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----- Original Message -----
From: Miroslav Antic <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: News <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; BALKAN <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>; SNN <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>;
'YAHOO' <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Cc: 'NATO' <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, August 03, 2001 2:00 AM
Subject: NATO, Russia Compare Force Levels [WWW.STOPNATO.ORG.UK]


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---------------------------------------------

Jane's Defence Weekly

August 1, 2001

[for personal use only]

NATO, Russia Compare Force Levels

By Luke Hill, JDW NATO/EU Affairs Correspondent, Brussels

An unprecedented level of openness on the size and purpose of the
conventional forces of NATO and Russia marked the monthly meeting of the

NATO-Russia Permanent Joint Council (PJC) held on 18 July. Nevertheless,

Russian officials expressed reservations about encroachment from the
West,
participants in the meeting told Jane's Defence Weekly.

NATO briefed Russian officials on the status of the alliance's
implementation
of its new force structure, agreed in December 1998 but yet to be fully
implemented. Under that plan, NATO would have the ability to mount three

concurrent corps-sized operations, with appropriate naval and air
elements,
and to sustain them for up to two years - in addition to territorial
defence
and further operations of less than corps-size. NATO is preparing to
name
three high readiness (0 to 90 days) corps headquarters (HQs), three
separate
high-readiness maritime HQs and six lower readiness (91 to 180 days)
HQs.

"What they got from us was an unprecedented briefing on the current
force
structure and force posture, akin to ministerial advice," a NATO
official at
the meeting told JDW.

NATO's current threat assessments do not envisage an invasion of NATO
territory, "so as far as the forces themselves are concerned, the
balance
between forces optimised for collective defence and those able to be
deployed
for non-Article 5 crises response operations is clearly moving in the
direction of the latter, leading to a reduction of the total number of
forces
required," said a NATO PJC briefing paper obtained by JDW.

Besides an overall reduction in forces, the number of forces stationed
on
other allies' territory has also decreased. For example, the paper
noted, the
number of allied forces stationed in Germany has declined from 420,000
in
1990 to about 102,000 today. Further, in the last 10 years there have
been
overall reductions in land forces of 34% (from about 300 combat brigades
to
197); in combat ships by 34% (from 770 to 510); and in combat aircraft
of 44%
(from about 5,020 to 2,810), NATO said.

"We expect this downward trend to continue in the short term as allies
continue to restructure their forces to take account of the new
strategic
environment," the briefing paper said. "Our security assessment does not

point to keeping such a high level of forces on high readiness," added
the
NATO official.

The Russian presentation - far less specific because NATO received a
briefing
on overall Russian military structures earlier this year (down by some
30,000
'units' in the past 10 years) - focused on the northwest region near
Norway
and Finland where Russian combat forces have been reduced by 40% and
there
now exists no capability to mount an offensive.

"This is to show that we have no intention there to make an offensive,"
a
Russian official told JDW. "We do have some concern about NATO's
developing
capabilities."

Under NATO's 1999 Strategic Concept the alliance does not foresee the
need
now to build up forces to counter a territorial threat from the east,
but
those capabilities could still be put in place. Further, it provides
consultation with any active partner member that feels its territory is
threatened by an unidentified, "large, populous and well equipped
nation".

"There is only one nation like this - us - so the strategic concept
allows
NATO to be involved in all countries of the former Soviet Union, right
up to
our borders. This causes us concern about NATO military development and
especially enlargement," the Russian official said. He added that the
PJC
talks were "the right step" towards providing further transparency and
clarification in these matters.

A co-operative joint statement on Balkans peacekeeping operations in
Kosovo
and Bosnia and the smouldering situation in Macedonia, where the two
sides
called for a peaceful resolution of the conflict, was the only other
subject
for discussion in the PJC.

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