US troops may stay in Afghanistan until 2024
America and Afghanistan are close to signing a strategic pact which 
would allow thousands of United States troops to remain in the 
country until at least 2024, The Daily Telegraph can disclose.


By Ben Farmer, Kabul

10:33PM BST 19 Aug 2011


The agreement would allow not only military trainers to stay to build 
up the Afghan army and police, but also American special forces 
soldiers and air power to remain.

The prospect of such a deal has already been met with anger among 
Afghanistan's neighbours including, publicly, Iran and, privately, Pakistan.

It also risks being rejected by the Taliban and derailing any attempt 
to coax them to the negotiating table, according to one senior member 
of Hamid Karzai's peace council.

A withdrawal of American troops has already begun following an 
agreement to hand over security for the country to Kabul by the end of 2014.

But Afghans wary of being abandoned are keen to lock America into a 
longer partnership after the deadline. Many analysts also believe the 
American military would like to retain a presence close to Pakistan, 
Iran and China.

Both Afghan and American officials said that they hoped to sign the 
pact before the Bonn Conference on Afghanistan in December. Barack 
Obama and Hamid Karzai agreed last week to escalate the negotiations 
and their national security advisers will meet in Washington in September.

Rangin Dadfar Spanta, Mr Karzai's top security adviser, told The 
Daily Telegraph that "remarkable progress" had been made. US 
officials have said they would be disappointed if a deal could not be 
reached by December and that the majority of small print had been agreed.

Dr Spanta said a longer-term presence was crucial not only to build 
Afghan forces, but also to fight terrorism.

"If [the Americans] provide us weapons and equipment, they need 
facilities to bring that equipment," he said. "If they train our 
police and soldiers, then those trainers will not be 10 or 20, they 
will be thousands.

"We know we will be confronted with international terrorists. 2014, 
is not the end of international terrorist networks and we have a 
common commitment to fight them. For this purpose also, the US needs 
facilities."

Afghan forces would still need support from US fighter aircraft and 
helicopters, he predicted. In the past, Washington officials have 
estimated a total of 25,000 troops may be needed.

Dr Spanta added: "In the Afghan proposal we are talking about 10 
years from 2014, but this is under discussion." America would not be 
granted its own bases, and would be a guest on Afghan bases, he said. 
Pakistan and Iran were also deeply opposed to the deal.

Andrey Avetisyan, Russian ambassador to Kabul, said: "Afghanistan 
needs many other things apart from the permanent military presence of 
some countries. It needs economic help and it needs peace. Military 
bases are not a tool for peace.

"I don't understand why such bases are needed. If the job is done, if 
terrorism is defeated and peace and stability is brought back, then 
why would you need bases?

"If the job is not done, then several thousand troops, even special 
forces, will not be able to do the job that 150,000 troops couldn't 
do. It is not possible."

A complete withdrawal of foreign troops has been a precondition for 
any Taliban negotiations with Mr Karzai's government and the deal 
would wreck the currently distant prospect of a negotiated peace, Mr 
Avetisyan said.

Abdul Hakim Mujahid, deputy leader of the peace council set up by Mr 
Karzai to seek a settlement, said he suspected the Taliban had 
intensified their insurgency in response to the prospect of the pact. 
"They want to put pressure on the world community and Afghan 
government," he said.



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