On 15/02/2017 10:36 PM, Stephen Loosley wrote:
... this afternoon on the NBN website is a blog by Bill Morrow. He’s the
Chief Executive Officer of nbn. He does make some interesting points, ...
How interesting are the points he makes? How revealing are the points he tries to make?

What would a sceptic make of output from an overtly political organisation like nbn™, particularly when the headline ends with "The facts"? Spin?

Morrow asserts:
Rather than build for a demand that may materialise in 10 years, we are 
constructing a national network capable of continuous upgrading to meet market 
needs as and when they arise.  ...
Is that sensible or responsible?

We're building with materials that should serve for a century or more. Most of the cost is in labour and logistics, not the fibre. Overall, the cost of trenching or ducting 144-strand (or more) cable is not substantially greater than doing it with 4-strand. Yet nbn™ specifies the lowest capacity that will meet current demand (4-strand for FttN feeds, for example). Their architecture typically caters for a quadrupling of demand, if not less. In a market in which demand is increasing exponentially, that should do until next Wednesday (slight exaggeration there).

Again, Morrow raises the Conservative cost bogey. As I've pointed out, characteristics and prices of the technology are such that we could afford to write off the cost of a full-fibre network over its service life. We won't have to, but we could. Add to that the fact that interest rates are at historic lows - there's never been a better time to borrow funds. The reality is that cost is insignificant, notwithstanding Conservative nappy-fouling.

Finally, nbn™ deliberately sabotaged the network by changing its topology. It's now less reliable and more difficult to upgrade.
<http://david.boxall.id.au/201604/#Wreckingthefoundations>

--
David Boxall                    |  All that is required
                                |  for evil to prevail is
http://david.boxall.id.au       |  for good men to do nothing.
                                |     -- Edmund Burke (1729-1797)
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