From: Rick Rozoff <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>


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http://www.russianobserver.com/stories/2001/09/06/999779666/999787057.html

Russian Observer
September 9, 2001


U.S., NATO and EU are helpless without Russia in the
Balkans
Macedonia on the brink of war
 

Viktor Sokolov
06.38.2001, 18:38
 
German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder and President of
France Jacques Chirac, who met in Berlin, said they
were sure that the NATO Essential Harvest operation to
collect the arms to be turned over to it by Albanian
separatists is going to be successful. When the
operation is over, the chancellor said, a phase of
"mutual coordination" should follow. Moscow does not
share this view. Moreover, Russian experts suppose
that Macedonia is faced with a prospect of a big war,
the outcome of which no one can predicted.

According to the information available in Moscow, the
Albanian gunmen are not going to hand in their
armaments. And apart from small arms they have tanks,
armored vehicles, heavy mortars and other weaponry,
which they are going to use in future serious combats
on the Macedonian territory.

NATO experts have estimated that the extremists have
3,000 pieces of arms and, having received about 1,500
rifles during the Essential Harvest operation, they
rub their hands with pleasure. But, according to the
Macedonian side, it is not true. The extremists have
about 20,000 pieces of arms, not counting heavy
weapons, which they are not going to surrender and are
hiding them in the woods and mountain caves. Kosovars
returning from Macedonia think a real war is still
ahead.

Macedonians, too, believe that the disarmament
operation launched by NATO is just a farce and, like
the opposite side, they are getting ready for a war.
This is precisely why the West is inclined to regard
the latest concessions made by Skopje as a kind of
political camouflage, which does not prevent the rapid
build-up of military capability with the help of
friendly countries, including arms deliveries from
Ukraine. Only a week ago a few planes loaded with
arms, including missile systems, landed in the
Petrovic airport not far from Skopje.

Meanwhile, the Interior Ministry is hastily forming
special-task units, training them for coming back
under the control of the authorities in the northern
and north-western territories of the country, which
are populated by Albanians. These territories are in
fact controlled by extremists. Nobody in Macedonia
believes that NATO can ensure law and order in the
country. It looks like Macedonians have decided to act
on their own and have chosen armed struggle against
the gunmen. At the same time, Skopje relies on
Russia's support. And this explains why the country's
authorities have been cool of late towards the West
and are turning ever more towards Moscow. The
intensive dialogue is going on not only directly
between the presidents of the two countries,
Trojanovsky and Putin, but also along diplomatic
channels.

The developments indicate that the U.S, NATO and the
European Union, which have miscalculated the situation
in the Balkans, are again back where they started and
are compelled to seek the Kremlin's advice. So they
sent their representatives in the Balkans to Moscow,
who have been received today by Russia's Foreign
Minister Igor Ivanov.




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