Human Rights Watch Backgrounder of United Front/Northern Alliance
The difference between Taliban and jehadi fundamentalists
Northern Alliance main opium producer: UN
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Unholy alliance

West's new allies include vitriolic anti-Americans, human-rights violators,
former allies of Osama bin Laden and more ...
The Toronto Star, Oct.7, 2001

Thomas Walkom, STAFF REPORTER


THE WEST'S new Afghan friends in the war against terrorism and the Taliban
are a curious lot. They include Islamic fundamentalists, vitriolic
anti-Americans, human-rights violators, one-time allies of Osama bin Laden
and soldiers of the former communist regime.

Officially, they are known as the United Islamic Front for the Salvation of
Afghanistan. Unofficially, they call themselves the Northern Alliance.

The terror attacks on the United States have given them a boost in their
five-year-old war against the Taliban, the hard-line Islamic regime that
rules almost all of Afghanistan.

Already, U.S officials are hinting they'll provide weapons to the alliance's
estimated 15,000 troops, on top of the non-military aid Washington has been
giving since 1998. 

Western journalists, too, have rediscovered the alliance and are busy
reporting on what some are already calling Afghanistan's new freedom
fighters. 

But the history of the key players in the Northern Alliance suggests they
may prove difficult allies in the U.S.-led war against terror. An uneasy
coalition, bound as much by mutual hatred as by dislike of the ruling
Taliban, their relations with one another over the past decade have been
marked by treachery, backstabbing and a level of deviousness so profound
that the word Byzantine cannot do it justice.

"They may not be perfect," acknowledges Mike Vickers, a former officer with
the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency and now director of strategic studies
for the Washington-based Center for Strategic and Budgeting Assessments.
"But the Northern Alliance does have some good elements."

At times, those good elements are hard to find.

Senior members of the alliance, including former Afghan president
Burhanuddin Rabbani and northern warlord Abdul Rashid Dostum, a key ally of
the Soviet Union during that country's attempt to occupy Afghanistan, have
been cited by the U.S. for human-rights abuses.

Deputy-premier Abdul Rasul Sayyaf, the alliance's number two political
figure, is a hard-line, vehemently anti-American Islamic fundamentalist who
is so strict on the subject of separation of the sexes that, according to
one Associated Press report, he won't even speak to women.

Yet another figure in the alliance, eastern warlord Haji Abdul Qadir, was
Osama bin Laden's first sponsor in Afghanistan when the Saudi millionaire ‹
already wanted at the time by the U.S. for his alleged involvement in
anti-American terrorist attacks ‹ fled to that country in 1996. At different
times, both Rabbani and Dostum have found themselves in informal alliances
with the Taliban and occasionally against each other.

At other times, the various factions have cheerfully massacred one another.
In 1993, according to the non-governmental organization, Human Rights Watch,
Rabbani's Society of Islam killed 70 to 100 members of the Hazara minority
linked to the rival Party of Islamic Unity, another member of the Northern
Alliance. 

Two years later, according to the U.S. State Department, Rabbani forces ‹
under the command of Ahmed Shah Massood (celebrated by Western journalists
as the "Lion of the Panjshir" until his untimely assassination last month) ‹
went on another anti-Hazara rampage "systematically looting whole streets
and raping women." 

As for the shifting loyalties of the Northern Alliance members, these are so
numerous as to make the head ache.

In 1994, Rabbani's Society of Islam was informally allied to the Taliban in
an effort to defeat the rival Party of Islam of Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, an
Islamic fundamentalist who, during the decade-long war against the Soviet
Union, had been sponsored by the CIA.

A year later, Rabbani and Hekmatyar allied with each other to fight the
Taliban. 

And now Hekmatyar, in exile in Iran, is opposed to both Rabbani and the
Taliban. 

Dostum's career is even more complicated. From 1979 to 1992, he was allied
with the communist government in Kabul. As that government was about to
fall, Dostum switched loyalties to join the anti-communist mujahideen
"freedom fighters."

When the various mujahideen factions had a falling out, he first allied
himself with Rabbani to fight Hekmatyar. Later, he joined Hekmatyar to fight
Rabbani. 

By 1995, he was supporting the Taliban against both Hekmatyar and Rabbani.
By 1996, he was allied with his two former enemies against the Taliban.

Up to now, the U.S. and other Western countries have kept a respectable
distance from the Northern Alliance.

The United Nations recognizes Rabbani's Islamic State of Afghanistan as the
legitimate government of the country. But except for India, Iran, Russia and
a few Central Asian states, almost no one else does.

Neither Canada nor the U.S. has recognized any government in Afghanistan
since 1979. 

Then, there is the drug question. Until last year, about three-quarters of
the world's heroin came from Afghanistan. Both the Taliban and the Northern
Alliance used profits from opium production and drug smuggling to finance
their war against each another.

Last July, in a move to win acceptance from the U.S., the Taliban banned
opium production in the 95 per cent of Afghanistan it controls. While the
U.S. was initially skeptical, it finally acknowledged this year that the
Taliban proscription was working.

Much to the embarrassment of those who would support Rabbani's forces,
however, the Northern Alliance merrily continues in the heroin trade.

According to the U.S. State Department, virtually the entire Afghan opium
crop this year ‹ about 77 tonnes ‹ was grown in territories controlled by
the alliance. Russian media report that the heroin manufactured from that
opium is smuggled to Europe and America through neighbouring states such as
Tajikistan. 

To the outsider, the convoluted interrelations of the Northern Alliance
might seem pure pathology.

But those who know Afghanistan say the alliance's history ‹ and indeed the
history of the Taliban ‹ can be understood only in light of the country's
tribal, ethnic and social divisions.

Afghanistan is a melange of peoples. The largest group, the Pashtun, who
inhabit the southern parts of the country near Pakistan, are thought to
comprise anywhere from 40 to 60 per cent of the population.

Tajiks, who tend to live in the northeast, form the next largest group.
Smaller minorities include the Hazara of the west (roughly 15 to 20 per
cent) and the Uzbeks of the northwest.

Unlike most Afghanis (who are Sunni Muslims), the Hazara tend to be Shi'ite,
with links to Iran. Traditionally, the Hazara have also faced more
discrimination than the other groups.

For more than 100 years, a Pashtun clan, the Muhammadzai, dominated the
country and provided the kings, including the current exiled monarch,
Mohammed Zahir Shah.

The Muhammadzai also provided the governing elite, which made efforts, often
bitterly opposed by religious conservatives, to make Afghanistan more
closely resemble the West.

(In 1926, one king who tried to follow Turkey's lead by requiring women to
give up the burqa, or head-to-toe veil, was forced to flee the country).

"The government in Afghanistan was like a club for the Muhammadzais," noted
Barnett Rubin, an expert on the region and head of New York University's
Center on International Co-operation, in an interview with the U.S.-based
Asia Society this year.

"This is why so many other newly educated elites who were not Muhammadzais
resented them and became Islamists or radical nationalists or communists or
Maoists." 

Meanwhile, in the countryside, local tribal leaders and, to a lesser extent,
local religious leaders remained powerful.

Tensions finally came to a head in 1973. The king was deposed by his cousin,
Mohammed Daoud, who proclaimed a republic and began ‹ with the help of the
U.S. and the Soviet Union ‹ to accelerate the pace of reform.

Daoud's move met instant opposition. Islamists ‹ including Rabbani,
Hekmatyar and Massood ‹ fled to Pakistan to plot against the regime.

Pakistani authorities, alarmed by Daoud's support for carving out an
independent Pashtun state in their country, eagerly welcomed the Islamist
dissidents. 

Meanwhile, in Afghanistan, other anti-Daoud forces, including many in the
military, coalesced around what was, in effect, the Communist party.

In 1978, the more radical wing of the communists seized power in a military
coup. Their ambitious social and land reform plans, as well as their
murderous repression of political enemies, sent the country spiralling into
chaos. 

A year later, the Soviets invaded and installed in power the more moderate,
pro-Moscow wing of the Communist party. That only worsened the crisis. It
also brought the U.S. into the fray as chief sponsor of the anti-Soviet
mujahideen. 

Whatever peace had existed among the country's competing groups evaporated
during the bitter 10-year war.

Nominally, the mujahideen were all friends. In fact, there was constant
friction. Rabbani and Massood were Tajiks.

Hekmatyar and his forces were Pashtun. Hazaras gravitated towards the
Shi'ite Party of Islamic Unity, now controlled by Karim Khalili.

In the northwest, the country's Uzbek minority under Dostum made peace with
the Soviets and war on the mujahideen.

Not only were the Uzbeks different ethnically, they also were less
militantly Islamic. (Dostum himself drove an armoured Cadillac and vowed he
would never bow to those who banned whiskey).

The Soviets withdrew in 1989 and the communist government fell in 1992. It
was at this point that the pent-up ethnic, regional and religious tensions
spilled into view. 

At one level, the complex series of alliances and betrayals among the
mujahideen factions, the Taliban and Dostum's Uzbeks that characterize the
past nine years boiled down to simple turf protection.

Each faction had its own base. The point was to oppose anyone who threatened
it. For each faction, today's ally could always be tomorrow's enemy.

Vickers, the former CIA agent, acknowledges the difficulty of backing a
Northern Alliance that isn't really an alliance.

But, he says, the U.S. doesn't have much choice.

"The Taliban is the central objective here. Air power won't deal with them.
We will need ground forces.

"The question is: Whose ground forces? That's why the opposition looks
attractive .... 

"They may not be perfect. But the question is: Is it better to use them or
to use Western ground troops?"

Ultimately, however, Vickers and other analysts say the problem the U.S.
faces is political.

To Afghanistan's biggest ethnic group, the Pashtun, the Northern Alliance is
a melange of old tribal enemies.

"It's not that they (the alliance) are horrible," says Vickers." You don't
have to demonize them to see that (without a Pashtun component) it won't
work." 

Presumably, this is what the deposed king is supposed to offer: Mohammed
Zahir Shah is Pashtun.

But the 86-year-old ex-monarch has been away from the action for 28 years
and, as Vickers points out, the king's Muhammadzai clan was "not great to
the minorities." 

Still, there appears to be no other anti-Taliban Pashtun leader on the scene
who is even remotely credible.

Would Afghanistan be better off with the Taliban replaced by the alliance?

Vickers, expressing the common wisdom, says it couldn't be worse.

But others point out that the position of women, for instance, is not
expected to improve greatly under a Northern Alliance government.

They note that Sayyaf, in particular, tried to introduce his rigorous brand
of Islamic law to the parts of Afghanistan he and Rabbani controlled well
before the Taliban became a force.

In 1992, for instance, when Rabbani, Sayyaf, Massood and other mujahideen
finally captured the country's cosmopolitan capital, Kabul, one of their
first acts was to ban the use of female newsreaders on television.

Two years later, and still before the Taliban took Kabul, the United Nations
reported that women in the capital were being told to quit their jobs and
wear the full-length burqa.

Women who didn't comply were liable to be raped by members of the various
mujahideen militias that prowled the city.

Ironically, Afghan women did better ‹ in Western terms ‹ under the communist
government that the West so vehemently opposed. Still, as far as the war
against terrorism goes, the welfare of Afghanistan is seen as secondary.

The point is to get bin Laden.

"I don't want more civil war," says Vickers. "But I suppose even chaos is
better than what we have."



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