[I held off writing about blockchain for quite a while.

[But, in Sep 2016, I wrote this:
http://www.rogerclarke.com/EC/BCD.html
>The blockchain movement has all the hallmarks of a short bubble. It is mystical. It is promoted by means of invocation of ideas in good standing that have very tenuous connections with the notion and the technology. The interests of many of the organisations that are supporting it would appear to be served by the movement (if it is what it says it is) being still-born.

[And then I discovered that Steve Wilson had got into a similar space a few weeks before I did:
https://theconversation.com/blockchain-really-only-does-one-thing-well-62668

[And, as is generally the case, when Bruce Schneier says it, it's read by more people, and makes a lot more sense the them. (Although it took even Bruce an extra couple of years, in order to achieve clarity).

[See Bruce's posts this week:
https://www.wired.com/story/theres-no-good-reason-to-trust-blockchain-technology/
https://www.schneier.com/crypto-gram/archives/2019/0215.html#cg19

> ... I have looked at many blockchain applications, and all of them could achieve the same security properties without using a blockchain -- of course, then they wouldn't have the cool name. ...
...
>To answer the question of whether the blockchain is needed, ask yourself: Does the blockchain change the system of trust in any meaningful way, or just shift it around? Does it just try to replace trust with verification? Does it strengthen existing trust relationships, or try to go against them? How can trust be abused in the new system, and is this better or worse than the potential abuses in the old system? And lastly: What would your system look like if you didn't use blockchain at all?
>
>If you ask yourself those questions, it's likely you'll choose solutions that don't use public blockchain. And that'll be a good thing -- especially when the hype dissipates.


--
Roger Clarke                            mailto:[email protected]
T: +61 2 6288 6916   http://www.xamax.com.au  http://www.rogerclarke.com

Xamax Consultancy Pty Ltd 78 Sidaway St, Chapman ACT 2611 AUSTRALIA
Visiting Professor in the Faculty of Law            University of N.S.W.
Visiting Professor in Computer Science    Australian National University
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