The global capitalist crisis (part VI)
A question of control

The following article was published in "The Guardian", newspaper
of the Communist Party of Australia in its issue of Wednesday,
December 9th, 1998. Contact address: 65 Campbell Street, Surry
Hills.
Sydney. 2010 Australia. Fax: (612) 9281 5795.
Email: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Webpage: http://www.peg.apc.org/~guardian
Subscription rates on request.
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By Anna Pha
A casual glance at recent headlines in the media could lead one
to think that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and
Australia's Prime Minister have abandoned their blind faith in
the financial markets and were considering some form of control
over capital movements. But nothing could be further from the
truth. They are just as obsessed with opening up financial
markets as ever. Because of the present crisis and the widespread
questioning of "the system" they are being forced to manoeuvre.
Their problem is how to maintain their objectives without
bringing down the capitalist system itself.

At the very most they are prepared to accept some temporary
measures to restrict the flight of capital during a crisis -- a
form of crisis management.

"The global financial system ... failed us", Howard told an
international conference of banking supervisors in Sydney on
October 22, 1998. He put forward three specific proposals.

The first called for the "monitoring and supervising [of] highly
leveraged short-term financial flows, off balance sheet
commitments and derivative transactions".

He did not call for controls or limits on the highly speculative
operations of banks and hedge funds, only less secrecy so that
the risks being taken are more widely known.

Crisis management

Howard's second recommendation was for "measures to better manage
future crises", and "to facilitate private sector involvement in
crisis management".

"These [measures] might include standfast arrangements to prevent
lenders from exiting economies in a destructive stampede ..."

These "standfast arrangements" during a crisis are the nearest he
comes to any form of control.

His third point is: "the need for the IMF to be able to provide
speedy and substantial support to appropriately qualified
countries caught in international contagion ...".

The latter two points are a de facto admission that the current
policy direction will result in further big crises.

Howard reassured his international banking audience: "We do not
want to constrain the natural workings of the market beyond what
is necessary to ensure its stable operation."

Ian Macfarlane, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, had
put similar propositions to the same conference the day before.

The calls for greater private sector involvement, greater
disclosure and some sort of "standfast" arrangements for crisis
management fall in behind the IMF's approach.

IMF Managing Director, Michel Camdessus, described the crisis as
"systemic", and if treated properly a "temporary setback".

Refusing to acknowledge the role of the hedge funds and financial
markets or the IMF's policies, he said that many of the problems
stemmed from "managed development" and "too close a link between
banks, corporations, and the state ... a global crisis requires a
global response. The architecture of the system needs to be
strengthened, but not by direct intervention [by government]."

More orderly deregulation

Instead of abandoning the deregulation of capital flows the IMF
is calling for a "more orderly liberalisation".

The IMF fears a setback to its objective of full deregulation and
the exclusion of governments.

This fear was expressed by Macfarlane: "One reaction to the
instability of the international system would be for countries to
unilaterally impose quite restrictive controls on inward and
outward capital movements... We have already seen this starting,
and it would be regrettable if it were to spread."

More powers to the IMF

The G7 (seven leading capitalist nations) meeting in November
decided on measures to strengthen the role of the IMF. It should
intervene in economies before a crisis hits.

If governments are prepared to accept the IMF's conditions then
their credit would be topped up by loans from G7 countries and
from the private sector.

This was the approach with Brazil. The IMF recently stepped in
with a US$30 billion package conditional on budget cuts and
austerity measures to prevent a crisis and promote the stability
of the international financial system.

The G7 countries agreed on a number of other measures to carry
out closer scrutiny of and "strengthen the international
financial system".

The IMF will charge more for loans and insist they be repaid
faster and will, claims the G7, be more open.

G7 governments are committed to opening markets further at the
same time as limiting the swings of boom and bust.

These are contradictory aims. The swings and the boom-bust cycle
are inherent to capitalism and the greater the power of financial
institutions to manipulate markets, the more likely the economies
and peoples of the world will be hit by more big crises.

The unfettered movements of capital and the financial speculation
on stock-exchanges and futures markets will make that elusive
stability and sustainability that capitalists yearn for but can
never achieve, even more impossible.

The G7 decisions have the aim of tightening the grip of the IMF,
the World Bank and private capital over national governments.
That is why Howard and others talk of involving private capital
directly in crisis management.

They are prepared to sacrifice the national sovereignty of
Australia and other countries to secure the universal control by
private capital.

Role of private sector

Right-wing US Republicans support this objective but with a
twist. Recognising that the IMF is discredited they have
suggested that the IMF should play a more placid role and hand
its bailout role over to the private banking sector.

The International Institute of Finance (IIF) (representing the
world's largest banks and investment houses) has called for the
creation of a Private Sector Advisory Council to give advice and
supervise the activities of the IMF.

The IMF responded to the IIF proposals with calls for steps "to
strengthen private sector involvement" in crisis management, for
some "power sharing arrangement".

The aim of the IIF is to transform the IMF so that the private
sector takes over the IMF's present functions of inspecting
economies and telling governments what to do.

The IMF on which governments are represented would end up with
some sort of token role.

This would give the big international banks, investment houses
and other speculators invaluable inside information and put them
in the front seat for speculative raids as they stood over
governments, took over industries or destroyed whole economies.

The TNCs are already heavily involved in driving the agenda of
the World Trade Organisation and IMF but they want total and
exclusive control.

If the IMF moves down the path of power sharing and eventual
takeover by the TNCs, and governments continue to liberalise
trade and their financial systems, the question of a direct
dictatorship by TNCs is well and truly on the agenda.

Sovereignty

Christopher Lingle writing in the "Australian Financial Review"
says:  "... the idea that nation-states can control capital
markets is obsolete. Many governments refuse to acknowledge that
their policies and the political culture supporting them are
outmoded...

"The retrograde action of attempting to impose control over
capital is the last refuge of scoundrels."

But controls are the only means by which financial and other
economic matters can be stabilised. Hence it is not surprising
that controls were central to the demands of those governments
that have defied the IMF's free market dictates. (See Part V of
this series, "Guardian", Dec 2, 1998)

Heresy it might be to the Camdessuses, Lingles and Macfarlanes
but for many millions of people it is a matter of survival.

Apart from the immediate economic consequences of handing over
controls to the "markets", there are serious ramifications for
the democratic rights of the people.

The election of governments is one of the few means by which
people are given any opportunity to express their will, to
determine the sort of society they live in.

As deregulation, privatisation and the surrender of governments
erode those democratic rights the power of monopoly capital
increases.

People's policies

The responses of most of the governments which have taken some
measures to protect their financial systems basically centre
around imposing limits on speculation and sudden shifts in
capital flows.

There are many desirable reforms that can be demanded to
alleviate some of the problems in the short term.

These involve the imposition of controls on foreign investment,
capital flows, interest rates, currency exchange rates and
currency trading and the outlawing of speculative trading.

There are other measures relating to accountability and reporting
which are necessary so all trading is on the books.

Hedge funds should be abolished, or failing that not allowed to
borrow such vast sums on relatively small amounts of capital.

The IMF, World Bank and WTO must come under the democratic
control of all governments, not just the most powerful. The whole
question of new approaches to international co-operation are
needed.

These types of measures need further study and development,
particularly in the light of today's technology and communication
systems and the nature of transnational corporations and their
global structures.

The aim of such measures is to give governments the power to
prevent or resolve crises when they occur, to curb the powers of
the big financial institutions and put limits on speculation.

While technological developments make globalisation a reality --
the question is how to make it serve the interests of people
instead of monopoly capital.

None of the above measures would prevent future crises occurring,
end the exploitation of workers, or remove the gross inequalities
between the rich and poor.

To bring the financial sector under democratic control the banks
and other financial institutions have to become publicly owned.

Private sector failed

The private sector has proved to be a dismal failure. It cannot
manage to provide people with the basics of clean drinking water,
electricity, fuel, housing, hospitals, or food.

Capitalism has failed to harness for the people the potentials
offered by technological change, by the incredible advances in
science, communications and transportation.

Even in the industrialised countries like Australia, New Zealand
and the US, it has failed to maintain the level of services that
were previously supplied by the public sector.

On a global scale it is destroying the environment and
threatening the future of humanity.

Capitalism is holding back progress, it cannot provide
environmentally sustainable development or meet the needs of the
people on a global scale.

The contradictions between the drive for profits and the needs of
people and the environment are becoming sharper and clearer.

This conflict of interest can only be resolved by the public
ownership and democratic running of industry and services,
including financial services, in the interests of the people.

That is socialism.

Then, big enterprises would become the servants, not masters, of
the people.
                       ******************
Next week: The crisis and issues for Marxists.



The Guardian  65 Campbell Street, Surry Hills. 2010
Australia.
Email: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Website:  http://www.peg.apc.org/~guardian

end
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