> First the bad news, and it really is quite bad: The spec sucks balls
> (loads of copied C code with no explanation, and the C code isn't well
> commented either), and if anything it doesn't steer around the
> gigantic patent pool of the MPEG consortium as well as Ogg/Theora
> does. In that sense you'd think nothing really changed. Good choices
> for the infrastructure (Matroshka as container format, and Vorbis as
> audio format), but with a crappy spec and no further technical reason
> to believe that VP8 is any more safe from litigation than Theora, that
> would seem to be the end of the road. Horrible news.

Yeah I read Diary Of An x264 Developer too [http://
x264dev.multimedia.cx/?p=377], however, if anyone has incentives to
invest in codex spec and impl it would be Google. They are after all
pushing 2bn YouTube video's daily.

> But that's not actually what seems to be happening, so here comes the
> great news: Somehow google convinced a boatload of companies that
> somehow they've got a handle on the patent issues.

As I understand it, VP8 specifically avoids venturing near some of the
h.264 patents (B-frames, 8×8 transform...). That had got to be part of
the trade-of, slightly inferior corners but open source and free from
litigation.

> microsoft promised WebM would work *IF* the codec is installed. If a
> service pack or automatically installed patch doesn't do this, that's
> not much help.

Yeah agreed, slightly scary. But hopefully Microsoft will have figured
out how to load codecs and updates automatically and in a non-invasive
way.

>  + For *future* mobile devices Google's got AMD, ARM, NVidia,
> Broadcom, Freescale, *AND* Qualcomm on board. Colour me impressed.
> That's a big share of smartphone silicon. (Salient point: Oracle and
> therefore java is also on board!)

Also note, Intel is missing from the puzzle.

>  + Technically, even though spec-wise WebM sucks, it *IS* a pragmatic
> format, amongst other things 'hardcoding' the video and audio codecs.
> With enough interest the horrible spec will be overcome by a number of
> open source implementations, and with enough implementations, the spec
> will become managable.

We should also point out that WebM isn't inferior on all points, i.e.
it appears to be significantly more suitable for live streaming than h.
264.

> Interesting times. If I were a betting man I'd probably still put my
> money on H.264 (regrettably!) but I'd be very hesitant.

It's an uphill battle, but I'm counting on VP8 to attract attention
from the right people; and also see an analogy to GIF vs. PNG -
especially if/when MPEG-LA starts to milk their cash cow in 2016.

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