http://select.nytimes.com/2007/01/08/opinion/08krugman.html?th&emc=th

Quagmire of the Vanities

By PAUL KRUGMAN
NY Times Op-Ed: January 8, 2007

The only real question about the planned "surge" in Iraq - which is better
described as a Vietnam-style escalation - is whether its proponents are
cynical or delusional.

Senator Joseph Biden, chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee,
thinks they're cynical. He recently told The Washington Post that
administration officials are simply running out the clock, so that the next
president will be "the guy landing helicopters inside the Green Zone, taking
people off the roof."

Daniel Kahneman, who won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science for
his research on irrationality in decision-making, thinks they're delusional.
Mr. Kahneman and Jonathan Renshon recently argued in Foreign Policy magazine
that the administration's unwillingness to face reality in Iraq reflects a
basic human aversion to cutting one's losses - the same instinct that makes
gamblers stay at the table, hoping to break even.

Of course, such gambling is easier when the lives at stake are those of
other people's children.

Well, we don't have to settle the question. Either way, what's clear is the
enormous price our nation is paying for President Bush's character flaws.

I began writing about the Bush administration's infallibility complex, the
president's Captain Queeg-like inability to own up to mistakes, almost a
year before the invasion of Iraq. When you put a man like that in a position
of power - the kind of position where he can punish people who tell him what
he doesn't want to hear, and base policy decisions on the advice of people
who play to his vanity - it's a recipe for disaster.

Consider, on one side, the case of the C.I.A.'s Baghdad station chief during
2004, who provided accurate assessments of the deteriorating situation in
Iraq. "What is he, some kind of defeatist?" asked the president - and
according to The Washington Post, at the end of his tour, the station chief
"was punished with a poor assignment."

On the other side, consider the men Mr. Bush has turned to since the midterm
election. They constitute a remarkable coalition of the unwilling - men who
have been wrong about Iraq every step of the way, but aren't willing to
admit it.

The principal proponents of the "surge" are William Kristol of The Weekly
Standard and Frederick Kagan of the American Enterprise Institute. Now, even
if the Joint Chiefs of Staff hadn't given the surge a thumbs down, Mr.
Kristol's track record should have been reason enough to ignore his advice.
For example, early in the war, Mr. Kristol dismissed as "pop sociology"
warnings that there would be conflict between Sunnis and Shiites and that
the Shiites might try to create an Islamic fundamentalist state. He assured
National Public Radio listeners that "Iraq's always been very secular."

But Mr. Kristol and Mr. Kagan appealed to Mr. Bush's ego, suggesting that he
might yet be able to rescue his signature war. And am I the only person to
notice that after all the Oedipal innuendo surrounding the Iraq Study
Group - Daddy's men coming in to fix Junior's mess, etc. - Mr. Bush turned
for advice to two other sons of famous and more successful fathers?

Not that Mr. Bush rejects all advice from elder statesmen. We now know that
he has been talking to Henry Kissinger. But Mr. Kissinger is a kindred
spirit. In remarks published after his death, Gerald Ford said of his
secretary of state, "Henry in his mind never made a mistake, so whatever
policies there were that he implemented, in retrospect he would defend."

Oh, and Senator John McCain, the first major political figure to advocate a
surge, is another man who can't admit mistakes. Mr. McCain now says that he
always knew that the conflict was "probably going to be long and hard and
tough" - but back in 2002, before the Senate voted on the resolution
authorizing the use of force, he declared that a war with Iraq would be
"fairly easy."

Mr. Bush is expected to announce his plan for escalation in the next few
days. According to the BBC, the theme of his speech will be "sacrifice." But
sacrifice for what? Not for the national interest, which would be best
served by withdrawing before the strain of the war breaks our ground forces.
No, Iraq has become a quagmire of the vanities - a place where America is
spending blood and treasure to protect the egos of men who won't admit that
they were wrong.

***



Globe and Mail    06/01/07

Amid the intifada, a courageous friendship

Jewish secretary interrogated, jailed after banned visits with Palestinian
militia leader

ByMark Mackinnon

Jaffa, Israel -- Even strapped to a chair with her hands and feet bound, as
agents from Israel's Shin Bet domestic intelligence interrogated her for 18
straight hours about her contacts with the al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade, Tali
Fahima never doubted she had done the right thing.

Once an unknown legal secretary who supported Israel's right-wing Likud
party, Ms. Fahima earned the adoration of her country's left, and the
suspicion of the Shin Bet, by repeatedly travelling to the West Bank refugee
camp at Jenin during the worst violence of the intifada to try to better
understand Palestinians and their cause.

Over the course of her repeated trips to Jenin, Ms. Fahima struck up a
friendship with Zakaria Zubeidi, the local head of the al-Aqsa Martyrs
Brigade, an organization that dispatched dozens of suicide bombers into
Israel during the Palestinian uprising. It was a relationship that
eventually landed her in prison.

"It took a little while for me to absorb that I was standing in the middle
of Jenin, an unarmed Jew during the height of the intifada. [Mr. Zubeidi]
said to me 'you're crazy.' I think he was, too," the 30-year-old said in an
interview, recalling her first trip to Jenin. Yesterday was her third day of
freedom after being paroled following 28 months in jail.

Ms. Fahima describes her friendship with Mr. Zubeidi as "courageous" on both
their parts. Many Israelis describe it as treason.

In May of 2004, she defied a military order banning Israelis from visiting
the West Bank in order to visit Mr. Zubeidi, one of Israel's most wanted
men. After he survived an assassination attempt, Ms. Fahima declared her
willingness to act as a human shield for him. She was arrested in Jenin
shortly thereafter.

She says that during her first year in prison, before she was convicted of
any crime, she was kept in isolation, and frequently was interrogated from
dawn until midnight. She eventually made a deal with the prosecution, under
which she pleaded guilty to passing information to the enemy and of
maintaining contacts with a foreign agent with the intent of harming state
security.

Sitting in a café near her home in the port city of Jaffa, Ms. Fahima said
she has no regrets about what she did, even though it made her one of the
most polarizing figures in Israel. She believes she was silenced not because
she was a threat to Israel's security, but because she was challenging the
idea that people like Mr. Zubeidi were murderous terrorists who couldn't be
dealt with except by force.

"I went to meet with the enemy. I broke the walls that the state built. And
I'm not a lefty; I come from the Israeli mainstream. It's something that
really scared them," she said, black-rimmed glasses perched on her thin
nose. She added that she was only arrested after she refused an offer to
work for Shin Bet.

In Yafa, the café at which she chooses to meet, she's clearly seen as a
hero. Her drinking of a Turkish coffee is repeatedly interrupted by admirers
and well-wishers.

She says that her journey to Jenin began several years before, at a
conference she attended in Tel Aviv shortly after the outbreak of the
intifada in the fall of 2000. An Israeli Arab who was there complained that
Jewish repairmen refused to visit his home because they were scared to
travel to Arab towns.

Ms. Fahima says she told the man that she wouldn't go there either because
she was afraid she'd be killed, and was caught off guard when the man
responded by challenging her to visit his city, Umm al-Fahm. She decided to
face her fears and take him up on his invitation.

"I said, 'Okay, I'm going to do this,' and I went by myself, by bus," she
recalled. "I was scared. But I went and when I got there I called him and
said, 'I'm here,' and he hosted me beautifully."

The experience changed her entire outlook, and Ms. Fahima began reading
Palestinian websites and attending anti-occupation political conferences.
Later, she read an interview Mr. Zubeidi gave to an Israeli newspaper in
which he recounted his childhood involvement in an Israeli-Palestinian
theatre project and his desire to live a normal life.

The two were the same age, she realized, and she decided she wanted to
contact him. At Mr. Zubeidi's invitation, she travelled to Jenin in 2002,
shortly after dozens of Palestinians were killed in an Israeli military
incursion.

She felt partly responsible for what she saw: "This army was my army, acting
in my name." When she returned to Tel Aviv, she started giving interviews to
Israeli newspapers that were harshly critical of Israel's 35-year occupation
of the West Bank.

Now that she's served her sentence, she says she'll continue her work,
though she intends to respect the conditions of her release, which prohibit
her from visiting the West Bank, or from having any contact with Mr.
Zubeidi.

She plans to work from Jaffa to help the children's theatre in Jenin, and
says she will fight to improve the conditions of those categorized as
security prisoners, as she was. Once her court-imposed, one-year travel ban
is over, she says she wants to take advantage of her celebrity and go on
speaking tours to raise international awareness of the Palestinian cause.

"I touched a very sensitive point in Israeli society, causing a lot of
excitement and a lot of anger," she said. "As an Israeli citizen, I'm just
fighting for my future and my children's future. We have to stop the
occupation."



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