Also been number crunching. Since the Championship came into being, on average 
the Champions have attained 93 points, second 87 points and a play off place 74 
points. So all looking very good. I too am trying to find solace in 
statistics.... 

Sent from my Xperia by Sony smartphone

---- Simon McNally wrote ----

>Evening 
>Been trying to convince myself that this is going to be our year and have been 
>trying to come up with some numbers to support it!
>Points required : I think 90 points is a reasonable amount to be sure of 
>promotion ( although I can hear the announcers on sky saying “Leeds finish 
>third with a record haul for third place”).
>
>First half of the season : 48 points.
>
>This leaves 42 required for promotion - i reckon 11 wins and 9 draws.
>A win against Blackburn reduces it to 10 wins 9 draws.
>
>Comparison to first half : I think another way of looking at it is to compare 
>results in second half to first half. All the same results we finish on 96 
>points, 6 more then required. A win against Blackburn puts us +3 compared to 
>first half for a total of 99, 9 more than required. Hull tomorrow is important 
>(as they all are) , a win keeps us on pace for 99 whereas a draw puts us on 
>for 97. Forest on New Year’s Day is interesting- we drew at ER so a draw would 
>put us on pace for 99 still whereas a win puts us up by 2. 
>Also makes WBA home perhaps less key - anything better than loss represents 
>progress! 
>I think the first half of the season contained harder fixtures- Millwall away 
>plus WBA, Norwich, Blades, Derby away. 
>I’m already at the stage where I’m terrified just watching but trying to use 
>numbers to calm my nerves!
>To my mind the major factor is Bielsa. We have the best manager in the 
>division and if anyone can lead us through to glory it’s him!
>
>On and on!
>
>S
>
>PS Blackburn game reminded me so much of Hull game in 1990. Is that an omen?
>
>
>Sent from my iPhone
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>RIP Jimmy WAC-COE
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