
> >


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