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From: Stasi <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Subject: Afghanistan: Allies Study Options For Full-Scale Invasion
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Allies study options for full-scale invasion

Attack possible in spring if bombing and subversion fail

Richard Norton-Taylor
Thursday November 1, 2001
The Guardian 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,584559,00.html

Britain and the US are discussing plans for a large-scale ground invasion of
Afghanistan from the north, defence sources said yesterday.
But they made it clear an invasion could not take place before the spring.

The plans - already drawn up in the Pentagon - would be a last resort and
only if the bombing campaign, future raids by special forces, and attempts
to lure Pashtun leaders from the Taliban, failed to lead to a collapse of
the regime, defence sources said.

After 25 days of bombing, there is no indication so far that the Taliban are
crumbling. 

"The situation may arise when we need to do that [launch a ground invasion]
but we are not there yet," a defence official said last night.

The prospect of a ground assault was raised at a joint press conference in
Washington earlier this week by Geoff Hoon, the defence secretary, and his
US counterpart, Donald Rumsfeld.

"We do not have anything like the ground forces we had in world war two or
in Korea or in the Gulf war, but we have not ruled that out," Mr Rumsfeld
said. He later reiterated the point, emphasising: "The United States of
America has certainly not ruled out the use of ground troops."

Mr Hoon said: "Nor have we."

Mr Hoon said such an invasion must wait until the spring.

Admitting time was running out for a ground deployment this year, he told
Sky News: "The weather is closing in. It does limit the opportunity of
certain kinds of operations."

The Democratic senate majority leader, Tom Daschle, also pointed yesterday
to the prospect of deploying large numbers of ground troops.

"There may be a need for additional efforts on the ground and if that's
necessary I'm sure the president will brief Congress on the importance of
doing it," he said.

Officials familiar with the Rumsfeld-Hoon talks said last night that the
talks concentrated on how to keep up the pressure on al-Qaida and Taliban
forces. 

Mr Hoon and Mr Rumsfeld discussed the possibility of other raids into
Afghanistan by US and British special forces through the winter. Their
better equipment could place them at an advantage even against indigenous
forces in cold weather, defence sources claimed.

The sources admitted yesterday that both governments are concerned that
strike aircraft are running out of targets. "We do not want to create
anarchy in Afghanistan," as one defence official put it.

British military officials in particular are concerned about the continuing
failure to procure adequate intelligence. The night raids two weeks ago by
US special forces are now admitted to have been a failure, with the troops
forced to exit quickly when faced with Taliban troops.

British commanders are more cautious than their US counterparts about ground
operations, including quick raids without proper preparation and
intelligence. 

One element is to encourage the Northern Alliance to increase their control
in the north while raids and other covert operations - including those by
CIA and Pakistani agents - in the south will weaken the Taliban.

In London, the Conservative leader, Iain Duncan Smith, warned there may need
to be a "major effort" on the ground.

"I think the alliance has accepted, and quite rightly so, that they must do
whatever is necessary to bring this to a conclusion," he told BBC Radio 4's
Today programme. "That may be a very major effort on the ground."


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