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Monday, October 9, 2000

1. Did any major power NOT fund the Kostunica campaign?
2. Don't be fooled by posturing o Yugo coup 'government'
3. From Milosevic to the Future
4. Djindjic: Future state will be Union of Serbia and Montenegro
5. Djindjic says Yugoslavia will get government in a fortnight
6. Three Montenegro SNP vice-presidents: Kostinuca de facto Yugoslav President
7. Why Germany is in a hurry to help
8. Albright Says Priority Is to Help Kostunica
9. Dinkic: Rate of exchange halved for D-Mark

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The url for this article is http://emperors-clothes.com/news/everybody's.htm

Did any major power NOT fund the Kostunica campaign?

"For Germans it was 'an obligation based on history.' to back the push for
democracy [said Fischer.]...

''Der Spiegel also reported that Fischer, U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine
Albright and some G-8 foreign ministers brought the Yugoslav opposition
together in Berlin on December 17. 

'''We read the riot act to the opposition then and told them to get their
act together,'' it quoted one participant as saying.'' [From article below]

[Note: If you are familiar with Germany's history in the Balkans Fischer's
remark is chilling. Our thanks to Professor of Linguistics Peter Maher for
sending in this story.]

BERLIN, Oct 7 (Reuters) - Germany said on Saturday it had supported the
Yugoslav opposition with millions of marks in financial aid. 

Norway also said it had helped fund the Yugoslav opposition's election
campaign, which led to victory by opposition candidate Vojislav Kostunica
and soon afterwards to the overthrow of strongman President Slobodan
Milosevic. 

German Foreign Minister Joschka Fischer said in a magazine interview that
Germany had been duty bound to provide financial support to Slobodan
Milosevic's opponents. 

``It could have all ended up being far bloodier,'' Fischer told Der
Spiegel. For Germans it was ``an obligation based on history'' to back the
push for democracy, he added. 

Der Spiegel said around $30 million, mostly from the United States, was
channelled through an office in Budapest. 

Another 45 million marks ($20 million) from Germany and other Western
states went to cities that were under opposition control. Der Spiegel said
the Foreign Ministry sent around 17 million marks through 16 German towns,
which also contributed. 

A spokeswoman for the Foreign Ministry confirmed the figures. ``It was not
disguised but rather it was entirely normal financial aid from the
budget,'' she said. 

She said four million marks in media support went to Yugoslavia. She
declined to identify which media outlets channelled the money, but Der
Spiegel said state broadcasters ZDF and Bayerischer Rundfunk were used. No
one from either broadcaster was available for comment. 

Der Spiegel also reported that Fischer, U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine
Albright and some G-8 foreign ministers brought the Yugoslav opposition
together in Berlin on December 17. 

``We read the riot act to the opposition then and told them to get their
act together,'' it quoted one participant as saying. 

Most of the opposition, long divided by infighting and personality clashes,
united behind Kostunica in last month's presidential election that
ultimately ended Milosevic's rule. 

Germany urged the European Union on Friday to offer immediate assistance to
the new government in Belgrade. Economics Minister Werner Mueller promised
in an interview with Bild am Sonntag newspaper to be published on Sunday
that Yugoslavia would receive ``immediate aid'' from the EU. 

NORWAY ALSO SAYS HELPED OPPOSITION 

In Oslo, Foreign Ministry spokesman Victor Roenneberg told Reuters the
government had given ``several million crowns'' in financial aid to
Yugoslavia and provided supplies ranging from computer and communications
equipment for the opposition's vote count to oil to opposition-controlled
villages. 

Norway also funded opposition-run newspapers, radio stations and Internet
media, he said. 

``It is highly unusual to fund one party against another, but because we
had assisted the opposition throughout the election, we were quite
convinced that the opposition had a clear majority from the beginning,''
Roenneberg said. 

Norwegian Foreign Minister Thorbjoern Jagland arrived in Belgrade early on
Saturday and met with Kostunica, who was to be sworn in at a ceremony later
in the day. 

``Norwegian diplomacy manages to do things even though it works quietly,''
Jagland told national news agency NTB. 

Norway has also said it will concentrate more of its foreign aid on
Yugoslavia. 

(c) Reuters 2000. Reposted for fair use only. 

www.tenc.net [Emperor's Clothes]
 
********************************************************

DON'T BE FOOLED BY POSTURING O YUGO COUP "GOVERNMENT"

Dear people,
In a message posted earlier there is a quote from the British 'Independent'
which reads:

<< The new government of Yugoslavia was furious yesterday after Washington
suggested that sanctions would not be lifted unless Slobodan Milosevic was
handed over to the War Crimes Tribunal in The Hague. Vladeta Jankovic, the
number two to the president-elect, Vojislav Kostunica,  issued a stark
warning that relations between the new government and the  West will not
run as smoothly as had been hoped  >>

Bertolt Brecht says: "When the leaders speak of peace the common people
know war is coming." In other words, beware of posturing.

I think it's very important that the peace movement not be fooled by some
recent posturing on the part of the self-proclaimed "new government" in
Yugoslavia.  This is a US-installed regime, not a "new Government" - it
only exists as a government, if indeed it does exist as a government, by
virtue of a fortune in US bribe money, which financed its organizing
efforts, its violence, aimed at denying the recent election and the
endorsement of Western Imperial governments.

The parliamentary election that accompanied the election for the ceremonial
post of President on Sept. 24, gave a full majority in both houses to the
coalition the West calls "Milosevich".  Milosevich personally leads far and
away the biggest mass party in the Balkans. This despite the dangling of
massive US government monetary bribes for any leader willing to join the
DOS coalition which supports Kostunica.

Kostunica was 'approved' as President by the Yugoslav Constitutional Court
in a situation where a mob straight out of Roman history (but even better
than Rome cause they had cellular phones) had already gutted parliament,
looted everything possible, and had beaten resisting officials. That is,
the Court gave its approval in a very dangerous situation.

Precisely because the Kostunica/Djidjic Coup was NOT approved by a majority
- between the people who voted against Kostunica and the people who didn't
vote, the vast majority have never expressed support for him and many of
those who did vote for him certainly did not vote for a coup - precisely
because most people do NOT approve what he has done, he cannot appear to be
subservient to the US.  His position is most fragile. His  entire apparatus
of support is US funded. This is true of the so-called independent media,
which now has taken control, gangster fashion, of the mass media such as
Politika that was not previously in the peace of the US government.  This
is true of the political parties that comprise the DOS coalition which is
Kostunica's tenuous (because infested with mutual hostility) base of support.

Because Kostunica relies on US paid groups and media in a country that
loathes the US government, his position is fragile.  The US has recognized
this and countless articles hint, or even state outright, that US officials
are trying not to look to supportive. Obviously a little public squabbling
with the US is useful.  But this is for appearance.  As someone once said,
if you want to figure out where political loyalties lie, "Look at the
money, stupid."  And the bribe money comes from Uncle Sugar.

Perhaps the socialist party or other anti-DOS groups needed to make the
best of a bad situation.  Perhaps they intelligently avoided a fight when
the mob ransacked Belgrade because they realized the US was looking for a
blood bath as an excuse to intervene.  Perhaps they handled a very
difficult situation brilliantly. Does that mean we have should be silence
in the face of a US-paid for coup?  If we do not expose the fact that a
NATO proxy force has seized power, or at least partly seized power, if we
attempt to gloss over the hard reality, that US government overt and covert
agencies organized and financed a coup in Yugoslavia  - if we do not tell
the truth about these things we would become the pets of the Empire: Yap
yap, cute doggy; don't worry, he doesn't bite. We would fail in our most
important task: to help the people in our countries understand the Imperial
hand behind these events.

Peace activist Marjaleena Repo and Canadian Professor Kitsikis (the latter
specializes in electoral practices in the Balkans) interviewed Vladeta
Jankovic, the man quoted by the "independent' above.  This was at the time
of the Sept 24 Yugoslav elections.  Jankovic endorsed the taking of vast
sums of US
money.  Jankovic justified it by saying "we really need it badly" - an
argument that can be used to justify any crime. Indeed. Prof. Kitsikis
responded that this was high treason.  Jankovic had no answer. 

Isn't it a bit late for Mr. Jankovic to posture about his virginity?

Jared Israel

For more on these questions please see www.tenc.net [Emperor's Clothes]

******************************************************

>From Milosevic to the Future

>From the standpoint of cameras and Western journalists, the fall of
Milosevic appears indistinguishable from other velvet and near-velvet
revolutions that have toppled dictators from Prague to Manila. A righteous
outpouring of people into the streets, a ham-handed, venal government
capitulates and a new day is born.

But it is never as simple as breathless broadcasts might paint it. To
understand the fall of Slobodan Milosevic, it is important to understand
the manner in which he fell. The truth in Yugoslavia lies somewhere between
the grand aesthetic of the public drama and the more mundane details of
deal making. Indeed, the latter is frequently more defining than the
former. And many disappointed expectations are rooted in details overlooked
by revolution's glamour.

The roots of Milosevic's demise can be traced to the frustration of the
American and British governments, enmeshed in the realities of peacekeeping
in Kosovo, with no hope of conclusion. NATO was trapped in a quagmire
without exit. In Belgrade, the opposition failed, divided, and were
discredited as agents of NATO, all against a backdrop of Serb victimization.

Everyday Serbs were convinced of two things: They had not committed
atrocities, and they themselves were the targets of an unjust bombing
campaign. Milosevic was the great beneficiary. He might have been a swine,
but he was Serbia's swine. Incompetent on many fronts, he at least defended
the national interest. In this context, the opposition had as much chance
of winning as Quisling had of carrying Norway in World War II.

The United States reacted with a new strategy. Described in "Toppling
Milosevic: The Carrot Instead of the Stick,"  the new strategy consisted of
splitting Milosevic from his followers. Cracks opened but were contained
when Milosevic called for elections. But before the election it became
clear Milosevic had
nearly trapped himself, as recounted in "Checkmate in Yugoslavia,".

Milosevic's Cabinet, his cronies and the army and police held the key to
the drama. Milosevic had to be isolated from those levers of power before
the crowds could storm parliament. Thousands could have been killed, as
they were in Romania with the fall of Ceaucescu. Milosevic might cling to
power.

It was imperative the leadership split from Milosevic and accommodate
Kostunica. Public displays of police suddenly embracing demonstrators
probably had less to do with the passions of the moment than with fevered
deals being made between Kostunica and former Milosevic followers. These
deals brought both the peace and the revolution.

The deals also created a revolution with a complex genesis and an uncertain
future. Milosevic is certainly gone. The temptation among many, including
his closest followers, is to blame everything on him. The head of the
international war crimes tribunal in the Hague has made it clear Milosevic
should be tried for war crimes, but Kostunica has made it clear he does not
want to see prosecution proceed.

As president, he might be able to stomach Milosevic's trial, but many of
the people he and the United States had to deal with over the past few
months are also subject to indictment and trial. They would not have been
as cooperative had Kostunica and likely the United States  not made
guarantees about their legal status. Given the example of former President
Augusto Pinochet of Chile, it seems probable that any world-wise operators
asked for promises.

As important as the status of charges against Milosevic followers, is the
issue of Serbian territorial claims, particularly in Kosovo. Kostunica was
an adamant supporter of Serbian claims in Kosovo. What did the United
States promise Kostunica? Indeed, how long can Kostunica survive without
some movement on Kosovo? And what will Albanians do about the new darling
of the West?

Kostunica himself remains an enigma. The West would like to turn him into
another Vaclav Havel. He is not a communist, but he is not a liberal
either. He is a nationalist who, like the rest of Serbia, has viewed the
West with suspicion. He has also created a coalition of diverse elements,
including former Milosevic supporters who hope to retain their influence,
if not their position.

It is reasonable to say Kostunica is a snapshot of Serbia today: tired of
Milosevic, deeply suspicious and resentful of the West, nationalistic to
the very bone. Kostunica is formally democratic, but he understands the
complex personalism and clannishness that comprise Balkan culture. No
Havel, Kostunica is a hardline
nationalist who has come to power partly by accommodating his public enemies.

The fall of Milosevic gives the West the opportunity to wash its hands of
the mess. But trying to wash hands and actually washing them are different
things. The West now finds itself in a position in which it must support a
political figure financially and politically. The problem is that political
figure has certain interests that will likely be anathema. If the West does
not support him, it loses credibility. If it does, it can wind up
supporting the very perspectives that helped lead to war in the first place.

This is what the ethnic Albanians in Kosovo will fear most. They see
Kostunica as the West's excuse to abandon the Albanians to the Serbs once
again. And, indeed, that might be the case. Washington, weary of the mess,
may well declare victory and go home.

 (c) 2000 Stratfor, Inc.

***************************************************************

DJINDJIC: FUTURE STATE WILL BE UNION OF SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO

 ZAGREB, October 7 (Tanjug) - The future state will not be Yugoslavia but a
union of Serbia and Montenegro with a common foreign policy, defense and
currency, Democratic Opposition of Serbia (DOS) election headquarters chief
Zoran Djindjic said for the Zagreb daily Jutarnji list on Saturday.

 Everything else will be separate, he said, adding that a common
parliament, government and president were "unnecessary." 

 Asked if he would agree to a secession of Montenegro, Djindjic said this
republic could be as independent as it wished, and that, if the majority
people agreed to secession, "that is not an issue at all."

 The situation with Kosovo and Metohija province is different "because that
region is seen by people as a cradle of the Serb being," Djindjic said.
"Our monasteries, our history" are there, he said.

 "In Kosovo at first we want to be present in resolving problems and
realizing international decisions through a new ministry in Pristina which
would settle problems in the field. Anything else would be an illusion.
Integration is not realistic," he said. 

Djindjic said the main issue in future contacts with Croatia would be the
problem of refugees, and that relations would become harmonious once this
was settled. He said he believed there was no more hatred for Croatia in
Serbia.

***************************************************************

DJINDJIC SAYS YUGOSLAVIA WILL GET GOVERNMENT IN A FORTNIGHT

 BELGRADE, October 8 (Tanjug) - Democratic Party (DS) leader Zoran Djindjic
said late on Saturday that Yugoslavia should get a new government within a
fortnight.

 "We need an instrument for administering the country", Djindjic said,
speaking after the verification of mandates in the Yugoslav Federal
Parliament, adding that what was needed was a government that could
immediately sue for a lifting of anti-Yugoslav sanctions.

 "This is something the President of the Republic alone cannot do. He can
help it along with his authority, but there has to be a government, because
sanctions are in the province of the government and its departments", he
explained.

 Asked what would happen if the Democratic Opposition of Serbia (DOS) could
not reach accord with the Socialist People's Party (SNP) of Montenegro, he
replied this would exacerbate the crisis at the federal level and leave
Yugoslavia in isolation.

 He went on to say that the logical solution would be a sort of technical
coalition, without high-profile politicians. However, if the SNP is
permanently committed to a coalition with the Socialist Party of Serbia
(SPS), then on its own head be it, according to Djindjic. He said he was
sure there was enough time and space for negotiation.
 He also said that the police "has reorganized, stabilized, and realized
what is the national interest, and it is practically immune to orders and
instructions which might lead to a conflict with the people".


**********************************************

THREE MONTENEGRO SNP VICE-PRESIDENTS: 
KOSTUNICA DE FACTO YUGOSLAV PRESIDENT

 PODGORICA, October 6 (Tanjug) - Socialist People's Party (SNP) of
Montenegro vice-presidents Predrag Bulatovic, Zoran Zizic and Srdja Bozovic
said on Friday that a popular plebiscite in Belgrade on Thursday had
defended the election will of Yugoslav citizens and that Vojislav Kostunca
is the de facto newly elected president of Yugoslavia.

 Speaking at a press conference in Podgorica, Zizic pointed out the SNP
stands voiced earlier that presidential candidate of the Socialist Party of
Serbia (SPS), Yugoslav Left (JUL) and SNP Slobodan Milosevic had lost in
the first election round to the presidential candidate of the Democratic
Opposition of Serbia (DOS).

 "Our party admitted this fact, and during the election process asked that
vague points in the conflicts over vote counting be resolved. We also
supported the peaceful civil protests and defense of the freely expressed
will of the Yugoslav citizens," Zizic said.

 "In Serbia, in the course of yesterday, in a plebiscite-like manner by the
people, the free election will of Yugoslav citizens was defended and the
winner of the first election round Vojislav Kostunica is the de facto newly
elected Yugoslav president," Zizic underscored, and, on behalf of the SNP,
wished Kostunica wisely to perform the office to which he has been elected.

 Zizic asked the SPS, with which the SNP is in a coalition at the federal
level, to join them in this. He then proceeded to speak about possibilities
for an imminent calling of a constituent session of the new composition of
the Yugoslav parliament, in which the SNP is individually the biggest
parliamentary party according to the number of won seats.

 Zizic said SNP top officials had contacts with Kostunica today and had
asked him to begin the legal procedure for calling a federal parliament
session. "We asked that he call on presidents Srdja Bozovic of the Chamber
of Republics and Milomir Minic of the Chamber of Citizens to call federal
parliament, since there is no reason for the parliament to begin with some
faults in its work, just as there is no reason for any organ at federal
level to have faults in their work," Zizic said.

 The SNP, as a responsible party, will join in this process with full
legitimacy which it received from Montenegrin citizens, demanding respect
for the Constitution and laws, he said.
 "The time which is ahead is an occasion to carry out a harmonization of
relations between Montenegro and Serbia, a harmonization of relations in
our common state, the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, which is the basic
political goal of the SNP," Zizic said.

 Asked by reporters about the future new prime minister, Bulatovic welcomed
Kostunica's principled stand that "he will respect the Constitution and
entrust the SNP with the mandate of federal prime minister."
 "Our party advocates that Montenegro be equal in the Yugoslav federation,
and that is proven also in the fact that Kostunica announced the
prime-minister designate for the new federal government would be from our
party, as the strongest political party in Montenegro which took part in
the elections and won 19 seats in the Chamber of Republics and 28 in the
Chamber of Citizens of the federal parliament," Bulatovic said.
 "We will not declare ourselves at this time, there will be consultations,
and the most important thing for us at this time is that there is respect
for the Constitution and that the mandate of the federal prime minister is
given to the SNP," he said.

 "In keeping with that mandate, we will work on uniting all political
forces in the federal parliament on preserving the Federal Republic of
Yugoslavia," Bulatovic said.

***********************************************

Why Germany is in a hurry to help

GERMANY DISBURSES A MILLION EUROS FOR CLEARING DANUBE IN YUGOSLAVIA

 BERLIN, October 8 (Tanjug) - Germany paid on Friday the first instalment
out of one million euros (1.95 million German marks) pledged for clearing
the River Danube through Yugoslavia, according to a foreign ministry
spokesman in Berlin on Saturday.

 The payment of 500,000 euros (977,500 G-marks), spokesman Andreas
Michaelis said, was made into an international fund for clearing the
Danube, an important European traffic artery that NATO's bombs closed to
navigation last year.

 This makes Germany the first donor actually to make a payment to the Fund,
Michaelis said, adding that Germany was giving the first clear signal of
support for a democratic Federal Republic of Yugoslavia, both bilaterally
and as a member of the European Union.

 He explained that the campaign for clearing the Danube of the debris of
war had long been planned, but could not be implemented because of frequent
disagreements with the Yugoslav side.

 He went on to say that the problem was expected to be cleared up soon with
the inauguration of Yugoslavia's new President Vojislav Kostunica.

**********************************************

Albright Says Priority Is to Help Kostunica

 WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The United States said on Sunday that its priority
in Yugoslavia was to help President Vojislav Kostunica by lifting economic
sanctions and giving the people of Yugoslavia a democracy dividend.

 Accountability for defeated Yugoslav leader and indicted war criminal
Slobodan Milosevic (news - web sites) will come ``ultimately'' as
Yugoslavia becomes part of a democratic Europe, Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright said on NBC's ``Meet the Press'' program.

 Kostunica took the oath of office on Saturday, one day after Milosevic
conceded defeat in presidential elections held on Sept. 24. He has said he
opposes extraditing Milosevic to face trial on war crimes charges in The
Hague.

 Albright said she was confident that Yugoslavs would eventually come round
to the view that Milosevic should face trial.

 ``They will get behind this, believe me, when they figure out that they
are free and democratic and that they will be a part of a real Europe,''
she said.

 But she added: ``We have to show the Serb people that they did the right
thing by going out to vote. They need to have some dividends out of democracy.

 ``I have no doubt that there will be accountability and Yugoslavia will
not be truly free until that happens. We have to give President Kostunica
now a chance. Let's help him. The people of Serbia have voted for him.
Let's help him.''

 ``We want to support him, we want to get assistance to him. I've been
talking to our European partners. We will be lifting certain economic
sanctions to make sure that the people can recover and the Danube is
 cleared,'' she added.

 Portions of the Danube River in Yugoslavia are closed to traffic because
of bridges wrecked by NATO (news - web sites)'s bombing campaign last year.

 The European Union is expected on Monday to lift a ban on oil sales and
flights to Yugoslavia. A freeze on the assets of former leaders will stay.

 Pressed on whether extradition of Milosevic was a condition for an end to
sanctions, Albright noted there was no time limit on prosecutions for war
crimes for Milosevic and other indicted Serbs, such as Bosnian Serb
political leader Radovan Karadzic and his military chief Ratko Mladic.

 ``It doesn't run out. ... The United States has insisted and, believe me,
their time will come,'' she said.

 Albright also made a rare foray into domestic politics, backing Vice
President Al Gore (news - web sites), a fellow Democrat, against Texas
Governor George Bush on Balkan policy.

 In the first presidential debate on Tuesday, the Republican Bush called
for a bigger Russian role in pushing Milosevic to leave power, a position
Gore opposed on the grounds that the Russians had not yet recognized
Kostunica as winner.

 Albright criticized the Russians for their delay in deciding that
Milosevic had lost.

 ``Frankly they were late. It took them a little while to assess the
reality there but ultimately, in recognizing President Kostunica they have
done the right thing.

 ``We did not want the Russians to mediate, and Vice President Gore made
that quite clear. ... The way the vice president described it was right.
They did not play the role that they needed to at the right time,'' she said.

*********************************************************

DINKIC: RATE OF EXCHANGE HALVED FOR D-MARK

 BELGRADE, October 8 (Tanjug) - G 17 PLUS Executive Director Mladjan Dinkic
said on Sunday that the new authorities have taken control over the Foreign
Currency Department and the Payment Operations Service of the National Bank
of Yugoslavia.

 Consequently, the black-market rate of exchange for the D-mark has been
halved and the going rate is now 22 dinars, instead of 40 of two days ago,
Dinkic said.

 The new authorities prevented the withdrawal of some 50 million D-marks
from an account at the National Bank on Friday, even though the withdrawal
slip had been based on a legitimate decision of the federal government,
Dinkic said, explaining that this action had been carried out in the
interest of the people.

************************************************************
Global Reflexion - Amsterdam - The Netherlands

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