>From: Rick Rozoff <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

>
>STOP NATO: NO PASARAN! - HTTP://WWW.STOPNATO.HOME-PAGE.ORG
>
>http://www.smh.com.au/news/0004/13/world/world01.html
>
>Sydney Morning Herald
>April 13, 2000
>
>
>Timor set for oil windfall
>By DAVID LAGUE, Foreign Affairs Correspondent
>
>An independent East Timor would have a powerful legal
>case to renegotiate the Timor Gap treaty and win a
>bigger share of potentially massive oil and gas
>revenues, according to legal and oil industry experts.
>
>The terms of the controversial treaty between
>Australia and Indonesia carving up the seabed oil and
>gas have continued under an interim arrangement with
>the United Nations Transitional Authority in East
>Timor, but a new government in Dili would have the
>right to renegotiate its ocean boundary with
>Australia.
>
>There are potentially billions of dollars in revenue
>at stake for an impoverished East Timor.
>
>Since the treaty was signed in 1989, it has become
>accepted under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea
>that the exclusive economic zone boundary between two
>states that are less than 400 nautical miles apart
>should be the mid-line between their coasts.
>
>If a new government in Dili succeeded in redrawing the
>boundary to this mid-point, the bulk of the oil and
>gas Australia shares in the Timor Gap would fall in
>East Timorese territory.
>
>An oil and gas industry consultant and Timor Gap
>analyst, Mr Geoffrey McKee, believes the birth of the
>new nation will clear the way for a new deal.
>
>"All our research points to the fact that a settlement
>in accordance with international norms would be in
>East Timor's favour. I think this will be settled by
>international arbitration. If it goes to arbitration
>East Timor can't lose."
>
>A Canadian lawyer and oceanographer, Mr Jeffrey Smith,
>has thrown his weight behind legal arguments that East
>Timor could do better from a new deal with Australia.
>He is about to publish a lengthy legal paper on East
>Timor's maritime entitlements, and he also believes
>that a middle line will become the new boundary.
>
>The Howard Government and the oil industry have been
>anxious to preserve the existing arrangements to
>exploit the Timor Gap resources during the transition.
>
>A spokesman for the Minister for Foreign Affairs, Mr
>Downer, said yesterday that the Government was happy
>with existing arrangements but the future of the
>treaty was under "active consideration".
>
>The convener of the Australia East Timor Association,
>Dr Andrew McNaughtan, said yesterday that it would be
>up to the future government of East Timor to decide
>how it would deal with Australia on the Timor Gap, but
>there was now an opportunity to agree on a legitimate
>oceanic border.
>
>"The Timor Gap treaty is a pretty shonky piece of work
>that is a by-product of Indonesia's illegal occupation
>and annexation of East Timor and Australia's collusion
>with Jakarta over this," he said.
>
>There are projections from oil industry sources that
>government revenues for oil alone from the Bayu-Undan
>field in the co-operation zone could reach $5.2billion
>over 24 years if this went ahead.
>
>Under existing arrangements, this would be split
>evenly between Australia and East Timor.
>
>A consortium headed by Phillips Petroleum late last
>year announced that it would go ahead with initial
>development of the field.
>
>Critics of the Timor Gap treaty say that Australia had
>expected a generous deal from Jakarta after
>recognising its rule over East Timor but that
>Indonesia had taken a tough line after conceding too
>much in earlier agreements on common oceanic
>boundaries.
>
>They say the complex treaty with its sharing
>arrangements demonstrates that the two sides failed to
>agree on a border.
>
>After initially condemning the treaty, East Timorese
>leaders have assured the oil industry and the
>Australian Government that they want the development
>to go ahead under existing arrangements while East
>Timor is under UN control, but there have been signals
>that they will want the border renegotiated as they
>begin to redevelop their economically backward
>homeland.
>
>However, in this sensitive transitional phase, the
>leadership is unwilling to antagonise Canberra or
>deter the oil industry with claims for a bigger share
>of revenues.
>
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