20:48 2001-10-02
SERGEY SNEGOV: THERE WILL BE NO WAR. IT IS NOT NEEDED

The events around Afghanistan are developing exactly the way we predicted.
Namely: America is still shaking its fists, threatening the Taliban with
bombardment and retribution. The start of the military operation has been
delayed several times, so there is a suspicion growing the war would not
start. The ultimatum sank into oblivion together with President Bushıs
determination to clean the nest of the international terrorists and destroy
bin Laden. It was expected, the battle would start in the forthcoming week,
after the ultimatum term was over. The military maneuvers, which were
performed by the American forces seemed to be a good proof for that.

The British Observer frightened the Taliban yesterday the battle would start
that instant. However, the aircraft-carriers still sail in the ocean, the
missiles are in their mines, the aircrafts are in the hangars. The media
reported on the new date to begin the Afghan war ­ ³this week.²

The Taliban is pressing on the USA. They claim bin Laden is in Afghanistan,
then they said they collaborated with him for many years and the
collaboration continued. The question to deliver the prime suspect is not
being raised. The administration of the Afghan movement just says: ³The USA
will be really sorry, if they start the land operation in Afghanistan.² May
be they are making themselves more and more sure there will be no such
operation? 

There was a point to attack Afghanistan right after the tragedy in the US.
It was the right time, when the war would really look like the act of
retribution. We would not go into such issues like who is to blame and what
to do. The publications of the American mass media, the letters from our
readers had the common idea: show us, who is the enemy and we will take
revenge. 

There was a point to bomb Afghanistan in a week after the terror attack.
There was so much anger in the world, the ruins of the World Trade Center
were still burning. What is the point to bomb Afghanistan now? The commotion
has settled down, there are mass demonstrations taking place in Britain,
America, in other western countries as a protest against the beginning of
the new war in the world. More and more people join those actions of
protest. 

What can the bombing bring? Nothing, with the exception for victims among
the civilians and military men. It is also clear the spread-eagle spirit in
the USA went down a lot over the recent weeks. And this means that the
presidential administration may suffer a failure from the point of view of
propaganda campaign. In the beginning the specialists will appear on
television wondering what it was all for? The newspapers will pick this up
and look at the situation from the different angleŠ

The more time passes since the moment of the terror attack in the USA, the
more pointless the military preparations become. May be the goal of the
global anti-terrorist hysteria is not the global anti-terrorist war?

The American administration managed to do the things that could be dreamed
of in the beginning of the Balkan campaigns. NATOıs control over Kosovo,
Macedonia and other countries can not be compared to the operation that has
been carried through by NATO recently. The troops entered several countries,
including the post-Soviet ones ­ this did not seem to be real a very short
time ago. There were prerequisites laid to break-up the Commonwealth of
Independent States. If the situation develops the way it is going now, then
Russia will lose its influence in the East. The air space of the vast
majority of countries is open for the NATO Air Forces, the states express
their readiness for further cooperation. U.S. doubled its influence over
just 2 months. So shaking fists is worthy. Moreover, a couple of bombs could
be dropped on Afghanistan. The most important thing is to execute the major
goal. It is being executed, rather actively. Bush called the up-coming war
³the strange war² ­ not for nothing.

Sergey Snegov 
PRAVDA.Ru 


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