*One dead in Lebanon after anti-Assad
celebrations*<http://english.al-akhbar.com/content/one-dead-lebanon-after-anti-assad-celebrations>
* *
*One person died and eight others were injured on Wednesday in the north
Lebanese city of Tripoli, following celebrations of the killing of senior
Syrian politicians. The victims were shot by stray... *


-----------

 Syrian ministers killed in Damascus blast
  Defense Minister Daoud Abdullah Rajha (C) was killed by a suicide bomb in
the capital Damascus (Photo: AFP – SANA)

Published Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Syrian Defense Minister Daoud Abdullah Rajiha and Assef Shawkat, President
Bashar al-Assad's brother-in-law, were killed by a bomb blast at a key
security building in Damascus on Wednesday, Syrian and Lebanese media
reported.

Later on Wednesday explosions were reported near the base of the Fourth
Armored Division, headed by Assad's brother Maher, but these were denied by
the government.

"A suicide attack has targeted the National Security building," Syrian
state TV said of the security apparatus headed by Hisham Bekhtiar.

"The terrorist explosion which targeted the national security building in
Damascus occurred during a meeting of ministers and a number of heads of
(security) agencies," the network reported.

The attack occurred as several ministers were meeting security officials,
Syrian state TV said.

Lebanon's Al-Manar television said Shawkat, Deputy Defense Minister, also
died in the blast, the first family member of the president to have been
killed since the uprising began 16 months ago.

Hassan Turkmani, assistant vice president and head of the government's
"crisis group" on the uprising against Assad's rule, also died, Al-Manar
television said.

Interior Minister Mohammad al-Shaar was wounded in the blast, but is
currently in a stable condition, Syrian TV reported.

Bekhtiar, the head of national security, was critically wounded and has
gone into surgery, Syrian TV added.

Information minister Omran Zoabi confirmed the deaths of the two men,
calling them "heroes of this country."

"We are sad, pained and angry at this terrorist attack which we condemn,"
he told state television, adding "this kind of explosion does not bring
down a regime."

State television later reported that Fahd Jassem al-Freij had been
appointed as the new Defense Minister following the deaths.

The British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said that all members
of the crisis meeting, which included security officials, were seriously
wounded.

Security officials told AFP that several other participants in the meeting
were wounded in the blast and taken to Al-Shami hospital in the capital for
treatment.

The circumstances of the blast are still unclear. Reuters reported that the
suicide bomber worked as a bodyguard for Assad's inner circle.

AFP reported that a man in the meeting room detonated an explosive belt. A
political source in Damascus, wishing to remain anonymous, told
*Al-Akhbar*that the blast was detonated inside the building.

However Lebanon's Al-Manar television said it was not a suicide attack,
saying a 40-kilogram bomb was planted in the room by an unknown individual.

A Syrian rebel Islamist group called Liwa al-Islam claimed responsibility
for the attacks, Reuters reported.

"We happily inform the people of Syria and especially the people of the
capital that the National Security Bureau, which includes what is called
the crisis management cell, has been targeted with an explosive device by
the Sayyed al-Shuhada brigade of Liwa al-Islam," the statement read.

The Free Syrian Army also claimed responsibility, according to Qassim
Saadedine, a spokesman. "This is the volcano we talked about, we have just
started," he said.

Later on Wednesday Reuters reported that five explosions were heard near
the northwestern Damascus district of Muhajireen, close to the base of the
Fourth Armored Division that is led by President Bashar al-Assad's brother
Maher.

Zoabi denied the attack, saying the report was "absolutely untrue."

Al-Qaeda linked Islamist groups have been blamed by both the Syrian
government and the United Nations for previous suicide attacks in Damascus
during the crisis.

The attack comes after four days of fierce clashes between the army and
rebels in several pockets of the city, and only a few hours before the UN
Security Council is set to vote on a Western-drafted resolution invoking
Chapter VII.

Russia and China are expected to veto the resolution.

*(Al-Akhbar, Reuters, AFP, Al-Manar, SANA)*

*-------------*

BREAKING: Damascus explosion kills Defense Minister, other key
figures<
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/18/1111264/-BREAKING-Damascus-explosion-kills-Defense-Minister-other-key-figures
>for
more background on the Syrian Revolution see also:

The battle for Damascus is
coming<
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/17/1110713/-The-battle-for-Damascus-is-coming
>
BREAKING: General Strike in
Damascus<
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/07/16/1110460/-BREAKING-General-Strike-in-Damascus
>


-------------------

 Syria (and Beyond) Live Coverage: UN Talks, Damascus
Fights<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/18/syria-and-beyond-live-coverage-un-talks-damascus-fights.html>



inShare*0*

[image: Date]Wednesday, July 18, 2012 at 9:40 | [image: Author]James
Miller<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/author/james-miller> in
[image: Category]Africa<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/category/africa>,
[image: Category]EA
Global<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/category/ea-global>,
[image: Category]EA Middle East and
Turkey<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/category/ea-middle-east-and-turkey>,
[image: Category]Middle East and
Iran<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/category/middle-east-and-iran>


View Syria - 2012 July 17 - EA
Worldview<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msa=0&msid=215253448853172848529.0004c506f77b9e6679286&ie=UTF8&t=h&ll=33.527658,36.339684&spn=0.11448,0.146255&z=12&source=embed>in
a larger map

*An interactive map of Tuesday's developments in Syria*

*See also Syria Audio Special: The Importance of the Damascus Bomb ---
Scott Lucas with Monocle
24<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/18/syria-audio-special-the-importance-of-the-damascus-bomb-scot.html>
Turkey Analysis: Discussions over Syria in Moscow --- What Do They
Mean?<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/18/turkey-analysis-discussions-over-syria-in-moscow-what-do-the.html>
Morocco Feature: The Rise and Fall of the February 20
Movement<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/18/morocco-feature-the-rise-and-fall-of-the-february-20-movemen.html>
Syria Analysis: It's Not Quite "The Battle for Damascus"...But It's An
Important Fight
<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/17/syria-analysis-its-not-quite-the-battle-for-damascusbut-its.html>
Tuesday's Syria (and Beyond) Live Coverage: Fighting Across the
Country<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/17/syria-and-beyond-live-coverage-fighting-across-the-country.html>
*
------------------------------

1958 GMT: *Syria.* Defections have been occurring at a faster and faster
pace, but today there were reports that a relative trickle, perhaps a
hundred ot a few hundred soldiers every week, may have finnaly reached
flood-stage, with unconfirmed reports that hundreds of fighters jumped ship.

There are reports that a single new brigade of Free Syrian Army soldiers,
the "Unification Brigade" claiming to be made up of soldiers from many
different backgrounds, contained more than 100 soldiers, all of whom appear
to be heavily armed, and that those soldiers are also equipped with
multiple vehicles armed with heavy machine guns and anti-aircraft weapons.

 Sami al-Hamwi @*HamaEcho* <https://twitter.com/HamaEcho>

Massive Brigade of the FSA formed in
#*Aleppo*<https://twitter.com/search/%23Aleppo>- "Unification Brigade"
-
youtube.com/watch?v=AGIky5… <http://t.co/KiyC4EYm>
#*Syria*<https://twitter.com/search/%23Syria>
 18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/HamaEcho/statuses/225668652534476801>

   - ***Reply*<https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=225668652534476801>
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***Favorite*<https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=225668652534476801>

1938 GMT: *Syria.* EA's editor, Scott Lucas, spoke with Monacle 24 radio
earlier today about the situation in Syria. His take-away - the bombing in
the capital was as much a blow to the people's confidence in the regime as
it was to the regime's leadership.

*See also Syria Audio Special: The Importance of the Damascus Bomb ---
Scott Lucas with Monocle
24<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/18/syria-audio-special-the-importance-of-the-damascus-bomb-scot.html>
*

That sentiment is echoed by Dutch journalist Sander Van Hoorn, who spoke to
*The Guardian* from Damascus and concluded that today's events have
been a major
blow to morale in the center of the
capital<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2012/jul/18/syria-crisis-assad-loyalists-killed#block-13>
:

*

Only yesterday people in the centre of Damascus felt that events were
happening far away from them. Yes, the outskirts were scenes of fighting,
they knew that, but for something like this to happen in downtown Damascus…

People are nervous. You can tell. They are constantly checking their
phones, calling others to check: how are you, where are you, what are you
doing, what rumours are you picking up?

So far people in downtown Damascus believed themselves to be safe. When you
heard an explosion, you know it had to be in the outskirts of the city, as
that was where all the fighting was taking place. After what happened
today, if you hear an explosion, you see people walking outside to check.
They realise that now, it could be very close.
*

1920 GMT: *Syria* One of our contacts, Zilal, shares this video, confirming
earlier reports that Free syrian Army militants and Assad security forces
fought earlier in the Palestinian Refugee camp in southern Damascus
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.497316,36.373672&spn=0.150022,0.338173&iwloc=A>
):

 Zilal @*zilal1* <https://twitter.com/zilal1>

#*Damascus* <https://twitter.com/search/%23Damascus>: clashes between FSA
and Assad forces in Palestine Camp area 18-7-2012
youtube.com/watch?v=1cR6Cr… <http://t.co/gHBjNHMC>
#*Syria*<https://twitter.com/search/%23Syria>
 18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/zilal1/statuses/225669402752868352>

   - ***Reply*<https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=225669402752868352>
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We asked Zilal about rumors that the regime had shelled the camp. As far as
she and he contacts know, this was not true, but the reports that there
were skirmishes throughout the day are accurate.

The fact that the Palestinian refugees have sided with the opposition is a
major blow. The fact that they are freely striking at Assad's flanks with
RPGs and AK-47s is another sign of just how quickly things are changing in
Damascus.

1910 GMT: *Syria.* Yet another sign that the capital is surrounded by
violence - this video was reportedly taken in Ain Tarma, in the Ghouta
region east of Damascus
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.531665,36.386032&spn=0.299924,0.676346&iwloc=0004c51f54f83d2af0328>
).

1840 GMT: *Syria.* *Global Post News*, which has launched a new live-blog
of events in 
Syria<http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/middle-east/syria/120718/syria-damascus-bombing-kills-defense-minister-top-off>,
picks up on this report from Reuters:

The Syrian army shelled the Damascus district of Mezze and the Mouadamiya
suburb on Wednesday, according to reports from activists, Reuters said.

"Artillery batteries stationed on Qasioun mountains overlooking Damascus
started firing intermittently at the two districts at about 7:30 p.m.,"
Reuters reported, citing activists.

Mouadamiya 
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.498461,36.348953&spn=0.300039,0.676346&iwloc=A>)
and Mezzeh 
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.500179,36.348953&spn=0.300033,0.676346&iwloc=0004c51f04dd3986dee5f>)
are particularly important areas because they link southern districts where
fighting has been so heavy with the west of the capital, the location of
the heart of Assad's government. We've seen shelling southwest of Mezzeh
before, but if the FSA is making inroads in these areas then the regime has
a direct threat on its hands.

1827 GMT: *Syria.* A Twitter
user<http://twitter.com/Guardian_Mario/statuses/225651505158557697>who
is carefully following Bambuser accounts finds another
live-stream <http://bambuser.com/v/2837360>, this one reportedly from Al
Bukamal, near Deir Ez Zor
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=34.569341,40.921326&spn=0.296275,0.676346&iwloc=0004c51edc7212d8fef98>).
While we cannot verify the video, especially since it is now night, we do
have other reports of heavy fighting in the area.

Intense fighting has also continued today in Deir Ez Zor, according to our
sources. The battle for these Eastern countries will growing increasingly
more interesting if the Assad regime is forces to move forces back west in
order to secure Damascus.

1806 GMT: *Syria.* The death toll is climbing - the LCC Reports 92 people
have been killed so far
today<http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=498717356822072&set=a.221856221174855.74557.217848338242310&type=1>
.

28 in Damascus; including 15 in Hajar Aswad, 11 in Damascus Suburbs, 15 in
Daraa, 4 in Aleppo, 8 in Homs, 8 in Idlib, 8 in Deir Ezzor, 6 in Hama, 2 in
Lattakia, and 2 in Swaida.

As you can see, the newest tally reflects the reports that the death toll
in Damascus is climbing, and the fighting only escalating in some areas,
particularly Hajar al Aswad
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.514492,36.328354&spn=0.149992,0.338173&iwloc=0004c51d49d65fa936fab>),
as the night draws on.

1800 GMT: *Syria.* Complicating the situation tonight in Damascus, large
protests have also taken place in the capital. Those protests are often
very close, dangerously close, to where fighting is taking place.

This video shows protesters in Kafer Souseh
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.514492,36.328354&spn=0.149992,0.338173&iwloc=0004c51e704a79cdd0ecd>)
after they lit fires on the road to block any regime vehicles that might
respond. However, what sounds like gunfire can be heard on the video.

1706 GMT: *Syria.* This live stream, shared with us via
Twitter<http://twitter.com/Guardian_Mario/statuses/225636659117568004>,
reportedly shows gunfire in the Midan district of Damascus
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.502469,36.346893&spn=0.300025,0.676346&iwloc=0004c51a4e2d95021dcc4>).
Though we can't confirm the exact location, the hills in the background
certainly resemble Damascus, and this report is consistent with others
emerging from Damascus:

As I noted in my "History of the
Insurgency<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/11/syria-special-16-months-later-a-history-of-the-insurgency-an.html>,"
an in-depth assessment of the Free Syrian Army that we published only last
Wednesday, we talk about how the Syrian regime has been losing ground in
northern Aleppo, AND trying to regain it, for many weeks now, with no
success. This begs the question - if the capital is under attack, will
Assad pull more forces out of Aleppo and into Damascus, giving the FSA
nearly unchecked access to the countryside surrounding Syria's largest city?

I'll echo the same question as I post this video, reportedly taken on a
road in Deir Ez Zor, which appears to show the burned-out remains of
yet-another tank:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=As29n2HqOSg



And in yesterday's coverage we posted many similar videos, including a clip
that showed 7 armored vehicles reportedly captured by FSA fighters in
Talbiseh, north of Homs.

See also Tuesday's Syria (and Beyond) Live Coverage: Fighting Across the
Country<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/7/17/syria-and-beyond-live-coverage-fighting-across-the-country.html>

This bombing is a huge blow to the Assad regime, but it's hardly the only
body blow received by the regime in recent weeks. By all reports, the
fighting elsewhere continues today as well.

1526 GMT: *Syria.* Celebrations are being held in many towns and cities
across Syria as news of today's bombing inn Damascus spreads. But the
protests don't end in Syria. The Sham News Network posts this video,
reportedly taken in a refugee camp in Turkey, where protesters jubilantly
celebrate:

Obviously, we cannot confirm this video.

1518 GMT: *Syria.* Fascinating international news - according to AFP, the
UN Security Council vote on a draft resolution aimed at Syria, scheduled to
take place today, will likely be
delayed<http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=420280>.
But the reason for the delay is both vague and intriguing:

*"There are more contacts at the highest level so it will probably be
delayed," a Security Council diplomat told AFP on condition of anonymity.*

1507 GMT: *Syria.* More confusing reports - after initially reporting that
interior minister Mohammad Shaar was dead, Syrian state media reported that
he survived the attack and was now in stable condition. Now, however, it
appears that State TV has officially announced that Shaar has
died<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2012/jul/18/syria-crisis-damascus-diplomatic-battles-live#block-34>
.

We'd write a statement like "we're not sure," or "still unconfirmed," but
if you've been reading today's coverage you probably get that almost none
of this information is particularly reliable. The Syrian State Media keeps
changing its stories, Hezbollah and Lebanese media is often broadcasting
conflicting information to what the Syrian media broadcasts, and the rest
of the information is one giant rumor mill.

If we had to guess, we'd say that Shaar survived the blast but has since
died. It seems unlikely that at this relatively late hour the state media
would say that he has died if this were not the case.

1436 GMT: *Syria.* More important rumors - there have been widespread
rumors that Syrian military units are defecting in large numbers,
particularly near the capital. Among the most significant report is that
the amount of defections in Qaboun
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.548262,36.337624&spn=0.149933,0.338173&iwloc=0004c51b9ed4ac950c7ce>)
is significant enough to effectively deliver the neighborhood to the Free
Syrian Army.

Because of today's events, we expect to see lots of wild rumors. But these
rumors are also being posted by traditionally conservative opposition
outlets, like the Local Coordinating
Committees<http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=498635310163610&set=a.221856221174855.74557.217848338242310&type=1>
.

There are also disturbing rumors that shabiha, pro-regime paramilitary,
have entered Midan and Al Asali with guns and knives. These rumors also
seem alarmist, but sources close to Al Jazeera, and some of our own
sources, have also heard the rumors.

1422 GMT: *Syria.* The LCC reports that 57 people have been
killed<http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=498636480163493&set=a.221856221174855.74557.217848338242310&type=1>so
far today:

14 in Daraa (Daeel, Zaizoon, Tafs, Na'aeemeh, Om Mayazen, Daraa Sad), 12 in
Damascus (Madaya, Zabadani, Malieha, Tal, and Hameh), 7 in Homs, 5 in Deir
Ezzor, 5 in Idlib, 4 in Hama, and 2 in Aleppo (Kal ـibrbin and Tal Rafaat.

For now, mostly for lack of resources, we are concentrating on Damascus,
but these numbers are supported by the fact that widespread violence is
reported in Daraa province, Homs, and Deir Ez Zor today. While the
situation in the capital is escalating, the regime has lost control of many
areas of this country, and is fighting to keep control in areas like Aleppo
and Deir Ez Zor, where that control is very much challenged by a surging
insurgency.

1414 GMT: *Syria.* The *New York Times* reporter David Goodman shares this
live-stream showing smoke rising and gunfire in Midan, Damascus
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.487151,36.297626&spn=0.07502,0.169086&iwloc=0004c51a4e2d95021dcc4>
):

 jdavidgoodman @*jdavidgoodman* <https://twitter.com/jdavidgoodman>

Livestream from Midan area RT
@*Bambuser_Alert*<https://twitter.com/Bambuser_Alert>:
LIVE NOW: Gunfire in #*Damascus* <https://twitter.com/search/%23Damascus>, #
*Syria* <https://twitter.com/search/%23Syria>:
bit.ly/MHVRb7<http://t.co/62zxgr6W>
18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/jdavidgoodman/statuses/225592285742645248>

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1408 GMT: *Syria.* The Syrian government, through SANA, has released a
statement that a "large number of
terrorists<http://sana.sy/eng/337/2012/07/18/432186.htm?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter>"
have been "hunted down" by Syrian military forces in Midan, but also in
areas of Homs and Idlib provinces.

1356 GMT: *Syria.* Meanwhile, video has surfaced of the FSA capturing a
regime vehicle in Midan
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.487151,36.297626&spn=0.07502,0.169086&iwloc=0004c51a4e2d95021dcc4>).
There are rumors of even more significant trophies.

1347 GMT: *Syria.* A clarification (we think) of some of the rumors
reported earlier. The Vice President was initially reported to have
defected, then there were rumors that he had been killed. Apparently, the
first rumors have been denied:

 Ali Hashem علي هاشم @*alihashem_tv* <https://twitter.com/alihashem_tv>

Syrian vp Farouk alsharea denies previous reports he defected
#*Syria*<https://twitter.com/search/%23Syria>
#*Breaking* <https://twitter.com/search/%23Breaking> via anb news
18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/alihashem_tv/statuses/225586533686710273>

   - ***Reply*<https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=225586533686710273>
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The second rumor, that Al Sharea was killed, sprung from confusion over the
reports that General Turkmani, who was acting deputy Vice President, has
been killed.

1343 GMT: *Syria.* This live-stream
<http://bambuser.com/v/2836819>reportedly shows the Damascus suburb of
Sbeneh (
map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.471688,36.297626&spn=0.075033,0.169086&iwloc=0004c51ac8d5ff65a9d21>),
south of the other fighting going on today. It shows a strong presence of
FSA fighters on the streets near the capital. Clearly, while battles rage
further north, some areas south of the capital have been largely or
completely abandoned by Assad forces.

1332 GMT: *Syria.* News of even more deaths today - there are rumors that
the Syrian vice president has been killed, and now the confirmation that
yet another major general has died:

 Robert Mackey @*RobertMackey* <https://twitter.com/RobertMackey>

MT @*Reuters* <https://twitter.com/Reuters>: Syrian general Hassan Turkmani
dies of wounds sustained in Damascus blast - Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV.
18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/RobertMackey/statuses/225582444273876992>

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1325 GMT: *Syria.* The Syrian State news website, SANA, is finally back
online, and has released this
statement<http://www.sana.sy/eng/21/2012/07/18/432178.htm>
:

Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the Army and the Armed Forces, Deputy Prime
Minister, Minister of Defense Gen. Dawood Rajiha and Deputy Minister of
Defense Gen. Asef Shawkat were martyred on Wednesday in a terrorist
explosion targeting the National Security headquarters in Damascus.

The terrorist blast happened while a meeting of a number of ministers and
authorities senior officials was taking place, causing injuries among the
attenendees, some of them critical.

1305 GMT: *Syria.* How big a blow was this suicide bombing? There are
rumors that the Syrian military has withdrawn its tanks and soldiers from
the Midan district
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.501467,36.306553&spn=0.075007,0.169086&iwloc=0004c51a4e2d95021dcc4>)
and the military is now shelling the district. Heavy fighting has also been
reported on the outskirts of the district.

If this report is true, it would mean that a very important and very
central district of Damascus has been ceded to the FSA. The regime is
clearly trying to secure the center of the city, and areas like Rawda where
so much of its power is centralized, but even if the military plans on
retaking this area, such a withdrawal would be a major defeat, and a
reinforced Midan would pose a threat to regime tanks and troops when a
counter-attack is eventually launched.

These reports are also unconfirmed. The fighting is very intense, and the
situation chaotic, so the perceptions of the activists are absolutely
vulnerable to the fog of war.

1251 GMT: *Syria.* The latest on the reports of bombings - the fallout from
the bombing in the Rawda distrcit of Damascus
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.520789,36.35376&spn=0.149981,0.338173&iwloc=0004c51a18b68cde56b4e>)
continues to unfold, but just as consequential are the reports of
explosions at the headquarters of the 4th division, Assad's most loyal
division.

There are reports that State TV has made a statement that while there were
explosions near the 4th division HQ, there have been no explosions inside
the building. The building is in a fairly rural area, but it is also nearly
surrounded by areas where the Free Syrian Army has displayed significant
capabilities in recent days
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.379853,36.33728&spn=0.150225,0.338173&iwloc=0004c51a0dbc8800cc8d4>
).

All of this is still unconfirmed.

1236 GMT: *Syria.* The Syrian government has announced, via State TV, that
a new defense minister has been appointed after the last one was killed.
Fahd Jassem al-Freij is a relative unknown, beyond the fact that he was
formerly Chief of Staff of the Army and the Armed Forces.

1225 GMT: *Syria.* The news is breaking fast, but we'd be amiss if we did
not remind the readers that this bomb blast (or bomb blasts) are occurring
in a capital city that is already under siege. Gun battles continue to
rage, and the military is attacking many areas with helicopters, tanks, and
even mortars and artillery.

This video was reportedly taken this morning in Saqba
(map<https://maps.google.com/maps/ms?msid=215253448853172848529.0004c519b4e1c79b9af10&msa=0&ll=33.53052,36.369553&spn=0.074982,0.169086&iwloc=0004c519b4e37b6556f7f>),
an eastern suburb of the capital:

1215 GMT: *Syria.* Two groups have claimed responsibility
<http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/2/8/48040/World/Region/Islamist-group,-Free-Syrian-Army-claim-Damascus-at.aspx>for
today's attack. The Free Syrian Army released a statement that they were
behind the attack. Qassim Saadedine, the spokesperson of the FSA, said
"This is the volcano we talked about, we have just started." This echoes
statements that the "battle for Damascus has begun," made yesterday.

The other group is called Liwa al-Islam, or the Islamic Brigade, which has
said that it "targeted the cell called the crisis control room in the
capital of Damascus." The Islamic Brigade does not have a very long track
record with which to judge the reports.

The rumor flying since morning is that a senior member of the security
forces, or perhaps a body guard, were responsible for this attack. Such an
action would likely be the work of the Free Syrian Army, the destination of
most defectors.

1206 GMT: *Syria.* This is unconfirmed, but Al Jazeera's networks, and CNN,
are both reporting that there are reports of a huge explosion at the
headquarters for the 4th division. The 4th division is one of the most
trusted, beloved, and feared brigade in the military. It's also the
division run by Maher al Assad, the head of the Republican Guard and the
brother of the president.

If true...

1158 GMT: *Syria.* If you live in Syria, when you turn on your TV today you
will see a patriotic montage of images of the Syrian
military<https://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=10151927865625004&set=p.10151927865625004&type=1&theater>,
interspersed with the breaking news that so many members of the regime are
dead.

But if you look out the window in Damascus, this is what you will see,
smoke rising from the capital city:

1150 GMT: *Syria.* Some snap analysis -

This is a major blow to the regime. Confidence in Assad's ability to handle
this crisis will shrink at a faster rate than the violence grows. Today's
bombing claimed the life of the Defense Minister Dawoud Rajha, the Deputy
Minister of Defense/head of intelligence services Assef Shawkat who is also
Assad's brother-in-law, and possibly the Head of National Security Council
Hisham Bakhtyar (from what we know now, that information could change, but
Syrian State TV just confirmed that he is dead), and injured many others
including the Minister of Interior Mohammad Sha'ar, is a strike at the
heart of the regime. The drum beat we've been pounding out, that the Assad
regime is vulnerable from a sudden defection or high-profile betrayal,
combined with a surge of insurgents in the capital, has particular
resonance now. The fact that the capital is on fire shows that Assad can
only defend his capital by destroying it.

The rest of the country is also in flames. Aleppo is slipping, and could
soon share a similar fate. In fact, the only places that have been safe
from this kind of violence is Tartous and Lattakia, and even there some
protests, and occasional violence, has been reported. 9 of Syria's top 10
cities have seen extreme violence, and very large protests, in the last few
weeks, and the Free Syrian Army is in nearly full control of large parts of
Idlib, Aleppo, and northern Hama provinces.

The end has probably begun.

Expect more defections. Expect more bombings like this. But also expect the
FSA to gain confidence. What we should probably not expect is for the
international community to figure out that the window for dialogue is over.

James Miller takes over today's live coverage. Thanks to Scott Lucas for
getting us through the morning.

1128 GMT: *Syria*. State TV has confirmed the death of Deputy Minister of
Defense and head of intelligence services Assef Shawkat, President Assad's
brother-in-law.

1126 GMT: *Syria*. Journalist Ali
Hashem<http://www.twitter.com/alihashem_tv>reports Hisham Bakhtyar,
the head of the National Security Council, was
also killed in the Damascus bombing.

Reuters, however, is citing "security sources" that Bakhtyar is critically
wounded and undergoing surgery.

1109 GMT: *Syria*. Al-Manar TV is reporting that Assaf Shawkat --- Deputy
Minister of Defense, head of intelligence services, and brother-in-law of
President Assad --- has died from injuries suffered in this morning's
suicide bombing in Damascus.

Al Arabiya claims that Shawkat is alive but critically injured.

State TV says Minister of Interior Mohammad Sha'ar is in "stable condition"
in hospital.

1047 GMT: *Syria*. Al-Manar TV, linked to Lebanon's Hezbollah, is reporting
that the Minister of Interior Mohammad Sha'ar, has been seriously injured
in the Damascus suicide bombing. Al Jazeera English says Ahmed Shawkat,
Deputy Minister of Defense and brother-in-law of President Assad, is also
in serious condition.

1040 GMT: *Syria*. State media have reported that the bodyguard of Minister
of Defense Dawoud Rajha, slain in the attack, was the suicide bomber in
Damascus this morning.

The website of the official State news agency SANA has been
off-line<http://www.sana.sy/>since first reports of the bombing.

1030 GMT: *Syria*. Back from an academic break to find the report from
State TV that Minister of Defense Dawoud Rajha has been
killed<http://www.todayszaman.com/newsDetail_getNewsById.action?newsId=286881>in
a suicide bombing of the National Security Building in the Radwa
district of central Damascus.

Rajha, 65, was the highest-ranking Christian official in the regime. He was
also targeted with other ministers in a poisoning attempt in May.

State media said the attack occurred during a meeting of Cabinet ministers
and senior security officials, It reported that several were seriously
wounded.

Activists in Damascus said that Republican Guards sealed off the Shami
hospital in the capital after ambulances brought casualties from the site
of the explosion.

0920 GMT: *Syria*. State TV is reporting an attack by a suicide
bomber<http://www.chron.com/news/article/Syria-s-state-run-TV-says-a-suicide-attack-has-3715249.php>on
a national security building in Damascus.

0910 GMT: *Syria*. According to *Le Figaro*, via *The Guardian*,
<http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2012/jul/18/syria-crisis-damascus-diplomatic-battles-live#block-5>a
French investigation has concluded that Gilles Jacquier, the first
journalist to die in the Syrian conflict, was killed by opposition
fire<http://www.lefigaro.fr/international/2012/07/17/01003-20120717ARTFIG00525-jacquier-l-enquete-francaise-pointe-les-rebelles-syriens.php>
.

Jacquier was slain with eight Syrians during a regime-organised visit to
Homs in January,

A Ministry of Defense source said, "Ballistic analysis and information
gathered on site by our sources just after the incident indicate that
Jacquier was killed by 81 mm mortar shellfire coming from a Sunni rebel
neighbourhood....Analyses show quite accurately the source of the shot."

*See also EA Video Feature: A Tribute to Journalist Gilles
Jacquier<http://www.enduringamerica.com/home/2012/1/11/ea-video-feature-a-tribute-to-journalist-gilles-jacquier-kil.html>
*

0907 GMT: *Syria*. Dutch journalist Sander van Hoorn reports:

  Sander van Hoorn @*svhoorn* <https://twitter.com/svhoorn>

Also visited military hospital. They had 34 soldiers there that died
yesterday. Hospital (1200 beds) operating at full capacity
#*Syria*<https://twitter.com/search/%23Syria>
18 Jul 12 <https://twitter.com/svhoorn/statuses/225510767800225792>

   - ***Reply*<https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?in_reply_to=225510767800225792>
   - ***Retweet*<https://twitter.com/intent/retweet?tweet_id=225510767800225792>
   - 
***Favorite*<https://twitter.com/intent/favorite?tweet_id=225510767800225792>

 0856 GMT: *Sudan*. A witness said security forces broke up a protest in
central Khartoum<http://af.reuters.com/article/topNews/idAFJOE86H01420120718>on
Tuesday by dozens of people demanding the release of relatives jailed
for taking part in four weeks of anti-regime demonstrations.

The witness said the protesters tried to gather in front of the national
security headquarters: "Agents in civilian clothes beat with batons several
young men trying to gather. They arrested several people and dragged them
away."

Rights organisations, citing activists, say about 2000 people have been
detained since last month's protests challenging austerity measures and the
23-year rule of President Omar Hassan al-Bashir.

In another sign of dissent, about 60 journalists protested against a
security crackdown on independent newspapers, witnesses said. They shouted
"Freedom, Freedom" in front of the Sudanese Union of Journalists.

0841 GMT: *Syria*. A Turkish Foreign Ministry official says two Syrian
brigadier generals crossed the border
overnight<http://www.nowlebanon.com/NewsArticleDetails.aspx?ID=420047&MID=149&PID=2#ixzz20xYJNEki>,
among another 330 refugees.

The generals would be the 19th and 20th to defect since the start of the
uprising against the Assad regime in March 2011.

The Turkish official said that nearly 43,300 Syrian refugees were now
living in camps near the border.

0551 GMT: *Libya*. Election results for 80 of the 200
seats<http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-18880908>of the General
National Conference have been announced, with the National
Forces Alliance winning 39 of the place reserved for political parties.

The NFA is led by Mahmoud Jibril, who headed the National Transitional
Council during the uprising against the Qaddafi regime.

The Justice and Construction Party, linked to the Muslim Brotherhood, won
17 seats.

The remaining 120 places are reserved for independent candidates.

0533 GMT: *UAE*. The Gulf Center for Human Rights gives details on the
crackdown
on activists from Sunday to Tuesday <http://www.gc4hr.org/news/view/198>:

*

The arrests took place at the homes and places of business of the human
rights defenders the day after the Public Prosecutor made a statement
claiming that a conspiracy that threatened State security had been
discovered. Those arrested to date are active in calling for reform on
social media websites such as Twitter and include members of the Reform
organisation Islah. Among those arrested are the President of the Emirates
Centre for Studies and Information Dr. Mohamed Al-Mansoori, Director of the
Centre for the memorisation of the Koran Abdulrahman Al-Hadidi, writer
Rashid Al-Shamsi, administrative trainer Dr. Husain Al-Najjar, youth
activist Omran Al-Radhwan, activist Khaled Al-Shibah Al-Naimi; prominent
human rights lawyer Dr. Mohamed Al-Roken, his son Rashid and his brother in
law, Abdulla Al-Hajeri.

As part of the crackdown, security forces raided the homes of human rights
defenders Dr. Ibrahim Al-Yasi and Khalifa Al-Naimi and spent several hours
searching the properties before arresting both men. It is suspected that
more individuals have been arrested or are at risk of being arrested.

*

 0520 GMT: *Syria*. The United Nations Security Council will vote today on
a new resolution, but only the most committed UN disciple will argue that
this is where the most significant action is the 16-month crisis is taking
place.

There is little chance of agreement on the Western demand for a "Chapter 7"
resolution threatening non-military sanctions and raising the prospect of
military intervention, gien Russian opposition. Meanwhile, as the diplomats
fence, clashes in Damascus are likely to enter a fourth day.

EA's James Miller, following up his analysis "It's Not Quite The Battle for
Damascus...But It's Important", summarised last night:

*What we are seeing this week in Damascus is historic, but the regime is
not ready to fall yet. We expect more battles tomorrow, and we eventually
expect the regime military to recapture some of this territory. There is
likely only one reason why that has not happened already --- the regime is
worried that if it takes too many casualties, or too many soldiers defect,
then it could lose the momentum here. *

*President Assad will be careful. But if he's too careful, the fighting in
the capital could get out of hand, and his forces could continue to lose
territory elsewhere while the military's focus is foxed on how to gingerly
restore order in Syria's capital city.*

     38 Comments and 350
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