from The Australian, at:
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/index.asp?URL=/national/4332599.htm

Rewrite the rules, bank chief urges
  By economics correspondent IAN HENDERSON

  26nov98

CURRENCIES of even the best-managed economies such as Australia would remain 
vulnerable to hedge-fund attack unless international financial system managers 
changed the rules, Reserve Bank governor Ian Macfarlane said last night.  

Challenging the orthodox view that totally free markets would invariably 
deliver correctly priced currencies, the central bank chief supported a slower 
pace of financial market liberalisation for emerging than for  
developed economies.

"Attempts by academic economists to persuade (the public) that the free market 
always, or nearly always, gives the correct equilibrium price are 
unconvincing," Mr Macfarlane declared.  

  The public's scepticism towards that view was well-placed, he added.

His remarks, to the Committee for Economic Development in Australia annual 
meeting dinner in Melbourne, followed high level meetings in Washington last 
month and among APEC leaders in Kuala Lumpur last week that failed to finalise 
a detailed response to the global financial and economic crisis.  

Countries with newly emerging markets should not be expected to embrace full 
deregulation and the virtually unfettered markets that had taken developed 
economies decades to introduce, Mr Macfarlane said.  

"What is good for us after a long period of evolution need not be good for 
another country at a much earlier stage of that evolution."  

He urged emerging market countries to shun restrictive controls on inward and 
outward capital movements.  

Warning that unchecked instability in the international financial system could 
undermine confidence in the system itself, Mr Macfarlane stepped up his 
previous call for tougher oversight of hedge funds, which he blamed for the 
slump in the value of the Australian dollar in June.  

He said hedge funds � able to borrow and spend extremely high levels of funds 
using a narrow capital base � had become "the privileged children of the 
international financial scene, being entitled to the   benefits of free markets 
without any of the responsibilities."  

The recent activities of one hedge fund � Long Term Capital Management � had so 
threatened the stability of the US financial system that the country's central 
bank was forced to organise a rescue mission, and to cut interest rates in a 
pre-emptive move to sustain economic growth.  

But Mr Macfarlane said the destabilising activities of overseas hedge funds had 
already wreaked havoc in local currency markets, where the  Australian dollar 
was driven to 12-year lows against the greenback in June and again in late 
August-early September.  

"Our reconstruction of the transactions that hedge funds undertook in Australia 
in June suggests that they could engage in almost infinite  leverage in their 
off-balance-sheet transactions if they so chose," Mr Macfarlane warned.  

With sophisticated economies � as well as the emerging economies � vulnerable 
to hedge fund attack, the Reserve Bank believes the arrangements in use under 
international agreements to supervise banks and their off-shoots need urgent 
upgrading.  

"The degree of instability, if it continues unchecked, could lead many 
participating countries to question the whole legitimacy of the system," Mr 
Macfarlane said.  

In the RBA's latest public contribution to the debate about solutions to the 
worldwide financial markets crisis, Mr Macfarlane sharply attacked the 
stringent conditions attached to the international bailout package for 
Indonesia's troubled economy.  


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