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CIA Boss Lists Challenges U.S. Faces
 Thursday, February 8, 2001

 http://www.sltrib.com/02082001/nation_w/69487.htm
BY JONATHAN S. LANDAY
KNIGHT RIDDER NEWS SERVICE

    WASHINGTON -- Terrorist leader Osama bin Laden is the most immediate
threat to America's national security, but the Bush administration also faces
a Russian leader bent on reviving "some aspects of the Soviet past" and
missile proliferation abetted by Russia, China and North Korea, CIA Director
George Tenet said Wednesday.
    In an annual review of global threats to U.S. interests, Tenet also
warned that Saddam Hussein would probably show "greater assertiveness" in
trying to end economic sanctions against Iraq, and that the United States
could not be certain that China has halted its support for Pakistan's
nuclear-weapons program.
    Tenet told the Senate Intelligence Committee that it was increasingly
difficult for U.S. intelligence agencies to grapple with the plethora of
post-Cold War challenges to U.S. security.
    "Never in my experience," he said, "has American intelligence had to deal
with such a dynamic set of concerns affecting such a broad range of U.S.
interests. Never have we had to deal with such a high quotient of
uncertainty."
    Tenet's assessments of some threats, notably Russia, were starker than
those presented in his review last year and those of the Clinton
administration. CIA directors don't make or present U.S. policy, but
politically savvy ones such as Tenet don't ignore it, either.
    The Clinton administration withheld judgment on Russian President
Vladimir Putin's intentions and commitment to democracy, and so did Tenet in
his 2000 assessment. The espionage chief was more definitive Wednesday,
saying Putin's policies suggest he is determined to revive some attributes of
the former Soviet Union, even if that means abridging civil rights and
bullying other former Soviet republics.
    "There can be little doubt that President Putin wants to restore some
aspects of the Soviet past -- status as a great power, strong central
authority and a stable and predictable society -- sometimes at the expense of
neighboring states or the civil rights of individual Russians," Tenet said.
    He cited as examples the former KGB spy's moves to weaken the power of
provincial governors and muzzle independent media that are critical of the
Kremlin.
    Yet Tenet said that the "most immediate and serious threat" to U.S.
security is terrorist attacks by the "global network of lieutenants and
associates" of Osama bin Laden, the exiled Saudi Muslim extremist who has
declared an Islamic holy war on the United States.
    Bin Laden's "organization is continuing to place emphasis on developing
surrogates to carry out attacks in an effort to avoid detection, blame, and
retaliation," Tenet said. "As a result, it is often difficult to attribute
terrorist incidents to his group, al Qaeda, which means 'the Base.' "
    Tenet apparently was referring to the failure so far of U.S. intelligence
and law enforcement agencies to unearth evidence directly tying bin Laden to
the Oct. 12 suicide bombing of the USS Cole. Seventeen American sailors died
when a bomb was detonated beside the Cole in the Yemeni port of Aden.
    Members of bin Laden's organization reportedly have been arrested and
charged with the attack and he remains a leading suspect.
    Bin Laden has been indicted in the United States on charges of
orchestrating the 1998 bombings of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania
that killed 224 people.
    Another major threat to U.S. security, Tenet said, is the proliferation
of nuclear, chemical and biological weapons and missiles that can deliver
them.
    These threats are driving President Bush's pledge to deploy as soon as
possible systems capable of defending the United States, its troops overseas
and its allies from missile attacks.
    Tenet said the United States faced missile threats from "a variety of
actors beyond Russia and China -- specifically North Korea, probably Iran and
possibly Iraq."
    He warned that the threat is growing because of assistance and technology
that China, Russia and North Korea have been providing to countries such as
Iran and Libya. These nations, in turn, could begin aiding other governments,
he said.
    Sen. John Kyl, R-Ariz. asked Tenet about Russian assertions that tougher
export controls would curb missile proliferation more effectively than a U.S.
national missile defense.
    "The Russian export control system has been about nonexistent," replied
Tenet, a sharp contrast with the Clinton administration's assertions that
Russia was making progress in enforcing controls on exports of technologies
with military uses.
    Tenet said U.S. intelligence agencies were unable to confirm whether
China is living up to a promise it made in November to stop helping other
countries develop missiles capable of carrying nuclear weapons.
    "We are watching and analyzing carefully for any sign that Chinese
entities may be acting against that commitment," he continued. Intelligence
officials are worried that Pakistan may require further Chinese help in
developing its two-stage Shaheen II medium-range ballistic missile, he added.
    Tenet said the United States also can't be certain whether China was
fulfilling a 1996 promise to halt assistance to Pakistan's illicit nuclear
weapons program. "We cannot yet be certain . . . that contacts have ended,"
he said.
    On another matter, Tenet gave 74-year-old Cuban leader Fidel Castro a
backhanded compliment, saying he expects the island's Communist chief to live
for many more years.
    "He's got a great gene pool," said Tenet of the man the CIA once tried to
assassinate. "He's going to be around for awhile."






© Copyright 2001, The Salt Lake Tribune



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