I beg to differ.. We cannot measure or comment on what movies say..Maybe Kurzweil is right, but I do agree that machines are becoming better.
There is so much work happening at the decision level as transaction level systems are almost done now(or easy to implement)... Layers over layers get built gradually and I strongly feel that the efforts of AI experts will bear fruits soon.. UK hospitals are using robots. In Japan, there are cameras that analyze software,learn & then suggest shopping items to in-walkin clients. Robotics,machine learning ate changing lives.. Who thought earlier that we could measure projects..Today I hv set up sonar/maven on MY RULES and the system was so good in measuring faults(with types of faults error and severity).. Plz..I too think that you seem to be sticking to your past technologies. It(technology) has changed. Please give your expert advise, in line with all these developments. Just curious, have you noticed how easy s/w development has become and how computers (in mobiles to nuclear reactors to space to military ) are influencing us..The only thing lacking is the self-evolving algorithm being fully utilized by the robots... And yes,that will happen one day..Dr. rzweil,you are a great guy.... Regards, jd On 7/13/10, Vince O'Sullivan <[email protected]> wrote: > On Jul 13, 1:31 pm, Reinier Zwitserloot <[email protected]> wrote: >> I'm thinking this too isn't true, and you're just suffering from >> 'everything was better in the past' syndrome. > > No, it wasn't better n the past. I'm just saying it's not as much > better now > as people think it is. > >> Programmers have become >> _VASTLY_ more efficient at what they do, and most research points this >> out. The nice sounding (but bollocks) notion that programmers aren't >> any more efficient today than they were decades ago comes from >> research that looks purely at algorithms. > > My premise is not that programmers have or haven't changed but that > computers haven't. Computers still offer > no intelligent or creative input into the development process. It was > widely believed, thirty years ago, that > computers such as HAL (a fictional computer from the film "2001") > would exist by now and that they would > take over much of the role of the programmer. That hasn't even begun > to have happened and may never happen. > Meanwhile, the programmers are still doing all the intelligent stuff, > just as they've always one. > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "The Java Posse" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]. > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/javaposse?hl=en. > > -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "The Java Posse" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/javaposse?hl=en.
