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>Cooking the books -
>NATO'S CLAIM OF ETHNIC CLEANSING CHALLENGED
>by Michel Chossudovsky (2-9-00)
>
>Reprinted from EMPERORS-CLOTHES   www.tenc.net
>
>Copyright Michel Chossudovsky, Ottawa, February 2000
>
>NATO's two main justifications for bombing Yugoslavia on humanitarian grounds
>have been refuted by the Western alliance's own official figures and
>documentary evidence. These justifications rest on two central premises:
>
>1) the alleged indiscriminate mass killings of Albanian civilians (premise
>number one);
>
>2) the implementation of a deliberate policy of mass deportations or "ethnic
>cleansing" (premise number two).
>
>"Premise number one" has been invalidated by the FBI and European forensic
>teams working under the auspices of the Hague Tribunal (ICTY). The forensic
>and police investigators have uncovered several hundred bodies in grave sites
>in Kosovo as opposed to the 10,000 to 100,000 civilian massacres claimed by
>NATO and Western governments as a pretext for waging the War. British Prime
>Minister Tony Blair had announced that President Milosevic was "set on a
>Hitler style genocide equivalent to the extermination of the Jews during
>World war II".1 "We've now seen about 100,000 military aged men missing...
>They may have been murdered", echoed US Defense Secretary William Cohen. 2
>"Genocide is starting," stated German Defense Minister Rudolf Scharping.3...
>
>The Hague Tribunal (ICTY) (while upholding the war crimes indictment against
>members of the Yugoslav government), has acknowledged the exhumation of 2,108
>bodies in Kosovo from grave sites in Kosovo.4 This figure includes the deaths
>of ethnic Albanians, Serbs, Romani and other ethnic groups who died during
>the war (23 March 9 June 1999) from all known causes (including politically
>motivated executions and massacres of civilians, NATO air strikes, the
>groundwar between the KLA and the Yugoslav Armed Forces and natural causes).
>
>NO REMAINING LEG TO STAND ON
>
>"The allegations of indiscriminate mass murder, rape camps, crematoriums have
>not been borne out" by the police investigations and forensic evidence. 5 In
>the absence of "premise number one", the policy of mass deportations directed
>against ethnic Albanians (premise number two) is being upheld by NATO and the
>Western media as "a sufficient justification" for launching the war. In the
>words of Madeleine Albright "opposing ethnic cleansing is central to our
>values... We are reaffirming NATO's core purpose as a defender of democracy,
>stability and human decency on European soil."6
>
>Yet the recently released Report entitled "As Seen, As Told: Analysis of the
>Human Rights Findings of the OSCE Kosovo Verification Mission" suggests that
>the allegation of mass deportations is also a fabrication. 7 Although heavily
>slanted in its main conclusions, OSCE figures suggest that there were
>proportionately more Serbs (as a percentage of population) fleeing Kosovo
>than ethnic Albanians which puts an obvious question mark on NATO's assertion
>that organized mass expulsions of ethnic Albanians were taking place.
>
>According to OSCE numbers and Kosovar Albanian sources on population size and
>distribution, an estimated 45.7 percent of the Albanian population and 59.5
>percent of the Serb population had fled Kosovo during the bombings (i.e. from
>23 March to 9 June 1999).8
>
>The OSCE report summarises the balancesheet of ethnic Albanian refugees as
>numbering 862,979. In a secluded footnote at the bottom of the main table,
>the report nonetheless acknowledges that: "In addition [to the 862,979 ethnic
>Albanian refugees], more than 100,000 Serb IDPs [Internally displaced
>persons] are estimated to have left Kosovo and to have been registered in
>Serbia and Montenegro". 9 Whereas ethnic Albanians (including those who fled
>to Montenegro) are categorized as "refugees", Serbs who fled Kosovo during
>the same period are casually identified as "Internally Displaced Persons".
>The figures for ethnic Albanians are very precise in contrast to those
>indicated for the Serbs in the footnote. The number of refugees belonging to
>other ethnic groups who fled the province during the bombings is not even
>acknowledged.
>
>According to Kosovo Albanian sources, the Province had a total population of
>2.1 million of which 90 percent are ethnic Albanians, 8 percent Serbs and 2
>percent are other ethnic groups.10 Based on these figures (which are accepted
>both by NATO and the postconflict KLA provisional government) there were an
>estimated 1.89 million ethnic Albanians and 168,000 Serbs in Kosovo.10
>
>In accordance with the above population breakdown, the exodus of Serbs (as a
>percentage of population) was larger than that of the ethnic Albanian
>population. According to OSCE numbers (from UNHCR sources), it is estimated
>that 45.7 percent of the Albanian population and more than 59.5 percent of
>the Serb population fled Kosovo during the bombings (i.e. from 23 March to 9
>June 1999).
>
>In other words, Serbs who ostensibly were not the target of "ethnic cleansing
>perpetrated by the Serbs" had also fled the theatre of the war in Kosovo. If
>there had been a deliberate and cohesive policy of ethnic cleansing and
>massacres directed against ethnic Albanians, the percentages would have been
>markedly different and this is something which NATO was cautious not to
>reveal to public opinion while the bombings were ongoing.
>
>The above estimates depend on the veracity of the OSCEUNHCR refugee figures
>as well as on the reliability of the data on population size and
>distribution. In estimating these percentages, we have accepted official OSCE
>UNHCR refugee numbers at face value, namely that the OSCE Report had not
>artificially "inflated" the number of ethnic Albanian refugees nor had it
>"deflated" the number of Serbs who fled Kosovo during the bombings with a
>view to vindicating NATO's claim of ethnic cleansing. We have also taken
>Kosovar Albanian assumptions pertaining to population size and distribution.
>In other words, the percentages are derived from their numbers! Moreover, it
>should be emphasised that the percentage of Serbs who left Kosovo estimated
>at 59.5 percent is based on the 100,000 figure given by the OSCE. Yet the
>OSCE report states that the number of Serbs who fled Kosovo during the same
>period is "more than 100,000".
>
>Accounting for biases in the OSCE UNHCR figures and margins of error in the
>data on population, the estimates do not support NATO's allegation of a
>policy of mass deportation directed against ethnic Albanians.
>
>Ironically, the OSCE (also in a discrete footnote) acknowledges the
>assumptions of Belgrade's 1991 Census data which indicates the ethnic
>Albanian population at 82 percent of total population. Yet the Census was
>boycotted by ethnic Albanians and the figures were never recognised by the
>parallel provisional government of Kosovo. Why does the OSCE acknowledge
>Belgrade's 1991 Census when NATO and KLA statements repeatedly indicate that
>the ethnic Albanian population is at 90 percent? Based on the 1991 Census
>figures, the estimated percentage of each population group which fled Kosovo
>would be 53.7 percent for the ethnic Albanians and more than 51.5 percent for
>the Serbs.11 Yet even when applying the assumptions of the 1991 Census,
>NATO's claim of mass deportations is not borne out.
>
>The refugee crisis, we were told repeatedly during the War was limited to
>ethnic Albanians. According to the Western media, Serb civilians had been
>protected by the Serb police and Armed forces. The large scale exodus of
>Serbs from Kosovo prior to June 9, 1999 (acknowledged by the figures
>contained in the OSCE Report) was simply not mentioned. To reveal the numbers
>would have discredited NATO's main justification for launching its
>"humanitarian war".
>
>FROM THE HORSE'S MOUTH
>
>Other documentary evidence including an official report of the German foreign
>ministry published prior to the War, confirms that there was no evidence of
>"ethnic cleansing" in Kosovo in the months immediately preceding the
>bombings. Who is lying? German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer had justified
>NATO's intervention pointing to a "humanitarian catastrophe", yet the
>internal documents of his own ministry stated exactly the opposite:
>
>"Even in Kosovo an explicit political persecution linked to Albanian
>ethnicity is not verifiable. The East of Kosovo is still not involved in
>armed conflict. Public life in cities like Pristina, Urosevac, Gnjilan, etc.
>has, in the entire conflict period, continued on a relatively normal basis.
>The actions of the security forces [were] not directed against the
>KosovoAlbanians as an ethnically defined group, but against the military
>opponent [KLA] and its actual or alleged supporters."...12
>
>Moreover, a report of the United States Committee on Refugees (USCR) confirms
>a significant reduction in the number of refugees and internally displaced
>persons in the period following the signing of the October 13 agreement
>between U.S. Special Envoy Richard Holbrooke and Federal Republic of
>Yugoslavia (FRY) President Slobodan Milosevic. According to USCR, the overall
>refugee situation had improved with the entry of the OSCE Kosovo Verification
>Mission (KVM). The USCR report also confirms that "KLA ethnic cleansing of
>ethnic Serb civilian population pockets intensified in December [1999]"
>substantiating the results of the German Foreign Office intelligence report.
>But we were told time and again that the Serbs rather than the KLA had been
>responsible for ethnic cleansing in the months leading up to the War...13
>
>The OSCE UNHCR figures on the number of refugees rather than supporting
>NATO's main justification for waging the war, suggest that more than half the
>Serb population had also fled Kosovo during the war. This tendency could be
>explained by the fact that the KLA had been responsible for relaying
>intelligence to NATO pertaining to potential targets in the bombing
>operation. Moreover, a history of the war also suggests that the massacres
>and atrocities directed against the Serbs by the KLA Military Command (amply
>documented for the period after June 9) had already commenced prior to the
>arrival of KFOR forces in Kosovo.
>
>NATO's two central postulates for waging the war respectively "indiscriminate
>mass killings" and "ethnic cleansing" are not borne out by the relevant data.
>What then was the justification for the humanitarian bombings? What was the
>hidden agenda? Ultimately the truth must prevail, public opinion must be
>informed and those who are responsible for waging this criminal war must be
>brought to trial.
>
>NOTES
>
>1. Quoted in Peter Gowan, Kosovo; the war and its aftermath, Labour Focus on
>Eastern Europe, no. 64, 1999, p. 26.
>
>2. CBS Face the Nation, 16 May 1999 quoted by Joyce Howard Price in The
>Washington Times, May 17, 1999.
>
>3. Quoted in Peter Gowan, op. cit.
>
>4. Reuters, 10 November 1999.
>
>5. Wall Street Journal, 31 December 1999.
>
>6. Quoted in Time Magazine, May 17, 1999, p. 2526.
>
>7. OSCE, Kosovo/ Kosova, As Seen, As Told, An analysis of the human rights
>findings of the OSCE Kosovo Verification Mission, October 1998 to June 1999,
>Warsaw, 1999.
>
>8. Ibid
>
>9. Ibid.
>
>10. Figures for 1993. See Albania Worldwide Web,
>http://www.albanian.com/main/. See also Musa Limani, The Geographic Position,
>Natural Riches, Demographic Characteristics, and the Economical Development
>of Kosova, Pristina, The Association of Lawyers of Kosova, 1992. Kosovar
>Albanian estimates place the population of Kosovo at 2.3 million for 2000.
>11. The Government of Yugoslavia 1991 Census data for Kosovo identified a
>total population of 1,956,196 of which 82.2 % are Albanians, 9.9 % Serbs and
>7.9 % other ethnic groups. The Census was boycotted by the ethnic Albanian
>population. During the 1990s, the evidence suggests that Kosovar Serbs left
>the Province in large numbers.
>
>12. Intelligence Report from the German Foreign Office, January 12, 1999 to
>the Administrative Court of Trier.
>
>13. See USCR Michel Chossudovsky
>
>Michel Chossudovsky is Professor of Economics at the University of Ottawa and
>author of The Globalization of Poverty, Impacts of IMF and World Bank
>Reforms, Third World Network, Penang and Zed Books, London, 1997.
>
>Copyright, Michel Chossudovsky, Ottawa, February 2000
>
>* Recent articles by Michel Chossudovsky:
>
>"Seattle and Beyond: Disarming the New World Order"
>http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/chuss/seattle.htm
>
>"NATO's Reign of Terror in Kosovo"
>http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/chuss/chossnato.htm
>
>"The KLA: Grim Origins"
>http://emperors-clothes.com/articles/chuss/kla.html
>
>* To browse articles at Emperors-clothes please click here or go to
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