----- Original Message ----- From: David Muller <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Friday, June 23, 2000 1:37 AM Subject: [iac-disc.] New Iraq crisis ahead:Butler ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Take 20 friends to Vegas on New Year's courtesy of Expedia.com. Win the airfare, a suite at Bellagio and $15,000. Or win 2 roundtrip tickets anywhere in the U.S. given away daily. Click for a chance to win. http://click.egroups.com/1/5294/6/_/790251/_/961721443/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------------------------------- *** Iraq Action Coalition Discussion Forum *** http://iraqaction.org/discussion.html ------------------------------------ *To Post a message, send it to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] *To Subscribe, send a blank message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] *To Unsubscribe, send a blank message to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] * To see the List Guidelines, go to: http://iraqaction.org/discussion.html *Any questions, contact the List Moderator at [EMAIL PROTECTED] ----------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- New Iraq crisis ahead:Butler http://www.theage.com.au/news/20000623/A28144-2000Jun22.html By MEAGHAN SHAW Friday 23 June 2000 Another Iraqi crisis was likely in about six weeks, the former United Nations weapons inspector, Richard Butler, said yesterday. Mr Butler predicted the "crunch point" would come in August when it was most likely Iraq would refuse to allow the UN's new weapons inspection agency to enter the country. "Iraq has said for the last six months that it will not permit it to enter Iraq ... and I suspect that Iraq isn't speaking tactically," he said. "I suspect that it will not let that new organisation to enter Iraq and therefore we'll probably have another Iraqi crisis on our hands." Mr Butler, the former chief executive of the UN Special Commission, said the deputy chairman of the new organisation, the UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission, Hans Blix, would have his team and inspection procedures ready by August. Mr Butler said he was unsure how such a crisis would affect the United States presidential election in November, but there were three possibilities. One was that Russia would support Iraq's stance, which would be acceptable to the Americans because it would push the crunch point back until after the elections. The second was that George W. Bush and Al Gore would campaign on the issue to try to "demonstrate their muscularity". And the third was that the commission would move to review sanctions against Iraq, which it must do by 17 December according to the provisions under which it was established. This would be after the election. Mr Butler also called on the Security Commission to urgently review the use of sanctions as an instrument of enforcing compliance with international law. He proposed targeting sanctions against the leadership rather than the whole population. Mr Butler was speaking at The Age/Dymock's literary lunch following the release of his book, Saddam Defiant - The threat of weapons of mass destruction, and the crisis of global security. Outside, watched by police, a small group of activists protested against Mr Butler's involvement in sanctions against the Iraqi people.
