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US designs on Venezuela
Thursday 21 February 2013
by Paul Dobson
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The clear hand of imperialism was exposed this week when WikiLeaks
published over 40,000 secret documents showing US efforts to topple
Venezuela's Hugo Chavez.

The documents, dating from July 2004 to December 2011, are based on emails
taken from private US-based intelligence company Stratfor.

This firm claims to provide analy­sis for multinational corporations
looking to invest in Venezuela, and uses a number of local sources to
develop its reports.

However, its emails prove that its motives and objectives are far from
independent, and it is working as an intelligence and strategy agency for
those looking to develop suitable political conditions for economic
imperialism, exploitation and intervention in the country.

WikiLeaks describes Stratfor as "a company that fronts as an intelligence
publisher, but provides confidential intelligence services to large
corporations, such as Bhopal's Dow Chemical Co, Lockheed Martin, Northrop
Grumman, Raytheon and government agencies, including the US Department of
Homeland Security, the US Marines and the US Defence Intelligence Agency."

"The emails," WikiLeaks goes on to explain, "show Stratfor's web of
informers, pay-off structure, payment laundering techniques and
psychological methods."

The messages cover a range of issues but concentrate on the energy sector,
especially petrochemicals and oil, political change and the state of the
counter-revolutionary forces and the state of the military and armed forces.

They also touch on Venezuela's relations with Cuba, China, Russia, and
Iran, as well as providing bleak projections of the economy and future of
the financial sector.

Stratfor's emails are listed with the addresses of the sender and receiver,
as well as mentioning, among other things, the reliability of the source
from which they take the information.

One email, which exposes the political requisites for reliability,
according to Stratfor, uses a source described as a "Venezuelan economist
in Caracas" who is described as having "source reliability: B (solidly
anti-Chavez)."

The emails mention meetings with, and biographies of, various prominent
Venezuelan opposition leaders, such as Mayor of Caracas Antonio Ledezma,
Henrique Capriles and Leopoldo Lopez, as well as right-wing media tycoon
Rafael Poleo.

"I spoke to Rafael Poleo [a very prominent Venezuelan political analyst] a
couple of days ago," reports one source.

Such namings complete the link between anti-Chavez activities in Venezuela
and imperialist ambitions in the country.

The emails to and from Stratfor staff mention various political events
during the period, including the student protests of 2009-10, when
student-based opposition sectors manipulated for political ends the power
cuts bought about by the worst drought in 100 years which left the
hydro-based energy system completely dried up.

They also mention the protests that took place following following the
rejection of right-wing TV channel RCTV's application to renew its licence.
RCTV had its request turned down after it backed the 2002 coup d'etat and
publicly called for the assassination of President Chavez.

The emails make frequent reference to a Serbia-based right-wing policy
group called Canvas (Centre for Applied Non-Violent Action and Strategies).

This group was integral in the Nato-based actions that that overthrew the
government in Yugoslavia, and makes frequent comparisons between Venezuela
and Yugoslavia.

Canvas, providing the analysis for the economic and political forces of
imperialism, states in an email to Stratfor that "the RCTV protests were a
taster. More is to come, but Venezuela does not offer as good a networks as
those countries behind the [iron] curtain."

The emails also make clear their objective and political tendencies based
on past work by Canvas.

"Chavez is nothing compared to going against the old Soviet regimes."

There are numerous Word documents sent among the emails, many of which are
classed as "not for publication" and which detail the steps recommended to
enact a "revolution" which would see Chavez thrown out of power.

One is referred to as "a how-to guide for revolution." They go on to class
Venezuelan people as "retarded" and who "talk out of their ass." The
country is, according to Canvas, "absolutely a joke."

Canvas explains clearly its recommended strategy for toppling governments.

"When somebody asks us for help, as in Vene case, we usually ask them the
question 'and how would you do it.' That means that the first thing is to
create a situational analysis (the word doc I sent you) and after that
comes 'Mission Statement' (still left to be done) and then 'Operational
Concept,' which is the plan for campaign," Canvas explains to Stratfor.

"For this case we have three campaigns: unification of opposition, campaign
for September elections and parallel with that a 'get out and vote'
campaign.

"In NORMAL circumstances activists come to us and work in a workshop on
exactly this sort of a format. We only guide them. This is why plans end up
being so efficient later on, because the activist themselves created them
and are absolutely theirs, ie authentic."

"We only give them the tools to use," it adds.

Making reference to the opposition alliance of parties, Canvas further
states that "in Venezuela's case, because of the complete disaster that the
place is, because of suspicion between opposition groups and
disorganisation, we have to do the initial analysis. Whether they go on to
next steps really depends on them, in other words depends on whether they
will become aware that because of a lack of UNITY they can lose the race
before it has started.

"This year we are definitely ramping up activity in Venezuela."

Referring to the 2010 parliamentary elections, it says: "They have
elections in September and we are in close connection with activists from
there and people trying to help them (please keep this to yourself for now,
no publication). The first phase of our preparation is under way".

The emails leave the reader in little doubt about who is behind the
assistance for Venezuelan opposition activists.

"To answer your question, the US networks are definitely involved. I cannot
confirm for you if that specific gentleman is involved, but the usual
establishments are."

Other documents address security and crime, which Stratfor itself places
among a list of issues which the opposition should use to maximise its
electoral campaign in 2010.

It claims that Venezuela's National Anti-drugs Office "is heavily involved
in the kidnapping/extortion trade" and that murder rates "are much higher
than expected."

Other emails contain breakdowns of the exact status of the Venezuelan army,
air force and navy, including numbers, equipment and expertise.

"[We] will be sending along more info soon on the whole rundown of how
Chavez has revamped the military/security apparatus over the past several
years," states the sender.

"It's all scribbled on paper right now from my notes, but gotta say, I'm
quite impressed with ol' Hugo."

The fully detailed documents explain that "the army's reform has stretched
beyond the procurement of new assault and sniper rifles and now comprises
of a modernised doctrine too.

"New concepts include asymmetric warfare and reliance on the country's
communication and supply infrastructure as well as popular support to
resist a large scale US invasion."


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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