[image: Logo Venezuela Analysis] Opposition Has Internal Problems and
Fighting, According to U.S Caracas Embassy Cables

Apr 16th 2011, by Tamara Pearson – Venezuelanalysis.com
[image: Henry Ramos Allup (archive)]

Henry Ramos Allup (archive)

Mérida, April 15th 2011 (Venezuelanalysis.com) – Diplomatic cables written
by the U.S embassy in Caracas between 2006 to 2009 and released by
Wikileaks, state that the opposition leaders here asked for financing and
favours from the U.S government, and reveal some of the opposition’s
internal problems, struggles over leadership, and lack of vision and
strategy.

In the cables, published by Spanish daily, El Pais this week, the U.S
Caracas embassy analysed what it considered to be serious internal problems
in the opposition, causing it to be ineffective and lose support.

A 2009 U.S Caracas embassy cable titled “Opposition announces newest unity
effort”<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/dirigente/AP/informa/intento/retirada/Henry/Ramos/elpepuint/20110413elpepuint_15/Tes>discussed
the move by the various opposition parties to form a “Unity
table”. The cable said the move was successful on the one hand because
almost all opposition party leaders are involved, but the success was
“offset... by the absence of many younger generation political figures” and
that there are internal struggles in the opposition parties between older
leaders and the younger generation, many “of whom hold office and can claim
an electoral base of support.”

The U.S embassy felt that the opposition, at the time, didn’t have “the will
to sacrifice personal ambition for the sake of unity” and that the New Time
party (UNT) was suffering from a “major schism” between its leader, Manuel
Rosales, who fled the country to avoid court, and another leader, Leopoldo
Lopez.

According to the cable, other opposition parties are happy about the UNT’s
distress because it means they can increase their own stature within the
opposition.

There are also internal leadership battles in COPEI, and within Democratic
Action (AD), party president Victor Bolivar told the embassy he was
struggling to convince the party’s general secretary, Henry Ramos Allup,
that the party needed a "renovation" and the “retirement of its older
leadership -- which is widely perceived as discredited.”

AD and Copei were the two parties who shared power for decades until Hugo
Chavez won the 1998 presidential elections. Now, the UNT and First Justice
(PJ) have become significantly large opposition parties as well. Most
opposition parties, alone, rarely manage to get more than 10% of the vote.

Meanwhile, the cable says, “Governor of Carabobo State Henrique Salas Feo,
who is president of the small opposition Proyecto Venezuela party, told
[us]... that the unity effort is a waste of time. He said opposition leaders
are too busy jockeying to be the next President of Venezuela, rather than
focusing on the needs of the people.”

At the press conference, the U.S embassy felt, “The lethargic and at times
indifferent attitude of the opposition leaders in attendance (some of whom
paid more attention to their Blackberries than to Planas' speech) stands in
marked contrast to Chavez's enthusiastic, color-coordinated PSUV rallies.”

Similarly, another 2009 U.S Caracas embassy cable titled “As Chavez expands
control, opposition
implodes”<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/dirigente/AP/comunica/embajada/EEUU/intencion/dimitir/elpepuint/20110413elpepuint_16/Tes>argued
that the opposition party leaders are still “a long way” from
coordinating their messages and actions and that instead, there are even
more fractures since the February 15 referendum to eliminate term limits was
won by the pro-Chavez forces.

According to the U.S embassy, the opposition forces lack strategy, vision,
cohesiveness, grassroots strength, or public support to really oppose the
acceleration of the “president’s...Bolivarian Revolution”.

The cable says the opposition is in “poor shape”, and their party structures
“remain top-heavy and media-focused with little grassroots reach” and in one
case a Podemos party legislator, Juan Molina, told the embassy that some
opposition leaders have negotiated with and sold out to the government.

A 2006 Secret US Caracas embassy cable titled “Accion Democratica [AD]: A
Hopeless 
Case”<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/embajada/EE/UU/Caracas/desacredita/Henry/Ramos/elpepuint/20110413elpepuint_14/Tes>
called Ramos Allup “unimaginative, overconfident, and even repellent”
and
described him as a man who rather than “seeking unity”, insults other party
officials.

The cable described AD as “dictatorial” with overly hierarchical decision
making and argued that because the party is “extremely centralised”,
alternatives to Ramos Allup end up marginalised, and that the voter base of
the party, “which consists of people who vote for the party out of
tradition” is quickly dwindling.

Ramos Allup’s strategy has been to explicitly seek funds and favours from
the U.S embassy and the cable notes, with an annoyed tone, the AD party’s
persistence in this respect, making their requests in English after embassy,
according to the cable, tried to change the subject  when it first made the
request in Spanish.

During this meeting with AD, the cable reports, “Asked whether they were
planning to engage the public on important issues, the officials said they
intended to go to the OAS to complain about Chavez' handling of the National
Assembly election instead.”

Finally, the cable expresses concern that “strategic thinkers within AD are
even rarer. Alfonso Marquina, AD's haughty former parliamentary bloc leader,
told [us] in late 2004 the opposition needed to shift its rhetoric away from
political issues and address the problems of the majority poor, but his own
party has not yet taken his advice.”

A 2007 U.S Caracas embassy cable, titled, “Opposition severely challenged,
looking long 
term”<http://www.elpais.com/articulo/internacional/Cable/debilitamiento/AD/direccion/Henry/Ramos/elpepuint/20110413elpepuint_17/Tes>made
similar observations about the state of AD and the opposition. It
summarised, “Still stinging from its tenth consecutive electoral defeat
since 1998, the opposition is plagued by infighting, the need to rebuild,
disillusioned supporters, and an inability to effectively confront President
Chavez' plans to push his "socialist" agenda.”

It argued, at the time of writing, that Rosales, who was then still in
Venezuela, was “the only national opposition politician capable of uniting
and leading broad segments of Venezuelan civil society.”

It refered to a lack of opposition motivation and cohesion following all the
defeats and to many fractures within the opposition parties, including one
fraction even vandalising its own party’s headquarters, those of First
Justice.

The cable concluded, “Despite almost 10 consecutive years of decreasing
political influence, many in the opposition remain unable to sacrifice their
personal agendas to confront the larger threat.”
 ------------------------------
*Source URL (retrieved on 16/04/2011 - 7:21pm):*
http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/6134


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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