nevermind it was my computer had to reboot ... sorry...
 

-Anita
Austin, Texas & Punta Gorda, FL
_Why  Knot IP 37_ 
(http://www.islandpacketphotos.com/search.asp?CatLevel=&Cat1_ID=&Cat2_ID=&Cat3_ID=&Cat4_ID=&SearchText=why+knot)
 _ Bahamas 2007  _ 
(http://whyknotip37.blogspot.com/) _Southwinds  Magazine Jan. 2008_ 
(http://www.southwindsmagazine.com/pdfs/southwindsjanuary2008.pdf)  Last page  

 
In a message dated 8/17/2009 11:06:15 A.M. Central Daylight Time,  
[email protected] writes:

Before we all get our knickers in a twist... Ana is also predicted by ALL  
the models to dissipate in the next 24-48 hours.. 
If anything it will more of a rain event for the Islands.. 
 
 
I am far more concerned about Bill... Claudette is already  onshore..  IF 
it were me, and I lived in the NC area.. I would far more  concerned about 
this dude.. IF we have a low develop CONUS it will draw Bill  ashore, rather 
than  the current predicted path offshore.  If you do  the models and you pay 
attenton to the steering winds, and you pay attention  to the weather CONUS 
it will serve you better than NOAA..  I know that  sounds a bit arrogant, 
but having been an avid hurricane groupie most of my  life.. its a trick I 
learned.. I would believe Dr Masters blog and I save _www.stormjunkie.com_ 
(http://www.stormjunkie.com/)  to disk .. from dr  masters blog, IF you have 
some spare time. Read the comments.. I have found  some awesome weather 
links.. such as the Cuban weather service and other  countries radars from the 
comment section. I also started following left420  who created stormjunkie dot 
com and this guy.. _http://www.wunderground.com/blog/StormW/show.html_ 
(http://www.wunderground.com/blog/StormW/show.html) 
While everyone does get thier info from NOAA... how they apply it can be  
different.. Dr Masters is the chair in meteorology at the U of Mich.. this is 
 what HE does for a living.. over the past 4 yrs that I have read his blog, 
I  have been impressed. He states clearly how he arrives at his  
conclusions.  One of the models, fyi, is based out of FSU.  in any  case.. have 
fun.. 
_www.wunderground.com_ (http://www.wunderground.com/)   then go to  either 
tropical to see the latest.. or wunderblogs to see what Dr M has to say  and 
remember read the comments.. good stuff hidden there.. 
'bella 
aboard sv something on the hard  for the nonce.. 
 



On Mon, Aug 17, 2009 at 11:43 AM, Stephen Petri <[email protected]_ 
(mailto:[email protected]) >  wrote:


FYI-3

 
____________________________________
 From: BoatUS Hurricane Resource Center  [mailto:[email protected]_ 
(mailto:[email protected]) ] 
Sent: Monday, August 17, 2009  8:16 AM
To: [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected]) 
Subject: BoatUS Storm  Advisory for Ana




Having problems viewing this  e-mail? Please _click here_ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/dm?id=912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07) .               
  Ana   
_
Current Forecast  Track_ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB831:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 
_
Spaghetti  Model_ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB832:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 
_
Current Wind Field  _ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB833:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 
 
 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB834:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 


 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB835:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 

 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB836:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 
_Current  Satellite_ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB834:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
  _Wind Speed  Probabilities _ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB835:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
  _NOAA 5-Day Forecast  _ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB836:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
    
Images  courtesy of NOAA and may load slower than the other  images, as 
they are coming from their server.  
_Track this storm now at  BoatUS.com/Hurricanes_ 
(http://smtp.boatus.net/t?r=3&c=7768&l=159&ctl=1EB837:912122654D277189EE0E02F150D04C07&;)
 
Public  Advisory
Last Updated: 8/17/2009  7:47:27 AM 
Tropical Depression ANA: Public  Advisory
Adv # 21A, 08/17/2009 12:00  UTC

TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA  INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS  TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL    AL022009
800 AM AST MON AUG 17 2009

...ANA  MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...COULD  DISSIPATE
TODAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH  REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE  U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN  ISLANDS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...
ANGUILLA...ST.  MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...SABA...ST.  EUSTATIUS...
GUADELOUPE...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND  THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO
ENGANO WESTWARD  TO CABO BEATA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS  THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE  WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36  HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR  AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE  INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR  PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER  SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM  INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE  UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY  YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 800  AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL  DEPRESSION ANA WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7  NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR ABOUT
70  MILES...115 KM...SOUTH OF ST. CROIX.

ANA IS  MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28 MPH...45  KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE  IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE  OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...ANA IS FORECAST TO
REACH  THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM  SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH  HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS  FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.   HOWEVER...ANA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL WAVE  LATER
TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL  PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

ANA IS  EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4  INCHES OVER
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO  RICO...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND  THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WITH ISOLATED  MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER MOUNTAINOUS  TERRAIN.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST  INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.7N 64.8W
MAXIMUM  SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT  MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 28  MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

THE  NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL  HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM  AST.


FORECASTER  FRANKLIN/CANGIALOSI



Created using HURRTRAK EM/Pro 2009  Version 20.12, PC Weather Products, 
Inc.  
 


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