Night Watch
John McCreary
Night of 31 May 2011

*** Sudan: Northern and Southern Sudan have agreed to a demilitarized zone
(DMZ) along their shared border, according to the African Union. The north
and south will form a joint committee headed by each country's respective
military chief of staff, defense minister, intelligence and police chief and
other officials. The DMZ will be jointly monitored and patrolled, according
to the African Union.

Meanwhile, Ethiopia volunteered to deploy several thousand troops to the
disputed Abyei area in Sudan if north Sudan's army withdraws, Western
officials from the Southern Sudanese capital of Juba said. A quick response
is needed and the Ethiopian troops will remain until a permanent solution
can be reached, the officials said.

Sudanese government spokesman Rabie Abdel Ati said many things are under
discussion but nothing has been decided. However, a Western official close
to the matter said both sides have privately agreed to the Ethiopian
proposal, and Southern Sudanese army spokesman Philip Aguer said Southern
Sudan's army will welcome Ethiopians as any part of the U.N. mission in
Sudan.

*** Comment: The good news is that north and south Sudan are exploring
options for avoiding combat in the border states. Nevertheless, the jointly
patrolled DMZ creates another inherently unstable war zone. It would not
make conflict inevitable, but it would guarantee constant tension and
commitment of resources that have better alternative uses.

The Ethiopian proposal would favor the southern Sudanese, most of whom are
not Muslims. The Muslim northerners will reject it.

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