: THE LIGHTHOUSE
"Enlightening Ideas for Public Policy..."
Vol. 8, Issue 23; June 5, 2006

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IN THIS WEEK'S ISSUE:
1. The High Price of Land-Use Planning
2. Beware of Oil Pundits
3. Iranian Nukes and U.S. Denial
4. "Bureaucracy vs. The Environment: What Should Be Done?" -- Michael Shaw,
Randy Simmons, and Carl Close to Address the Independent Policy Forum,
Oakland, Calif. (June 28, 2006)

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Welcome to THE LIGHTHOUSE, the weekly e-mail newsletter of the Independent
Institute, the non-politicized public-policy research organization. Edited
by Carl P. Close, THE LIGHTHOUSE provides you with updates of the
Institute's current research, publications, events and media programs, plus
commentary on current affairs.

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THE HIGH PRICE OF LAND-USE PLANNING

Urban-growth boundaries, purchases of regional parks and open spaces, and
various limits on building permits are supposed to make a region more
livable. In reality, these and similar land-use policies have created
artificial land shortages that have sent housing prices to extreme highs,
lengthened commute times, and hindered small businesses, according to
Independent Institute Research Fellow Randal O'Toole.

In the San Francisco Bay Area, for example, a median-income family "could
dedicated a quarter of their income on housing and pay off its mortgage on a
median-priced home in just 13 years," writes O'Toole in an op-ed for the SAN
FRANCISCO CHRONICLE. Over the years more land-use policies were implemented.
"By 1980, a family had to spend 40 percent of their income to pay off a home
mortgage in 30 years; today, it requires 50 percent."

O'Toole also notes that measures to protect the Bay Area's (marginal)
farmlands have led to the reduction of more productive farmland in the
Central Valley as more houses were built there for Bay Area workers. This
has forced many commuters to live farther away from their jobs and worsened
traffic congestion. By impeding home ownership, such policies have also
stifled small-business formation: "Most small businesses get their original
financing from a loan secured by the business owner's home," O'Toole writes.
"Barriers to home ownership reduce this mobility and help keep low-income
people poor."

See "The High Price of Land-Use Planning," by Randal O'Toole (SAN FRANCISCO
CHRONICLE, 5/22/06)
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=1732
SPANISH TRANSLATION:
"El alto precio de planificar el uso de la tierra"
http://www.elindependent.org/articulos/article.asp?id=1732

This op-ed is based on "The Planning Penalty: How Smart Growth Makes Housing
Unaffordable," by Randal O'Toole
http://www.independent.org/publications/policy_reports/detail.asp?type=full&id=20

For more on housing, see
http://www.independent.org/issues/search.asp?subID=73

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BEWARE OF OIL PUNDITS

Both magazine publisher Steve Forbes and NEW YORK TIMES columnist Thomas
Friedman recently misdiagnosed the recent increase in the price of oil,
according to Independent Institute Senior Fellow Alvaro Vargas Llosa.

Forbes argues that inflation is the main culprit, but Vargas Llosa argues
that pursuing an aggressive "anti-inflation" monetary policy in order to
reduce oil prices (and oil despots' profits) "is like draining the Caribbean
to get rid of all the sharks in the world." Friedman argues for policies to
curb oil demand because high oil prices undermine basic liberties by
empowering despots in oil-rich nations, but this analysis is an
overgeneralization, according to Vargas Llosa: Venezuela's Hugo Chavez began
to consolidate power when oil prices were low, and "Mexico's political
freedoms have expanded, not diminished, during the recent oil boom.

"Those who espouse clever government-led solutions to high oil prices should
bear in mind that new discoveries have outpaced consumption for a number of
years," writes Vargas Llosa, "but too much bureaucratic interference has
hampered supply."

Here's Vargas Llosa's analysis of the oil price increases: "The main factor
is a simple case of supply and demand. World demand has grown by 7 million
barrels per day since 2000, with almost a third of it coming from China. At
the same time, Iraq's oil production is well below prewar levels. If you add
the slowdown in the expansion of Russian production and a reduction in
Venezuela's output because of government incompetence, and the effect of
last year's hurricanes in the U.S., you will see why traders anticipate a
mismatch between demand and supply."

See "Beware of Oil Pundits," by Alvaro Vargas Llosa (5/31/06)
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=1740
SPANISH TRANSLATION:
"Dios nos libre de los expertos en petróleo"
http://www.elindependent.org/articulos/article.asp?id=1740
THE CHE GUEVARA MYTH AND THE FUTURE OF LIBERTY, by Alvaro Vargas Llosa
http://www.independent.org/store/book_detail.asp?bookID=61

LIBERTY FOR LATIN AMERICA: How to Undo Five-Hundred Years of State
Oppression, by Alvaro Vargas Llosa
http://www.independent.org/store/book_detail.asp?bookID=55

Center on Global Prosperity (Alvaro Vargas Llosa, director)
http://www.independent.org/research/cogp/

Spanish-language Blog:
El Independent: El Blog del Centro Para la Prosperidad Global de The
Independent Institute
http://independent.typepad.com

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IRANIAN NUKES AND U.S. DENIAL

Veiled U.S. threats against Iran run the risk of creating an anti-U.S.
backlash among Iran's young anti-theocratic population and exacerbating
anti-U.S. hostility in Iraq, according to Ivan Eland, director of the
Independent Institute's Center on Peace & Liberty.

"Any U.S. attack could spur Iran to encourage Shi'ite militias in Iraq to
directly attack U.S. forces," writes Eland in his latest op-ed. "Muqtada
al-Sadr, one of the most powerful Shi'ite militia leaders, has already
pledged to do this if the United States attacks Iran. This chain of events
would lead to the collapse of U.S. policy in Iraq -- already hanging by a
thread." Furthermore, warns Eland, "if the U.S. attacks Iran, we can expect
the Iranians to unleash the Shi'ite militias on U.S. forces in Iraq. In
addition, any U.S. attack could also spur Iran to let loose Hezbollah -- 
perhaps the most competent terrorist group in the world -- on U.S. targets."

Eland also suggests that U.S. intelligence has probably been unable to
identify the locations of all of Iran's nuclear sites, thus limiting the
effectiveness of a U.S. air strike. "In short the United States may have to
live with a nuclear Iran. Although that development is not good, it is not
as bad as it seems." The risk of U.S. retaliation would probably effectively
deter any Iranian nuclear saber-rattling.

See "Iranian Nukes: U.S. Denial of Reality," by Ivan Eland (6/5/06)
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=1742
SPANISH TRANSLATION:
"Las armas nucleares iraníes: Una negación de la realidad por parte de los
EE.UU."
http://www.elindependent.org/articulos/article.asp?id=1742

Also see "The United States May Have to Live with a Nuclear Iran," by Ivan
Eland (5/1/06)
http://www.independent.org/newsroom/article.asp?id=1713
SPANISH TRANSLATION:
"Los Estados Unidos pueden tener que convivir con un Irán nuclear"
http://www.elindependent.org/articulos/article.asp?id=1713

THE EMPIRE HAS NO CLOTHES: U.S. Foreign Policy Exposed, by Ivan Eland
http://www.independent.org/store/book_detail.asp?bookID=54

THE WAY OUT OF IRAQ: Decentralizing the Iraqi Government, by Ivan Eland
http://www.independent.org/store/policy_reports/detail.asp?id=16

Center on Peace & Liberty (Ivan Eland, director)
http://www.independent.org/research/copal/

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"BUREAUCRACY VS. THE ENVIRONEMENT: What Should Be Done?" -- Michael Shaw,
Randy Simmons, and Carl Close to Address the Independent Policy Forum,
Oakland, Calif. (June 28, 2006)
http://www.independent.org/events/detail.asp?eventID=119

Environmental quality has been a major public concern since the first Earth
Day in 1970, yet the maze of environmental regulations enacted since has
fostered huge government bureaucracies better known for waste and failure
than for innovation and success. What can these failures teach us about how
best to deal with the realities of political ecology? And how can
entrepreneurship be fostered to better protect endangered species, sensitive
habitats, and other environmental amenities?

Please join MICHAEL SHAW (Founder, Liberty Garden), RANDY SIMMONS (Utah
State University), and CARL CLOSE (co-editor, RE-THINKING GREEN:
Alternatives to Environmental Bureaucracy) for a far-reaching discussion
about innovative ways to improve environmental quality.

SPEAKERS:
 -- MICHAEL SHAW is the owner and proprietor of Liberty Garden, a native
plant oasis located near Santa Cruz, Calif., that he created using a program
of seedbank management.

 -- RANDY T. SIMMONS is professor of political science at Utah State
University, a senior fellow at PERC: The Property and Environment Research
Center, and author of two chapters on endangered-species protection in the
Independent Institute book, RE-THINKING GREEN.

 -- CARL P. CLOSE is academic affairs director at the Independent Institute
and co-editor (with Robert Higgs) of RE-THINKING GREEN: Alternatives to
Environmental Bureaucracy.

WHEN:
        Wednesday, June 28, 2006
        Reception and book signing: 6:30 p.m.
        Program: 7:00 - 8:30 p.m.

WHERE:
        The Independent Institute Conference Center
        100 Swan Way
        Oakland, CA 94621-1428
        For a map and directions, see
        http://www.independent.org/aboutus/map.asp

TICKETS: $15 per person ($10 for Independent Institute Members). Special
Offer: Admission and a copy of RE-THINKING GREEN: $35 ($30 for members).
Reserve tickets by calling (510) 632-1366 or ordering online at http://www.i
ndependent.org/events/detail.asp?eventID=119

Praise for RE-THINKING GREEN: Alternatives to Environmental Bureaucracy, ed.
by Robert Higgs and Carl P. Close:

"This superb book provides provocative, fresh insights into the debate over
appropriate public policy regarding the environment."
 --GARY LIBECAP, Professor of Economics and Law, University of Arizona

"RE-THINKING GREEN is a splendid book that is very adaptable for teaching.
The book is clearly written and interesting, covers the environmental topics
that concern us today, and features good science and economic logic."
 --ROGER MEINERS, Professor of Economics, University of Texas at Arlington

"Forces us to re-think the accomplishments of environmental policy and the
most effective strategies."
 --W. KIP VISCUSI, Professor of Law and Economics, Harvard University

"We would all benefit if the arguments in RE-THINKING GREEN are taken
seriously by environmentalists and the general public. "
 --DANIEL CHIROT, Professor of Sociology, University of Washington

For information about RE-THINKING GREEN, see
http://www.independent.org/publications/books/book_summary.asp?bookID=58

For more information about the event "Bureaucracy vs. The Environment: What
Should Be Done?," see
http://www.independent.org/events/detail.asp?eventID=119

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THE LIGHTHOUSE, edited by Carl P. Close, is made possible by the generous
contributions of supporters of the Independent Institute. If you enjoy THE
LIGHTHOUSE, please consider making a donation to the Independent Institute.
For details on the Independent Associate Membership program, see
http://www.independent.org/membership/ or contact us by phone at
510-632-1366, e-mail at [EMAIL PROTECTED], or snail mail to: The
Independent Institute, 100 Swan Way, Oakland, CA 94621-1428. All
contributions are tax-deductible. Thank you!

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For previous issues of THE LIGHTHOUSE, see
http://www.independent.org/publications/the_lighthouse/.

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Institute, see
http://www.independent.org/publications/.

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THE LIGHTHOUSE
ISSN 1526-173X
Copyright © 2006 The Independent Institute
100 Swan Way Oakland, CA 94621-1428
(510) 632-1366 phone
(510) 568-6040 fax




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