The call for a Tobin tax - a tax on financial transactions - is not
"anti-capitalist", as some in the "anti-globalisation movement" seem to
think 

It is all very well being against something but if this is to be anything
more than permanently protesting against some never-ending problem you've
got to be for something too. Most of those who organise the
"anti-capitalist" and "anti-globalisation" protest demonstrations don't
seem to have thought it through this far, and those that have show
themselves not to be against capitalism. 

What they are against is what some of them call "neo-liberalism" � by
which they mean the return of laissez-faire economic policies. What they
are for is to go back to a more regulated capitalism. They merely want
states to intervene to try to control capitalism, to make it more human,
to suppress what they see as its worst excesses.

A case in point is the French-based organisation, with branches in many
other countries, ATTAC whose vice-president is Susan George, author of
such readable and informative books as How The Other Half Dies and A Fate
Worse Than Debt. Their hobby horse is a call for the so-called "Tobin
Tax", as is reflected in their full name: "Association for a Tax on
financial Transactions and for Aid to Citizens".

James Tobin was (actually, he's still alive) an American Keynesian
economist who, after the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement on exchange rates
collapsed in 1971 when America floated the dollar, proposed a tax on
currency transactions as a way of reducing speculation. Here's how he has
recently described his proposal:

"This tax aimed to limit exchange rate fluctuations. The idea is simple:
on each operation a minimum levy is made equivalent to, say, 0.5 percent
of the transaction. Enough to put off speculators. For many investors
place their money for very short periods in currencies. If this money is
suddenly withdrawn from the market, countries have to raise their interest
rates considerably so that their currencies remain attractive. 

But high interest rates are often catastrophic for the internal economy,
as the crises which hit Mexico, South East Asia and Russia in the 1990s
show. The Tobin tax would give back some margin for manoeuvre to the
central banks of small countries to fight against the tyranny of financial
markets" (interview with Der Spiegel, reproduced in Le Monde, 11 September
2001).

Tobin got the idea from Keynes who had suggested a national tax on
internal financial speculation as one of his reforms to get out of the
Great Depression of the 1930s. The idea was to encourage money-capital to
be invested productively instead of being used for unproductive
speculation. 

Tobin was given a Nobel Prize for Economics in 1981 (not that this is
worth much in academic terms; it's little more than a monetary prize), but
no government took up his proposal. In fact, for it to work, all
governments would have to take it up. That was why he suggested it should
be paid to the World Bank or the IMF.

The Bretton Woods agreement had laid down fixed rates of exchange between
currencies, in particular with the dollar which in turn was tied to a
fixed amount of gold ($35 an ounce). Devaluations and revaluations were
allowed; in fact that is what a "devaluation" was: a formal downward
change in a currency's fixed rate of exchange with other currencies. 

This system collapsed at the beginning of the 1970s when the Nixon
administration announced that the US was no longer prepared to exchange
gold at $35 an ounce. So began the present period of floating exchange
rates.

Today, the rate of exchange of a state's currency is determined by market
forces: the demand for it in relation to the desire to sell it, which in
turn depends essentially on a state's balance of trade. The more it
exports the higher will be the demand from foreigners to buy it (to pay
for the exports) while the higher its imports the more will be the supply
for sale as importers sell it for foreign currencies (to pay for the
imports). 

This is not to say that states don't try to maintain a more or less stable
rate of exchange. They do, but their only weapons now are short-term
interest rates or getting their central bank (and/or some other central
bank or banks) to buy and sell their own currency. But these are not
always that effective as was demonstrated by Britain's ignominious exit
from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism in 1992 under pressure from
speculators led by George Soros.

The collapse of Bretton Woods coincided with the last years of the long
post-war boom, and was in fact a sign that it was coming to an end. When
the boom did end, or rather, fizzled out corporations found themselves
with large "cash mountains" made up of money they would normally have
re-invested but which they didn't because it was no longer profitable to
do so. This money thus became available for currency and other forms of
financial speculation.

Essentially, speculation is the use of money-capital, not to invest in the
production of new wealth and new surplus value, but unproductively to try
and swindle other capitalists' out of their past profits. It's a zero-sum
game in which the total amount of profits remains the same but merely gets
redistributed differently amongst capitalists depending on their
speculative skills.

The statistics show that most international monetary transactions are now
of this nature. Production of course continues and has even been
increasing slowly if in fits and starts, so some international
transactions are linked to productive activity � transfer of capital to be
invested in productive activity in some other country, payments for
exports or imports, etc. But these are only a fraction of the total,
estimated at less than 10 percent.

Just like Keynes in the 1930s on a national scale, some members of ATTAC
today look at this internationally and conclude naively that, if somehow
you could discourage speculation, the money tied up in it would then be
reinvested in production instead, so reducing unemployment. 

But this is to get things the wrong way round; there is so much money
available for speculation because there are not enough profitable
investment outlets. Even if speculation was made less profitable by, for
instance, the imposition of a Tobin Tax this would not increase productive
investment. To do that you would have to increase the rate of profit or
expand markets, but that's not something that can be done by any tax.

Capitalism operates according to the rules of "no profit, no production"
and "can't pay, can't have" and, as the world market system, is what is
responsible for the desperate plight of most of the world's population.
Before anything lasting and constructive can be done about this,
capitalism has to go. 

The productive resources of the Earth have to become the common heritage
of all humanity, so that production can be directed to meeting people's
needs � all people's needs � instead of to making profits.

Jt

www.worldsocialism.org


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