i've thought conceivably bush would try to do something, either invasion or
a threat of invasion to try to destablize iran from the inside--not that i'm
an expert on foreign policy or have a very detailed understanding of any of
this. my thought is perhaps he would want to commit the US to some kind of
action that would either foment a coup inside iran while he's still in
power, or sort of put his successor in a situation where it's better to try
to continue on with a strong move to unseat the revolutionary types in iran
or deal with the aftermath the way he's tried to deal with afghanistan and
iraq ("he put troops on the ground. it's going to be worse to pull them out
than to see this to its conclusion. i guess trying to establish a democracy
is better than the alternatives at this point.") bush might do this if he
believes that his successor wouldn't deal with iran well, and that a nuclear
iran would be a danger to the US. there are obvious constraints to that
too. it might seriously hurt the republican party. it might cause him to
get impeached and perhaps there would be a popular call to pull americans
out of iraq and a strong reaction in general to the bush approach to the war
on terrorism. perhaps the reaction would lead to an almost opposite
approach to dealing with iran and terrorism in general in the future.
all very speculative. dunno.
mike
----- Original Message -----
From: "Corey" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Yahoo" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, November 24, 2006 6:03 PM
Subject: [Libertarian] Expert: Bush can't attack Iran
> Expert: Bush can't attack Iran
>
>
> http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3331138,00.html
>
>
> Security expert tells forum: US president has no credibility, unable to
> initiate Iran attack
>
> 11.22.06
>
> Yaakov Lappin
>
>
> US President George Bush does not have sufficient credit to initiate a
> military strike on Iran (
> http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3284215,00.html ) , Giora Romm,
> senior researcher for the Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs,
> told a forum attended by members of the Foreign Ministry and delegates
> from the American Jewish community in Jerusalem Tuesday.
>
> Romm was a former Air Force pilot, Assistant Director of IDF operations,
> defense attache to Washington and a former head of the Jewish Agency. He
> recently returned from Washington, and described how senior American
> officials were completely preoccupied with the war in Iraq.
>
> "Iraq is sitting very heavily on them," Romm said, adding that the
> problems of the Iraq war have robbed President Bush of any credibility.
>
> Quoting a senior American official, Romm told the forum, "If Bush does
> something physical to Iran, he will be impeached."
>
> "Bush has no military credit. Don't delude yourself by thinking that Bush
> has a military option (regarding Iran). I don't think the average American
> is convinced that his country is in danger (from Iran), and isn't moved by
> dangers in the Middle East. After 3.5 years in Iraq, he won't be convinced
> by wishy washy intelligence," Romm said.
>
> He added that the same source, from the Democratic Party, said, "If there
> isn't a change in Iraq within six months, I'm told, people will take to
> the streets like in Vietnam."
>
> Speaking to Ynetnews, Romm said he "could see a situation where we would
> attack Iran and the United States won't, but I can't estimate that now."
>
> Romm added that the American-Israeli alliance has not been endangered
> following the Democratic upswing in the US elections.
>
>
> 'Aspects of Lebanon war disturbing'
>
> Romm launched into a detailed analysis of the Lebanon (
> http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3284170,00.html ) war, and said
> that "several operational aspects of the war disturbed me," citing a lack
> of clear political and military directives.
>
> "If you're setting out objectives, go through with then," Romm said,
> adding that a change in the land fighting approach was also needed.
>
> "If we know Hizbullah (
> http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3284023,00.html ) is planning to
> kidnap our soldiers, we should set out, publicly, on the front page, 20
> targets in Lebanon, and say 10 of them will be destroyed, no matter who is
> there, if the kidnapping takes place. And we should transmit this
> directive to the Lebanese government, with no secrecy," Romm said.
>
>
>
>
>
>
> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
>
>
> "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created
> equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable
> Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of
> Happiness...."
>
> ~ The Declaration of Independence - July 4th, 1776
>
>
>
>
>
>
> ---------------------------------
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>
> [Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
>
>
>
> ForumWebSiteAt http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Libertarian
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>
>
>
>
