----- Original Message ----- 
From: Mark Jones <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: crl <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Thursday, October 12, 2000 6:33 PM
Subject: [CrashList] sorry, and on to more important stuff


I wrongly sent an offlist post to Alanna to the list, sorry.

In view of the increase in the pace of world events wight now, I'd be glad
if listers would show patience and discipline, and keep discussion oriented
to analysing and interpreting the flood of data.

It is evident that the 4th and final Oil Shock continues to develop, and to
bring with it the possibility of intesne conflict in the Middle East, as
some of us have long warned it would.

1820 London time: The Dow is hovering on the 10 000 barrier on news from the
Mid-East.

The worst flooding in England for years has prompted the UK government's
Environment Agency to warn today that it will be  'necessary to adapt to the
effects of climate change'.

Other news

THURSDAY, 12th October, 2000:

  a.. REUTERS: "Oil Prices Rocket to a 10-Year Peak" 'by William Maclean.
'LONDON (Reuters) - Oil prices shot to a 10-year peak amid fresh Middle East
violence on Thursday as a scramble for supply pushed Brent crude above $35 a
barrel for the first time since 1990. The North Sea benchmark hit $35.30 for
a gain of $3.51 after Israeli forces attacked targets near Palestinian
President Yasser Arafat's offices in two Palestinian-ruled cities. Those
attacks and a suspected guerrilla bombing of a U.S. Navy destroyer in Yemen
stirred fears that the turmoil could ignite a wider conflict able to disrupt
energy flows from the region holding the bulk of the world's petroleum
reserves. Brent's gains later narrowed to $33.35, up $1.56. U.S. light
crudes were $2.10 stronger at $35.35. Israeli helicopter gunships fired
missiles at Palestinian targets in the West Bank city of Ramallah and in
Gaza to avenge the lynching of two Israeli soldiers by a Palestinian mob. At
least two people were hurt in an attack on Palestinian President Yasser
Arafat's Ramallah headquarters and the police station where hours earlier
hundreds of Palestinian youths had stabbed the two Israelis to death, police
and witnesses said. Arafat's office in Gaza was not hit and there were
conflicting reports about whether his Ramallah office had been struck. A
senior Palestinian official said Arafat was unhurt. In Aden, four U.S.
sailors were killed and 36 were injured when a rubber raft loaded with
explosives slammed into the USS Cole in the southern Yemeni port. The White
House said it was horrified by what appeared to be a ``terrorist'' attack.
The latest spasm of Israeli-Palestinian violence seemed certain to inflame
feelings and threaten efforts to end hostilities in which at least 97 people
have been killed, all but seven of them Palestinians or Israeli Arabs. Even
before the latest unrest, oil markets had been rising amid worries that low
U.S. heating oil inventories may prove insufficient to keep American
households warm this winter...'

  b.. REUTERS: "Oil Surges; Violence Sparks Panic Buying" by Andrew
Mitchell. 'NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. oil prices hurtled higher on Thursday
as fears grew that rising violence in the Middle East could hit the region's
oil output at a time when U.S. energy supplies are running perilously low.
November crude on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) up $2.95 to
$36.20 a barrel by 10:45 a.m. EDT after Israeli forces attacked Palestinian
President Yasser Arafat's West Bank headquarters and an explosion holed a
U.S. Navy destroyer in Yemen. Frantic buying briefly pushed prices up to $37
after Israeli helicopter gunships fired missiles at Palestinian targets in
the West Bank city of Ramallah following the killing of two Israeli soldiers
by a Palestinian mob. ``There's panic buying going on,'' said a NYMEX trader
from ABN-Amro. ``This market is going up, but I can't tell you where it will
stop, we're like looking for war alerts now,'' the trader said, as news
headlines flashed on all corners of the NYMEX trading floor in lower
Manhattan...'

  c.. INDIVIDUAL.COM: "Iraq may halt oil flows unless paid in euros-paper"
'BAGHDAD, Oct 12 (Reuters) - Iraq may halt oil exports unless a bank account
holding its U.N.-monitored petroleum revenues is changed from dollars into
euros, an Iraqi central bank official said in remarks published on Thursday.
``Iraq may resort to halting its crude oil exports if the United Nations
refuses to allow it to open a bank account in the French bank in the euro
currency,'' Abdulillah Putrus, deputy governor of the Central Bank, told the
weekly al-Zawra. ``All oil (sale) contracts that Iraq is going to conclude
with foreign parties should be paid in euros.''...'

  d.. INDIVIDUAL.COM: "UPDATE 2-Iraq says wants euro oil payments from Nov"
(Adds diplomat, oil company comment) By Peg Mackey. 'LONDON, Oct 12
(Reuters) - OPEC member Iraq wants customers lifting its U.N.-supervised
crude oil exports to pay in euros starting in November, an oil official said
on Thursday. Baghdad, which accounts for five percent of internationally
traded crude, is consulting the United Nations about the possiblility of
making the switch from dollar payments, the official added by telephone.
``Iraq this month has asked the U.N. to open another separate euro account
in addition to the present dollar account,'' the official contacted in
Baghdad said. ``From November all letters of credit for the exports must be
opened in euros and payment made in euros,'' the official said...'



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