> Recently, I checked again: there are Flash plugins, but not Shockwave
> ones!!
> 
> Have UNIX people been written off as too small a market segment or is 
> it just too hard to implement?
> 
I'll probably get creamed for this, but I think there's a more basic
issue. 

Judging from what I saw at the Flash MX unveiling, my guess is that
Macromedia is positioning Flash as their major Web development tool. I
doubt there will be any officially-announced policy, but I think
Director is going to be positioned more for CD-ROM and broadband network
development. Since broadband has been slower to catch on in the consumer
marketplace than a lot of people thought, I think broadband means,
largely, corporate and academic markets.

Shockwave can do a lot of things that Flash can't, so it's not going
away. However, the downloads (both the plug-in and the app) are a lot
bigger than Flash. Plus, Flash penetration is significantly higher than
Shockwave. Also, the new capabilities of Flash MX (including faster
processing) are moving it more into the low-medium range that used to be
Shockwave's territory.

This is really no more than informed speculation--I don't have any
inside information on this. I think the handwriting is on the wall,
though.

That doesn't mean give up Shockwave or Director. It just means that
adding Flash to your repertoire will be good for your career.

Cordially,

Kerry Thompson
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