---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: John Ashworth <[email protected]>
Date: Tue, Mar 15, 2011 at 8:23 AM
Subject: [sudan-john-ashworth] Fw: Sudan talks break down
To: Group <[email protected]>


I tend to agree with Claire in the Guardian piece (below):
brinkmanship, posturing and accusations of bad faith are a normal part
of negotiations between these two parties where there is so little
trust.

John

BEGIN

1. Sudan talks break down as south accuses Khartoum of arming rebels

Bashir regime accused of funding and training militias to destabilise
south before country's division after referendum

   * Xan Rice in Nairobi
   * guardian.co.uk, Monday 14 March 2011 13.09 GMT

Southern Sudan has suspended talks with the northern government after
accusing President Omar al-Bashir's regime of arming rebel groups
before the country's split in July.

The move comes amid a sharp increase in tensions in recent weeks, with
hundreds of people killed in clashes in the south, and along the
north-south border. In the latest fighting, up to 42 people were
killed after militiamen attacked Malakal, a state capital, on
Saturday.

Announcing their withdrawal from key negotiations on Sunday, southern
officials accused Bashir of using proxy forces to weaken the south and
to try to topple its government before secession.

"They [the north] have stepped up their destabilisation of southern
Sudan by creating, training, and arming and financing various militia
groups in southern Sudan," said Pagan Amum, secretary general of the
south's ruling Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM), on Sunday.

Amum said that the northern government was "already engaged at war",
forcing the south to suspend talks.

The two sides, which ended their 22-year war in 2005, are meant to be
negotiating crucial issues related to the country's breakup, including
border demarcation and oil-revenue sharing.

Bashir's National Congress party dismissed Amum's allegations as
"ridiculous". But it also warned of more fighting in Abyei, a disputed
and volatile border area whose status remains unresolved.

The war of words - and the fighting on the ground - follows the mostly
peaceful referendum in January, when 99% of southerners voted for
independence. Bashir did not attempt to disrupt the ballot, as many
observers suspected he would, and promised to respect the south's
decision to secede, raising hopes of a painless separation.

But there were always warning signs this might not happen. The main
one was Abyei, a long-contested region that was supposed to have its
own vote in January on whether to join the south or north. Given that
most of the eligible voters were expected to be Ngok Dinkas –
southerners – it seemed inevitable that Abyei would join the south.

But Bashir, ignoring the provisions of the 2005 deal to end the war,
insisted that northern Missereya herders be allowed to vote too,
forcing the ballot to be postponed. With only four months left to
secession, the north is insisting on a negotiated settlement for
Abyei, angering the SPLM and local people.

After clashes in January, at least 70 people were killed in attacks
involving Missereya and Ngok Dinka fighters earlier this month, with
three villages razed and tens of thousands of people displaced.

Elsewhere, in Jonglei and Upper Nile states, fighting between the
southern army and militias groups allied to the renegade general
George Athor have left hundreds dead. The SLPM says Athor is sponsored
by Khartoum, although it has provided no evidence for this.

Claire McEvoy, Sudan project manager at the Small Arms Survey, a
Swiss-based research group, said that the unresolved post-referendum
issues meant that the tension and violence was no surprise. But she
added that neither side wanted another war, and that both were using
rhetoric to try to maximise gains from the negotiations, as they have
done in the past. "Posturing and accusations of bad faith are
inevitably part of that process," she said.

END1

2. South Sudan accuses Bashir of plot, suspends talks

Sat Mar 12, 2011 5:20pm GMT

* Accusations come hours after militia raid on south

* South says mulling turning off oil flow after secession

* Violence raises fears for south ahead of secession

(Adds northern party official)

By Andrew Heavens

KHARTOUM, March 12 (Reuters) - South Sudan accused Sudanese President
Omar Hassan Al-Bashir of arming militias to overthrow the south's
government before the secession of the oil-producing region in July,
and suspended talks with Khartoum.

The accusation, dismissed by the north, came hours after militias
launched an attack on Malakal, capital of the south's oil-producing
Upper Nile state.

Senior southern official Pagan Amum said the south would suspend talks
with Bashir's ruling National Congress Party (NCP) about plans for the
secession and would look into alternative routes for sending its oil
to market, away from the north.

Southerners overwhelmingly voted to declare independence from the
north in a January referendum promised in a 2005 peace deal that ended
decades of north/south civil war. The south is due to split away on
July 9.

"We in SPLM (the south's ruling Sudan People's Liberation Movement)
have details of a plan by the NCP to overthrow the government of south
Sudan before July," Amum, SPLM secretary general, told journalists.

"The NCP has been creating, training, supplying and arming militia
groups in southern Sudan with the aim to destabilise and overthrow the
government," he added. "This plan is being overseen by the President
of the Republic ... himself."

Amum said the SPLM had complained to the United Nations Security
Council about a series of militia raids in its territory which it said
were being backed by Khartoum.

"For all these reasons, the SPLM is suspending discussions and
negotiations with the NCP," said Amum.

Amum added southern President Salva Kiir had asked him to look into
finding alternative routes for the south's oil -- the lifeblood of
both north and south economies.

"(Kiir) has directed us in the negotiating team to look into a
possibility of stopping the export of oil of south Sudan through the
north in July and see possibilities of alternative routes of transport
other than northern Sudan," said Amum.

It was unclear how the south, almost entirely dependent on oil
revenues, would manage to find alternative routes. The only pipeline
currently runs through the north and it would take years to build
another line via Kenya or Uganda.

Any shutdown would have a serious impact on the north's economy which,
up to now, has been receiving half of the revenues from southern oil
and was hoping to negotiate continued payments after secession.

Senior NCP official Rabie Abdelati told Reuters the accusation of a
northern plot was "ridiculous".

If the government of the south wants to export oil through any other
means, it is up to them. We don't want to take something that is not
ours," Abdelati told Reuters.

The south's army said 23 militia fighters died after they raided
Malakal, killing an unknown number of civilians.

Renegade militia leader George Athor told Reuters one of his deputies
had launched the assault to seize weapons and to strike back after a
series of army offensives against his men.

Athor is a former army officer who rebelled last year saying he had
been cheated out of the governorship of neighbouring Jonglei state in
April elections. The south has accused the north of backing Athor, an
accusation he dismisses.

Upper Nile includes oil concessions run by Petrodar, a consortium led
by CNPC of China and including Malaysia's Petronas and Sudan's own
Sudapet. (Additional reporting by Jeremy Clarke in Juba)

END2
______________________
John Ashworth

Sudan Advisor
Sudan Ecumenical Forum

[email protected]

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PO Box 52002 - 00200, Nairobi, Kenya

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