>
>From: Mark Clement <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

>
>IRAQ SANCTIONS MONITOR Number 125
>Friday, September 22, 2000
>
>LATEST NEWS++++++++++++++++++++++
>
>Iraq scores points in UN Security Council.
>UNITED NATIONS, Sept 22 (Reuters) - With support from France and Russia, the
>Arab world and beyond, Iraq scored points in the U.N. Security Council in
>its militant campaign to get 10-year old U.N. sanctions abolished.
>
>While Jordan has requested U.N. permission to resume air service to Baghdad,
>France on Thursday took the issue a step further, saying passenger flights
>were not banned and one was leaving Paris on Friday, whether or not the
>council approved.
>Its position immediately brought it into conflict with Britain, which said
>it had asked the council's sanctions committee to delay the plane until
>there was more information on the humanitarian nature of the flight carrying
>some 80 young artists, doctors and activists to Baghdad. But it was doubtful
>France would hold the flight.
>
>France also led the way, with support from Russia, China and Tunisia, in
>proposing the monies Baghdad contributes to a U.N. compensation fund for
>Gulf War victims from its oil revenues be reduced from 30 percent to 20
>percent.
>
>And a senior U.N. official chastised the United States for delaying Iraqi
>contracts on oil industry spare parts, electricity grid equipment and in the
>telecommunications sector, saying the nation needed such contracts to
>function properly.
>
>While no decision was taken by the council in closed consultations on
>Thursday, the issue will be raised again.
>But on a day world leaders were talking about record high oil prices, Iraqi
>actions and U.N. policies have made the market aware that Baghdad can drive
>prices even higher.
>
>Still, Iraq, over the last 10 years, has not withheld oil, except for brief
>periods, in protest of a U.N. action. Baghdad is expected, at current
>prices, to sell between $18 billion and $20 billion worth of oil this year.
>
>Iraq has been under sanctions since it invaded Kuwait in August 1990. A
>December council resolution 1284 demands Baghdad allow U.N. arms inspectors
>back into the country before sanctions be eased.
>
>But Iraqi Foreign Minister Mohammed Saeed al-Sahaf repeated Baghdad's
>assertion to the U.N. General Assembly on Thursday that the resolution
>represented a deliberate U.S. ploy to perpetuate the embargo "to an
>unforeseeable point of time."
>"We have therefore clearly declared that we shall not deal with this
>resolution," he said.
>
>Benon Sevan, the coordinator of the oil-for-food programme designed to ease
>the impact of the sanctions, pleaded with Iraq and council members to stop
>playing politics and "think of the human factor and think about the poor
>Iraqi people."
>
>Sevan did not attack the United States by name but he said "holds" on
>contracts to Iraq, estimated at $2 billion, were causing disruptions in the
>oil-for-food programme under which Baghdad can sell unlimited quantities of
>oil to purchase food, medicine and other goods. Most of the holds are from
>the United States.
>
>"Unless special efforts are made by the committee members to release all the
>holds from spare parts for the oil industry, they may have a major
>accident," Sevan warned.
>
>"They cannot sustain current production levels and they are producing now at
>the expense of the future because they are harming their oil wells and,
>matter of fact, they are destroying some of them irreparably," he told
>reporters.
>
>In response, U.S. representative James Cunningham said the United States had
>to watch Iraq did not import goods that could be used for military purposes
>and that U.S. delays affected no more than 10 percent of Baghdad's requests.
>
>"We know there are problems in the oil industry in Iraq and we have created
>the wherewithal to address these problems," Cunningham told reporters after
>the council session.
>
>At the same session, France, backed by Russia and Tunisia, on Thursday
>proposed reducing to 20 percent the funds from its oil revenues that Baghdad
>must pay to compensate victims of its 1990 invasion of Kuwait. Currently
>Iraq must pay 30 percent.
>British and U.S. envoys said they were willing to talk about a possible cut,
>but not about one as large as France proposed.
>Russia's U.N. ambassador, Sergei Lavrov, first raised the compensation issue
>in August in challenging a $21.5 billion claim by Kuwait for lost oil
>production and sales during Iraq's seven-month occupation of the emirate in
>1990. A panel of arbitrators has recommended awarding $15.9 billion.
>
>Kuwait's claim will be considered again when the commission's governing
>council, which has the same 15-nation membership as the Security Council,
>meets in Geneva next week.
>
>Both Cunningham and British ambassador Sir Jeremy Greenstock told reporters
>there were enough votes in Geneva veto, to adopt the recommended $15.9
>billion award.
>But they said they preferred consensus - meaning that the decision might be
>delayed again because of objections from Russia, France, and others. A
>senior Russian U.N. envoy, Gennady Gatilov, said Moscow would ask for a
>delay.
>
>Saddam might spoil Opec's hand.
>FTSE slips through oil crisis
>It is known, in market circles, as the `slow punch' - that is, a sharp fall
>in prices which happens over a number of days or even weeks rather than on
>one headline generating day. Market participants tend to find themselves
>taken unawares, suddenly panicking when they realise that what they are
>watching amounts to a wholesale re-rating of the economic outlook.
>
>Yesterday's 80-point fall on the FTSE 100 to 6,199.2 took the cumulative
>loss to almost 600 points since September 4. Reasons to be bearish are
>stacking up: the long-running saga of the weak euro, the oil price and a
>host of other nagging reminders that new technology in the new economy has
>not abolished that old economy thing known as the business cycle. Yes,
>corporate earnings are still highly vulnerable to the price of basic
>commodities.
>
>On the oil front, the word from Washington yesterday was that Bill Clinton
>may ride to the rescue by tapping emergency reserves stored in salt caverns
>along the Gulf of Mexico.
>In a market fretting about surges of demand during the winter, this helped
>stabilise the price somewhat yesterday. After hitting a 10-year high of
>nearly $38 a barrel on Wednesday, oil was nearly a dollar cheaper in early
>afternoon trading.
>
>Calming the wider jitters about economic growth in the west will not happen
>quickly. Much will depend on the details of President Clinton's plan -
>specifically, how much extra oil and when? Opec promised 11 days ago to
>boost production by 800,000 barrels a day - a move that is in theory
>expected to help lower the price of crude to around $25 a barrel.
>But the American move might backfire by souring relations with Opec, whose
>members are due to meet in Caracus next week.
>Before then, France has called for a special meeting between the oil
>producers, the European Union and the US to thrash out an agreement to end
>the crisis before the winter sets in.
>
>Yet all the talking might be in vain. The United Nations compensation
>commission is due to rule on the long-standing claim for $16bn in war
>reparations from Iraq next week.
>There is a view that if Saddam is asked to pay too much he will retaliate by
>turning off his crude tap - which at present is spewing 2.5m barrel per day
>on to the world oil market. No wonder financial market nerves are a-jangle
>BoS crescendo
>A bid for Bank of Scotland has been the talk of Edinburgh's Georgian squares
>ever since its audacious and hostile but ultimately ill-fated bid for
>NatWest, almost a year ago.
>
>France, Russia, seek cuts in Iraqi war victim fund.
>UNITED NATIONS, Sept 21 (Reuters) - France, backed by Russia and Tunisia, on
>Thursday proposed a reduction in funds Baghdad pays to compensate victims of
>its 1990 invasion of Kuwait, arguing more money could then go to food and
>medicine.
>
>British and U.S. officials told reporters they would be willing to talk
>about a possible cut, but not as large as the cut France had suggested. No
>decision had been made yet on proposals to cut Iraq's contribution from 30
>percent to 20 percent of its oil revenues.
>
>However, James Cunningham, representing the U.S., indicated Washington was
>not in favour.
>
>"We'll look at any idea for improving the humanitarian flow into Iraq to
>deal with the problems the people are confronted with there," he said. "This
>particular idea does not seem to meet that criteria there."
>
>At issue is the "oil-for-food" programme, which allows Iraq to sell
>unlimited quantities of oil to buy food, medicine and other civilian
>necessities to offset the impact of 10-year old sanctions on ordinary
>Iraqis. The embargoes were imposed after the 1990 invasion of Kuwait.
>
>Under the current programme, 30 percent of the proceeds from the sale of
>Iraqi oil is automatically siphoned off into the U.N.-administered
>reparations fund. Other funds go to U.N. administration of the programme.
>
>On Thursday, French Ambassador Jean-David Levitte proposed reducing the
>amount paid to the compensation fund to 20 percent of every dollar earned
>from U.N.-supervised oil sales.
>
>Levitte made the proposal during a closed-door meeting of the 15-member
>Security Council and was backed by Russia and Tunisia, diplomats attending
>the session reported.
>Russia previously had submitted a draft resolution on the subject to the
>other four permanent members of the council - France, Britain, the United
>States and China.
>
>But the council made no decision and none was expected until at least early
>December, shortly before the current eighth six-month phase of the
>oil-for-food programme ends.
>Suggestions to lower the compensation percentage were made last year when
>oil proceeds were so low the programme was having trouble getting enough
>funds to buy humanitarian goods.
>But with oil prices high now, U.S. officials questioned the proposal, which
>comes as the council is trying to persuade Iraq to accept new U.N. weapons
>inspections as a condition for having the sanctions eased.
>
>Iraq's foreign minister, Mohammed Saeed al-Sahaf, in a speech to the General
>Assembly on Thursday, blasted the United States and Britain for maintaining
>sanctions out of "selfish political aims."
>
>He said Iraq, since December 1996, had exported $31.6 billion worth of oil,
>of which $9.5 went to the compensation fund and $1 billion for U.N.
>administrative expenses. In comparison, he claimed only $8.3 billion in
>goods had arrived in Iraq to date.
>Russia's U.N. ambassador, Sergei Lavrov, first raised the compensation issue
>in August in challenging a $21.5 billion claim by Kuwait for lost oil
>production and sales during Iraq's seven-month occupation of the emirate in
>1990. A panel of arbitrators has recommended awarding $15.9 billion.
>
>Kuwait's claim will be considered again when the commission's governing
>council, which has the same 15-nation membership as the Security Council,
>meets in Geneva next week. But a decision may be delayed again.
>
>Both Cunningham and British ambassador Sir Jeremy Greenstock told reporters
>there were enough votes in Geneva, where permanent members do not have a
>veto, to adopt the recommended $15.9 billion award.
>
>But they said they preferred consensus - meaning that the decision might be
>delayed again because of objections from Russia, France, China and other
>members.
>
>"We are very interested as everyone else is in a consensus to give the right
>message on implementation on the whole programme on Iraq," Greenstock told
>reporters.
>
>Britain objects to French flight to Iraq.
>UNITED NATIONS, Sept 21 (Reuters) - Britain asked the Security Council's
>sanctions committee late on Thursday to delay a French flight of about 80
>doctors, young artists and activists travelling from Paris to Baghdad.
>
>But the plane was expected to leave shortly for Iraq anyway, with French
>diplomats saying passenger flights to Iraq were legal and did not violate
>10-year-old sanctions, providing the cargo was inspected.
>
>Britain was responding to a letter from Dutch Ambassador Peter van Walsum,
>chairman of the Security Council's Iraqi sanctions committee, requesting
>that France hold up the flight until 1 p.m. (1700 GMT) on Friday so members
>could respond.
>A British spokeswoman said that "we put a hold on the flight, saying we are
>not prepared to approve it unless we have more information that this is a
>humanitarian flight."
>
>"On the basis of information we have so far, we have a problem," she said,
>clarifying earlier remarks in which she said Britain had flatly objected to
>the flight.
>
>France had notified the committee of the flight but did not ask its
>permission. In a memorandum to the 15-member panel marked "urgent," van
>Walsum said he was treating France's submission "as a request rather than a
>notification."
>
>He admitted there were differing interpretations on whether the flight could
>occur but he said he had to follow past practice and did "not feel at
>liberty to adopt a different procedure."
>
>Russia on Sunday sent a planeload of humanitarian aid and a dozen oil
>executives to Baghdad after seeking the committee's consent, although it
>said that step was unnecessary because passenger flights were not banned
>under 10-year-old U.N. sanctions. France has used the same argument.
>
>"We notify, we don't ask for an authorisation because this kind of flight is
>not prohibited by sanctions," a French diplomat, speaking on condition of
>anonymity, told Reuters. He said the aircraft would be inspected for any
>banned goods.
>
>Russia and France want the sanctions - imposed when Iraq invaded Kuwait in
>August 1990 - eased and eventually lifted. But they have adhered to them
>over the past decade.
>Earlier on Thursday, British Ambassador Sir Jeremy Greenstock told
>reporters: "It is absolutely standard procedure that flights need to be
>cleared by the committee."
>
>"If flights from abroad are not (submitted) to the sanctions committee, that
>is a contravention," he said.
>
>The American representative, James Cunningham, agreed. "It would need to be
>notified and approved by the sanctions committee the way the Russian flight
>was," he said.
>
>No one is certain how far the United States and Britain will take the
>dispute with France. France and Britain are European Union members.
>
>The EU in 1996 adopted regulations prohibiting aircraft from flying in and
>out of an EU member country if it carries cargo or "if it is destined to
>land in, or has taken off from, the territory of Iraq."
>
>The Friday flight is planned by a private French group opposed to the
>sanctions. Its spokesman, Jihad Feghali, said a 184-seat Boeing 737 jet,
>chartered from the Euralair-France airline, would carry some 25 doctors,
>surgeons and nurses who would spend a few days helping Iraqi doctors.
>
>Young artists and members of a Paris roller-skating club would take part in
>Iraq's Babylon Festival, he said.
>
>"They are young French people who want to meet young Iraqis and bring them a
>message of joy," he said in Paris.
>
>An advance party travelled to Baghdad overland from Beirut, and the whole
>party would drive to the Jordanian capital, Amman, next week to return to
>France, Feghali said.
>
>Feghali said the flight, organised by an ad-hoc Council for Development and
>Cooperation, would cost 2 million francs ($259,100) and was financed from
>private funds. The passengers, he said, would be carrying only their
>personal belongings.
>
>Russia's U.N. ambassador, Sergei Lavrov, argued on Tuesday that although
>Moscow had obtained permission for its latest flight, it need not have done
>so because there was no flight ban on passenger planes.
>
>At issue is resolution 687 following the 1991 Gulf War that spelled out
>specifics on sanctions, first imposed when Iraqi troops invaded Kuwait in
>August 1990. The resolution does not explicitly ban civilian aircraft but it
>does bar commercial transactions. "It depends if you count flights as
>economic activity. And we say they clearly are," a British official said.
>
>


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