On Tue, 10 Feb 2004, Aaron wrote:

> Just for the curious could someone parphrase in english what this is all
> about?
>
> Thanks
> Aaron
>
> >http://www.ynet.co.il/articles/1,7340,L-2872838,00.html

This is a full translation, full of mother tongure interferance, though.


Illusions that are sold to you about Linux
-----------------------------------------

By Dr. Robert m. Saur
The appearance of Linux and other open source programs as serious
candidates in the market of computation is an important phenomena. The
challenge they pose to MS and other software manufacturers will lead to
greater competition, which will yield utilities and improvements to any
consumer, business or private.

Still, the process of the entrance of Linux and other open source programs
to the market is accompanied by strong dissonances, which only harm. Linux
vendors have recently been trying to present an utopian picture, as if
their merchandise is technologically perfect, and a sort of turn point in
the human history in general and in the software market in private.

It is an illusion. Open source programs are commercial programs in every
aspect. They are characterized by a different commercial model, but like
any software they have technical faults and merits. For competition to
evolve,  things must be presented as they are, and consumers must be
allowed to choose based on real data and information.

The year of Linux
------------------

Thus, for example, Mr Horev, manager of Oracle Israel, calls the year 2003
(in an article recently published in Yedioth Aharonot): "For the first
time since the entrance of Linux to the market over a decade ago, the system
can be viewed as a cheaper and better alternative for Windows", he says.
Mr Horev relates Linux's recent success to the commercial maturity this
system has achieved, and to the fact that governmental systems all around
the world have adopted it.

The enthusiasm of Mr Horev from Linux is
certainly understandable.
Oracle, which made a large bet on the future of Linux (along
with other software companies), has a clear interest in the matter as the
vendor. But enthusiasm from Linux is one thing, and statistical proofs
about the success of Linux is a totally different thing.

As a matter of fact, after examining the data, the pink picture looks
totally different. for example, let us examine the part of Linux in the
global servers market. According to the research company IDC, on 1995
Linux's share was about 0%. By 2000 it jumped to 28%. But what has
happened since then? Linux's share stayed more or less the same, and even
dropped a bit.

On the other hand, Windows's share in the global market of servers grew
steadily in the said period: from 18% on 1995 to 49% on 2001. From the
data it appears that Windows system does not lose height significantly. It
seems that Linux entered the market at the expense of UNIX, much more than
at the expense of Windows.

Is Linux a lot Cheaper?
---------------------
And what about the cost of Linux when compared to Windows? Is it not true
that Linux is cheaper by far? Surprisingly enough, it is not necessarily
so. the most reliable comparative cost review done so far (IDC's 2002
review) found out that the total cost of ownership of Windows is 11%-22%
lower than Linux systems, according to the type of task, and only in one
type Linux is 6% cheaper.

Is the adoption of Linux by governments indeed so frequent, and does this
signify technological superiority in any way? attempts to prefer open
source as a rule by means of legislation have faced strong resistance and
failed all over the world.In Israel, a law initiative on the subject  by
Kneset Member Nehama Ronen was overruled on this background. The state of
Massachusetts has gone back on its intention to switch all the information
systems to open source several days ago.

It must be kept in mind, that governmental authorities are not always good
at choosing the best companies in a competitional market, and they
sometimes drag after passing fashions. The clerks of the ministry of
finance, who have recently lead a public war against MS and for open
source, have decided in the end to buy MS programs for full prince and
continue to use them in the next years in all government ministries.

Leave Philosophy to Philosophers
--------------------------------

It appears that a militant rhetoric speaking is not a substitute to a thorough
examination of technological efficiency, which brought to the decision in
this case as well. And finally, one cannot stand being amused by the
philosophic spirit which accompanies the marketing efforts of Linux and
other open source programs today, which are described as the incarnation
of the freedom and democracy.

The vendors, such as IBM, Oracle and Sun, have not reached cycles of tens
of billions of dollars from selling licenses of freedom and democracy, but
from selling software licenses. Even when they supposedly sell cheap
Linux, they sell for a very high price completing products and expensive
computation services. so to the managers of the vending companies it shall
be said: Leave the philosophy to the philosophers, and you go out to the
market and sell programs in a simple, to the point, language. Good Luck.

------
The author is an economics lecturer in the Hebrew Uni in Jerusalem, the
the president of the Jerusalem institute for market research.

---------------------

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