----- Original Message -----
From: Paul Treanor <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, May 25, 2000 11:45 AM
Subject: [STOPNATO] Democracy shortens life and increases inequality


STOP NATO: NO PASARAN! - HTTP://WWW.STOPNATO.COM

This is a recent addition to the anti-democracy web page Why Democracy is
wrong. The full text, later additions, and links, are at

http://web.inter.nl.net/users/Paul.Treanor/dem.wrong.html


---------------
The costs of transition to market and democracy
---------------


The post-1989 transition in central and eastern Europe has provided, for the
first time in history, an indication of the negative effects of democracy. (At
least, of liberal democracy in combination with the free market, which is
certainly what western media and governments mean when they talk of democracy
in eastern Europe). In the older democratic states, the present model of
democracy was formed over 100 or 200 years. Britain in 1800 can not be
compared with Britain in 2000 anyway: the huge differences are not simply 'the
result of democracy'. In eastern Europe, modern states acquired a new
political and economic system within a few years - with a complete statistical
record. Russia in 1985 can be compared with Russia in 1995: the difference is
largely due to the economic and political transition. The effects of both
aspects are difficult to separate, but the UN Development Program has listed 7
social-economic costs of the process. Here are the main points of the list:

---
The process of transition in the region has had huge human development costs,
many of which still continue unabated....

 - The biggest single 'cost of transition' has undoubtedly been the loss of
lives represented by the decline in life expectancy in several major countries
of the region, most notably in the Russian Federation, and most strikingly
among young and middle-aged men....Most regrettably, the trends in life
expectancy have meant that several million people have not survived the 1990s
who would have done so if the life expectancy levels achieved in the 1990s had
been maintained....

 - The second cost of transition has been the rise and persistently high level
of morbidity, characterized by higher incidence of common illnesses and by the
spread of such diseases as tuberculosis that had been reduced to marginal
health threats in the past....

 - A third cost of transition has been the extraordinary rise in poverty -
both income and human poverty....

 - A major contributor to the increase in poverty - along with falling incomes
and rising inflation - has been the rise in income and wealth inequality, and
this has been a fourth cost of transition....

 - A fifth cost of transition has been rising gender inequalities. During the
Soviet era, quotas for women helped to incorporate them into positions of
economic and political decision-making and authority, but the advent of more
democratic regimes has led paradoxically to lower percentages of women in such
positions. Women have found themselves progressively pushed out of public
life. Simultaneously, their access to paid employment has declined and their
total work burden both within the household and outside it has increased....

 - A sixth cost of transition has been the considerable deterioration of education....

 - A seventh cost of transition has been the rise in unemployment,
underemployment and informalization of employment....

Summing up the seven costs of transition across the whole region underscores
the dramatic and widespread deterioration of human security....
----------

http://www.undp.org/rbec/pubs/hdr99/
TRANSITION 1999: Human Development Report for Central and Eastern Europe and
the CIS</a>, UNDP (Chapter 1).
----------

The report itself has more detail on all of these aspects, and especially on
poverty. In historical perspective, this is clearly not indicative of a
voluntary choice for emancipation and progress. Instead these characteristics
are consistent with the traditional historical pattern of expansion by
conquest: more on this 'democratic conquest' below.

So, on the evidence from eastern Europe, what would happen if the existing
market democracy was abolished , in an older liberal-democracy such as
Britain? The effects on this model are that...
 - life expectancy would rise
 - public health would improve: the incidence of infectious diseases would fall
 - poverty would decline sharply, although the mean income would probably also fall
 - income inequalities would fall
 - women would have higher social status, more access to
political-administrative structures, and more access to employment
 - there would be more resources for education, and access to education would improve
 - unemployment would fall: there would be fewer people in insecure jobs, and
possibly also fewer in low-productivity 'junk jobs' (also a form of underemployment)


These are only expectations. Since the comparison is with eastern Europe in
the 1980's, an exact equivalence would mean recreating those 1980's
'Soviet-bloc' societies, in present Britain - which is impossible. But
supporters of democracy themselves use social and political comparisons
between very different societies - for instance between Soviet Russia under
Stalin's Russia (or Hitler's Germany) and the present USA. The western lobby
in favour of the transition process in eastern Europe also quote its
successes, again using longitudinal comparisons of non-comparable societies.
It would be inconsistent, in the face of this use of cross-generational,
cross-cultural, cross-societal comparisons, not to use the material on the
transition - to assess the possible benefits of a reverse transition in
western market democracies.
--
Paul Treanor


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