>From: "Mark Jones" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> >To: "crl" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> > >"WORST-CASE SCENARIO" FOR RUSSIAN DEMOGRAPHY >Interfax > >Moscow, 11th September: Russian State Statistics Committee reports indicate >that the demographic situation in the country is unfolding according to the >worst of the expected scenarios. > >Interfax experts drew this conclusion on the basis of statistical reports >and >forecasts made in the first half of 1998. > >Experts composed three scenarios of the development of the demographic >situation until the year 2015. The favourable scenario relied on a slight >rise in the birth rate, a slowdown of the death rate and growing migration >encouraged by economic recovery. In this case at the end of 2000 Russia was >expected to have a population of 146.2m and in 2015 - 147.2m. > >The second scenario implied birth and death rates remaining at the 1997 >level >and a slight rise in migration. In this case at the end of 2000 the country >was expected to have a population of 145.6m and in 2015 - 138.1m. > >The most pessimistic scenario was based on an expectation of a new rise in >the death rate and a simultaneous fall in the birth rate and in migration, >including migration from rural to urban areas, until 2015. In such >circumstances in 2000 Russia would have a population of 144.7m and at the >end >of 2015 - 130.3m. > >The latest statistical reports say that at the beginning of July 2000 Russia >had a population of 145.1m, falling by 425,000 in the first half of the >year. > > >_______________________________________________ >Crashlist resources: http://website.lineone.net/~resource_base >To change your options or unsubscribe go to: >http://lists.wwpublish.com/mailman/listinfo/crashlist > _______________________________________________________ KOMINFORM P.O. Box 66 00841 Helsinki - Finland +358-40-7177941, fax +358-9-7591081 e-mail [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://www.kominf.pp.fi _______________________________________________________ Kominform list for general information. Subscribe/unsubscribe messages to [EMAIL PROTECTED] Anti-Imperialism list for anti-imperialist news. Subscribe/unsubscribe messages: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] _______________________________________________________
