http://www.marxist.com/iran-breaking-news-armed-forces-pledge-not-shoot.htm

 Iran Breaking News: Armed forces pledge not to shoot on
protesters!<http://www.marxist.com/iran-breaking-news-armed-forces-pledge-not-shoot.htm>
Written by Hamid Alizadeh Friday, 18 February 2011
[image: 
Print]<http://www.marxist.com/iran-breaking-news-armed-forces-pledge-not-shoot/print.htm#>

*As we reported earlier, the situation in Iran is extremely tense. Most
factions of the regime were confident that the mass movement of 2009 was now
dead. But almost like lightning from a clear blue sky the demonstration last
Monday shook the entire establishment, that was taken completely by
surprise. Now it seems that the movement has provoked more serious cracks in
the regime than we had anticipated.*

According to a document received by The Telegraph, several lower ranking
commanders of the Revolutionary Guards (a professional militia counting
120,000) have signed a document stating that they do not want to shoot on
demonstrators. We provide here the full text of the article from The
Telegraph:

“Following the recent violence that occurred during anti-government protests
in Egypt, the officers argue that it is against the principles of Shi'ite
Islamic law to use violence against their own people.

In a suggestion of a major split within the Islamic Republic's ruling
hierarchy over its handling of anti-government protests, the letter has been
circulated widely throughout the ranks of the Revolutionary Guards, the body
responsible for defending religious system.

The letter, a copy of which has been seen by the Daily Telegraph, is
addressed to Major Gen Mohammad Ali Jafari, the Guards' commanding officer.
It calls on Major Gen Jafari to issue guidance to both the Revolutionary
Guards and the Basij paramilitary militia to use restraint when handling
anti-government protests.

During the violent anti-government demonstrations that followed the disputed
presidential election in June 2009, which saw President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
elected to serve a second four-year term, the government relied heavily on
the Basij to suppress the protests over fears that it could not rely on
certain Guards units.

But in the letter, which is signed by senior officers commanding Guards
units in Tehran, Qom, Isfahan and Tabriz, they urge Major Gen Jafari to "use
your authority over the Basij to order them to leave their truncheons at
home next time."

It goes on to state unequivocally, "We promise our people that we will not
shoot nor beat our brothers who are seeking to express legitimate protest
against the policies and conduct of their leader."

The Iranian government has called on its supporters to take to the streets
today to demonstrate their "hatred" for the opposition Green Movement, which
has made a dramatic return following the recent unrest in Tunisia and Egypt.
One demonstrator was killed and scores more injured when pro-democracy
activists protested against Mr Ahmadinejad's government, chanting "death to
the dictator".

Western diplomats, who have also seen the letter and confirm its
authenticity, say it has now been passed to Mr Ahmadinejad and Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei, the country's Supreme Ruler, although no official response has
been forthcoming.” (*The
Telegraph*<http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/8331625/Irans-Revolutionary-Guard-pledges-to-hold-fire.html>
)

If the information in the document is correct, it marks a very important
milestone in the development of the Iranian revolution. And there are
several factors that would indicate that what is being reported here is in
fact true.

Firstly the revolutions in the Arab world has shaken all regimes in the area
who all feel the ground underneath them shaking. The inspiration that the
Egyptian and Tunisian revolutions provide the masses of the region, however,
spread fear into the ruling circles of all these countries. In Iran too, the
movement is resurfacing. All corners of Iranian society are being affected
as tension is being raised to unheard of levels. Not only is the regime more
oppressive than ever, but the social conditions for millions also being
worsened by the day. This is preparing enormous explosions within society.

On top of this, the legitimacy of the regime is in free fall as it tramples
on all the laws and rules that it insisted on putting in place in the past.
In such a situation even the forces of the Guards are also affected –
especially since the Guards are a professional army, many of whom are
devoted to carrying on the Islamic revolution *and all its laws* (which for
instance include – at least in theory – freedom of assembly and protest).
But as these laws are not respected by the regime itself many of these
Guards, who were once the main social base of the regime, are becoming
disillusioned with it.

The guards are part of the middle classes and comprise of all kinds of
layers. Its lower layers with low wages and lower living standards are
closer to the masses, while their top layers have been engaging in big
business and have accumulated great wealth. In the year 2000 more than 70%
of the Guards voted for Khatami, a vote that was seen by most people as a
protest vote against the regime. This again proves that the Guards are not *
one* solid block of reaction, but they are receptive to socila pressures.

After six months of struggle against the masses, we saw on the day of Ashura
how fraternisation was even seen between some of the Guards and the people.
This latest letter of the officers, if authentic, reveals how strained the
Guards must have been feeling during that year. We have also heard from
other officers that the Guards cannot take much more pressure before they
begin to disintegrate (Iran's Revolutionary Guards point to fresh
dissent<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/jun/11/iran-election-revolutionary-guard>).
It is therefore clear that the officers feel that the Guards cannot be
forced to endure such a period again.

It is clear that the regime will denounce this news immediately and try to
sow confusion so as not to encourage people to take to the streets, but the
damage has been done. This news will spread like wildfire and will further
heat up as the the demonstration on Sunday approaches. [This article will be
followed up with a more thorough analysis on Monday.]


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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