http://www.greenleft.org.au/back/2003/523/

The power of our 'alliance of the unwilling'

BY PIP HINMAN

US President George Bush's �alliance of the willing� to attack Iraq is
looking pretty thin: the governments of Britain's Tony Blair and John
Howard don't make up for Washington's general lack of allies. Now, with
Howard's popularity in decline and the polls showing just 6% of the
population would support a war without UN backing, even the prime
minister's rhetoric seems to be changing. He told the ABC's 7.30 Report 
on January 23 that he was in favour of the UN security council meeting 
before any decision was made about a war on Iraq.

Slowly, Howard is shifting in response to the widespread opposition to 
the war. The leaders of France and Germany have had to; there, public 
opinion has been strongly against this war for some time. Germany�s 
Chancellor Gerhardt Schroeder won an election on the strength of his 
anti-war stand. French President Jacques Chirac is also under pressure, 
and the two can see the advantages of using a deeply unpopular war to 
bolster their bid to lead the European Union.

But while Howard has yet to concede that public opinion is against him,
opposition leader Simon Crean is rushing to catch up with it. Crean told
naval forces about to leave Sydney on the HMAS Kanimbla on January 23 
that the troop deployment was premature. �I don't want to mince my 
words, because I don't believe that you should be going�, he said.

The Labor Party is rushing to catch up with the broad anti-war sentiment
that the Greens and Democrats recognised some time ago. But even these
parties have been slow to devote significant resources to developing 
this sentiment into a political movement that can stop Howard from going 
to war.

Many unions have passed anti-war motions and some, like the 
Construction, Forestry, Mining and Energy Union, are urging their 
members to support emergency actions around the war. The Australian 
Education Union (AEU) and the Victorian Trades and Labor Council are 
also urging unionists to get involved in the movement.

�The AEU will participate in and work to build the widest coalition of
anti-war forces ever seen in Australian society ...�, a recent AEU
conference resolution states. It goes on: �If the Howard government
commits Australia to an unjustified war, the AEU urges the people of
Australia not to support or co-operate with the war effort in any way.�
Victorian Trades Hall Council secretary Leigh Hubbard has urged the 
union movement to �act in solidarity� with community, church and peace 
groups in upcoming anti-war protest actions.

The socialist left faction of the NSW ALP has also recently declared its
�total and unequivocal opposition to a war on Iraq ... irrespective of
whether it is endorsed by the United Nations Security Council or not.� 
It has also called on its members to �assist in and devote significant
resources� to the anti-war movement.

This all helps build the pressure on Howard not to join the war. But 
it's coming late. The anti-war sentiment across Australia by far exceeds 
the level of anti-war organisation. Compared to the US, Britain and 
Europe � where peace coalitions regularly hold organising meetings of 
hundreds of activists, and �non-political� people organise rallies in 
towns where such things have never before been seen � the movement here 
is still too small and too thinly organised.

It is also too difficult for new people, and especially young people, to
get involved � other than to turn up to a demonstration. Local peace
groups and other networks are flourishing, that's true, but this needs 
to be on a much bigger and more intensive scale.

Bush and Howard can be stopped if the movement is able to attach a big
enough political cost to a decision to launch another unjust war. But 
what political cost can the movement impose?

The power in a sustained mass action campaign is not simply that large
numbers of people turn out in rallies and marches showing those who rule
that many people disagree with them. Bush and Howard are not democrats 
who only need to be shown the will of the people. The movement's real 
power lies in the fact that it can radicalise and empower large numbers 
of people and turn them into political actors. This is the process that
terrifies even the most powerful ruling class in history, because it
subverts the passivity that allows them to oppress and exploit.

So we need to build the next round of marches and rallies as big as
possible, but we also need to involve as many people as possible in
organising these and other anti-war actions.

We haven't a moment to lose. The anti-war movement overseas shows the
potential. Here people are asking, begging even, when is the next
demonstration, the next public meeting, the next vigil? We have a chance
to stop Howard, a chance we cannot squander. The only way we can is to 
use every available means to activate the alliance of the unwilling � 
the majority of Australian people.

Across Australia, this means extending existing anti-war coalitions and
activist groups and developing new ones, helping new activists � old or
young � find their political feet and arguing passionately � at every
forum we can � against this unjust war.

John Howard didn't look too comfortable as he waved off the young men 
and women onboard the HMAS Kanimbla. And he shouldn't be. Howard has 
ordered them to fight a war that the majority of Australians don't 
support. He knows that it won't be just the navy and army personnel 
who'll be put on the line, but his government as well if he doesn't win 
more support for this war.

As things stand, this looks increasingly unlikely. The 45,000-strong
protest in Melbourne last October and the 50,000 who took to the streets
across Australia in November were a good start. There's every indication
that protests will become even bigger. If more unions devote their
considerable resources to the anti-war movement, it will be greatly
strengthened.

The February 14-16 rallies across Australia, which will coincide with
protests taking place in the UK and the US, could well be the biggest
global anti-war demonstations ever. Political leaders � in government and
opposition � ignore them at their peril.

[Pip Hinman is a member of the national executive of the Democratic
Socialist Party and is active in the Sydney Walk Against the War
Coalition.]

----
 From Green Left Weekly, January 29, 2003.
Visit the Green Left Weekly home page @
http://www.GreenLeft.org.au/
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