Technically I'd say JavaFX is pretty cool stuff.  If Sun's layoffs 
didn't set it back too awfully it should be much cooler around the end 
of the year.

In terms of the market momentum/inertia, etc, I'd say it has an uphill 
battle.

That said, I'd put some of the "it's doomed" comments in the wishful 
thinking category.  Why?  Because those making them have invested 
heavily in other technologies in this space and want the technology 
they've already invested in to dominate so they don't have to invest 
time and energy into learning anything else.  Thus they really wish 
JavaFX would go away -- and do so as quickly as possible.  You can see 
similar comments with similar motivations in many technology/product 
spaces from those using the dominating product, e.g. from Eclipse 
devotees regarding NetBeans, Windows users to users of other OS's, etc.

Now these folk may be right, unfortunately, but I think their comments 
have a lot to do with their desire for a simple market dominated by the 
technology they already know than anything else.

Overall I don't see JavaFX taking up huge market share in the short 
term, but I believe it will at least carve out a niche for itself -- 
unless the EU mess drags the Sun/Oracle merger long enough to completely 
kill Sun before Oracle can complete the merger.

Of course I like to see the underdog shake up and diversify markets that 
are dominated by only a player or two, so maybe I'm just optimistic :-)

--
Jess Holle

Jan Goyvaerts wrote:
> I was wondering who read this brief article and especially the 
> comments to it. Do you people agree to the general idea of the 
> comments that JavaFX is a failure asking to be happening ? Personally, 
> I believe it's the greatest thing that's happening since Java came 
> out. (Which was also said to be sluggish btw...)
>
> http://www.theserverside.com/news/thread.tss?thread_id=58536&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+techtarget/tsscom/home+(TheServerSide.com:+Your+Enterprise+Java+Community)
>  
> <http://www.theserverside.com/news/thread.tss?thread_id=58536&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+techtarget/tsscom/home+%28TheServerSide.com:+Your+Enterprise+Java+Community%29>

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