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 Allies Step Up Somalia Watch
 U.S. Aims to Keep Al Qaeda at Bay
 By Thomas E. Ricks
 Washington Post Staff Writer
 Friday, January 4, 2002;

 With members of the al Qaeda terrorist network on the
 run from Afghanistan and other former safe havens, the
 United States is stepping up military activities in
 and around Somalia to prevent the lawless African
 country from becoming a new base for the group, Bush
 administration officials said yesterday.
 In recent days, the United States and leading NATO
 allies have increased military reconnaissance flights
 and other surveillance activities in Somalia, the
 officials said.

Also, the Pentagon will soon have in the Arabian Sea
three Marine Expeditionary Units, each with about
1,200 troops. One of those units is scheduled to set
sail for the United States soon, but there will be a
one-week period during the middle of January when all
three will be available for operations in the region,
officials said.

As the Pentagon sharpened its focus on Somalia, U.S.
forces continued their efforts to track down al Qaeda
and Taliban remnants in Afghanistan. Yesterday, U.S.
warplanes launched a major airstrike -- the first in
six days -- against a military compound three miles
 from the Pakistani border that Pentagon officials said
 was being used as a gathering spot by terrorist
 fighters trying to flee the country. [Details, Page
 A19.]

 Asked about the possibility of imminent military
 action in Somalia, Defense Secretary Donald H.
 Rumsfeld declined to say what might happen. "It
 doesn't do any good at all for me to be speculating
 about different countries and what we might do next,"
 he said.

 But Rumsfeld, at a Pentagon news conference, went on
 to speak in some detail about the presence of al Qaeda
 in Somalia. "They go in and out," he said. "We know
 there have been training camps there and that they
 have been active over the years and that they . . . go
 inactive when people get attentive to them."

 State Department spokesman Richard Boucher said the
 administration has not decided what action, if any, it
might take in Somalia. "We are working to ensure that
 Somalia doesn't become a haven for terrorists," he
 said. But he added: "No decisions on future targets,
 no recommendations on future targets have gone to the
 president."

 The 13th Marine Expeditionary Unit, aboard the USS
 Bonhomme Richard and other ships, left the U.S. West
 Coast early last month and is scheduled to leave
 Singapore today and to steam westward into the Indian
 Ocean, officials said. The 15th MEU, which like the
 13th is based in Camp Pendleton, Calif., is pulling
out of Kandahar, Afghanistan, and is being replaced by
 a regiment of the Army's 101st Air Assault Division
 from Fort Campbell, Ky. A third MEU, the 26th, based
 in Camp Lejeune, N.C., is also in the Arabian Sea.
 Some experts speculated that the Marines might be used
 for large-scale raids in Somalia. But others dismissed
 that as unlikely, saying that the United States
 probably would rely more on low-profile intelligence
 actions. "I'm not convinced that Somalia will look
like Afghanistan," said one Pentagon official. "It
 might be one of those things Rumsfeld describes as
 something you don't see."

 The increased attention being paid to Somalia is an
 indication of the success the United States is having
 globally in winning the cooperation of other nations
 in going after members of al Qaeda, the terrorist
 network led by Osama bin Laden and blamed by the Bush
 administration for the Sept. 11 attacks in New York
 and Washington.

 Suspected members of the group are finding that former
 havens such as Yemen, Egypt and Sudan are now cracking
 down on them. About 500 suspected terrorists have been
 detained or arrested outside the United States, U.S.
 officials have said.

 "I think they are very disrupted," Rumsfeld said. "It
 takes them longer and it's harder and more dangerous
 for them to raise money than it was three months ago."
 Rumsfeld added that al Qaeda's ability to communicate,
 to move and to train new members have also been
 constrained.

 But bin Laden and many other senior leaders of al
 Qaeda remain at large, having slipped away from U.S.
 forces in Afghanistan. Administration officials have
 repeatedly expressed concern that bin Laden may try to
 move through Pakistan to another country.
 Even as he was overseeing planning for the war,
 Rumsfeld privately expressed concern that al Qaeda
 would be routed in Afghanistan, only to seek to
establish a new base in another country. About two
 weeks after the September terrorist attacks, the
 defense secretary told his senior military commanders
 -- the regional commanders in chief known as CINCs --
to prepare to catch al Qaeda members as they flee
 Afghanistan for other countries.

 The new U.S. military operation in Somalia appears to
 be the implementation of the plans prepared in
 response to that order. In that sense, it is intended
 more to prevent additional al Qaeda members from
 getting into Somalia than to act against those already
 there. "I think it is preemptive," said one U.S.
 official. "It's also to make the point that the war
 isn't limited to Afghanistan."

 The major U.S. aerial reconnaissance activities have
 been conducted by Navy P-3 planes flying out of a base
 in Oman, at the southeastern corner of the Arabian
 peninsula. They are mainly taking photographs of
 suspected al Qaeda sites. Such images are helpful in
 planning attacks and, because they are extremely
 detailed, can also be used for tracking changes at a
 site, such as the number of people training there or
 the number of vehicles arriving and departing each
 day.

 In addition, British and French aircraft are flying
 over Somalia. The major purpose of the flights, which
 were first reported in yesterday's Washington Times,
 is to "establish a baseline so we can be sensitive to
 anomalies in the future," a Defense Department
 official said.

 The number of daily flights doubled to about four or
 five last week, but Somalia has been a particular
 focus of the U.S. military and intelligence
 establishments since Sept. 11, in part because there
 were reports that month that bin Laden had moved there
 or made plans to do so. U.S. intelligence officials at
 first found the reports credible but later decided
 that they were incorrect.

 Somalia has been considered a center of al Qaeda
 activities since 1993, when bin Laden sent several top
 lieutenants to provide assistance to Mohamed Farah
 Aideed, a local warlord. In a firefight in October of
 that year, Aideed's forces killed 18 U.S. Army troops
 who were serving in a U.N. peacekeeping force. That
 incident led to the U.S. withdrawal from the country.
 After the U.S. withdrawal, al Qaeda members continued
 to use Somalia as a regional base of operations.
 According to U.S. intelligence officials and court
 records, Somalia was the site of some of the
 preparations for the 1998 bombings of U.S. embassies
 in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and in Nairobi.
 Staff writer David B. Ottaway contributed to this
 report.


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