Australian Financial Review
http://www.afr.com.au/content/990921/news/news2.html
September 21, 1999

Spy report did a backflip

By Geoffrey Barker

A Defence intelligence assessment revealed by the Federal Opposition 
yesterday claimed in April that the Indonesian military provided a 
"moderating influence" in East Timor which would decrease the likelihood of 
widespread and serious conflict in the territory.

The assessment, dated April 30, contrasted sharply with a leaked March 4 
assessment from the Defence Intelligence Organisation which argued that the 
Indonesian military was protecting and in some cases co-operating with East 
Timor's militias.

Labor's foreign affairs spokesman, Mr Laurie Brereton, claimed last night 
that the Department of Foreign Affairs had pressured DIO to radically 
revise its assessments to "remove any conflict with the Howard Government's 
acceptance of Jakarta's assurances that the Indonesian military would 
maintain peace and order in East Timor".

Earlier, the Foreign Affairs Minister, Mr Alexander Downer, told 
Parliament: "There obviously are a variety of views in those intelligence 
assessments ... You do not just get a single stream of assessment all of 
the time, you get a lot of different views expressed over time."

Mr Downer attacked Mr Brereton for disclosing the DIO assessment during 
Question Time. "When you were in Government, you said that secondary 
disclosure should be a criminal offence," he said.

Mr Brereton said the April 30 assessment came two days after the Prime 
Minister, Mr John Howard, returned from a Bali meeting with the Indonesian 
President, Dr B.J. Habibie, saying there had been "a quantum shift" in the 
assertion of control of the military by the Indonesian Government and by 
the Indonesian military in East Timor.

The assessment, entitled "The Ingredients of Conflict", said the Indonesian 
military provided "a moderating influence on both sides by decreasing the 
likelihood of widespread and serious violence".

Coming after the Liquica massacre and a spate of militia killings, the 
assessment contrasted strongly with the prescient March 4 assessment which 
said violence was certain and that Dili would be a focus of it.

Mr Brereton said the April 30 assessment was "an extraordinary proposition 
completely at odds with all the evidence and DIO's own earlier analysis".

"This and other compromised assessments were presumably shared with 
countries such as the United States and no doubt provided valuable support 
for the Howard Government's campaign to discourage international pressure 
for peacekeepers in East Timor," he said.

Mr Downer told Parliament the role of some elements of the Indonesian 
military in working with the militias was a matter of great concern to 
Australia and other governments. "We have spoken about this publicly on 
many occasions with a degree of appropriate diplomatic caution," he said.

As Australian troops moved into Dili yesterday, Mr Howard defended 
Australia's engagement in East Timor, stressing that Australia had "certain 
values and ... certain attitudes on issues to defence ... a desire to stand 
up for what we think is right".

Reflecting a tough new stance towards Indonesia, he said: "Above all, it is 
right that the people who voted almost 80 per cent to have independence 
shouldn't have that snatched away from them."

Rejecting Indonesian claims that Australia had been too aggressive over 
East Timor, Mr Howard added: "We are doing what we should be doing in the 
region. We are behaving as Australia can behave and should behave in our 
region."

The Federal Opposition Leader, Mr Kim Beazley, said Labor was critical of 
the Government's diplomacy but fully supported the decision to deploy troops.

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