I also had an idea some time ago somehow related to what you are
saying. I used to compile the kernel several times with different
configurations, so every time I compile it, I wanted to know how long
will it take beforehand. So I think about compiling a small program as
a reference, and then use that time to estimate the compile time of
the kernel files. But that sounds really complicated, because of the
different variables that are related to compilation time, such as
system load, memory usage, filesize and any other activities that the
makefile does. So, a more simple aproach would be compile the kernel
once, and then compile it again. The second time you will have
knowledge of how long it takes to compile the whole thing, and so
knowing which percentage you're compiling you could know how long will
it take. But again, as you say, every time the kernel change you will
have to modify this tool.
I don't know, it seems very hard to get it done. Maybe I haven't think
it that well.
Hope I haven' t disturbed your thread.

JARG.
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