I do not think switching to a 3.x version number accomplishes much of
anything (even if we had done so several weeks ago, when the big
changes were landing). I would much rather see Jenkins switch to
either a date-based scheme, or just some opaque incrementing number
like we have but without the meaningless `2.` prefix. Jenkins releases
break compatibility for someone, somehow, all the time; a number tells
you nothing about whether _you_ will be affected. We need to publish
clear, concise upgrade guides; encourage users to make backups or use
a config-as-code workflow; and of course try as hard as we can to not
break compatibility to begin with! In the case of JEP-227 & JEP-228
there have already been extensive plugin fixes released and few users
should actually be affected. Tables-to-divs has apparently caused more
regressions, but these should all be fixable long before the LTS.

In theory SemVer could be useful for libraries. In practice it seems
like a false promise to me. It is your tests which will tell you if an
upgrade is compatible, not some upstream maintainer’s fantasy.
Dependabot actually _keeps score_ and tells you whether a given update
broke CI for other people, which seems like far more valuable
information.

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