On Thu, Sep 02, 2010 at 11:25:57PM -0400, Ron Rogers wrote:
> If it's relevant, Earl is passing further offshore of Cape Hatteras than
> originally predicted and he is down to a Class II with 110 mph winds on the
> East side. It *appears* that inside of Hatteras, we will see gale force
> winds vicinity of the longitude of Morehead City and tropical storm winds
> further West. Even the rain will be held East of Route 17.
> 
> Hopefully, you will enjoy further weakening and watch the jet stream to see
> if he is sucked back East.

Reports from several of my friends in Oriental, NC are that, as of three
hours ago, the winds were about half of the predicted strength (15-18
mph as opposed to the 35+.) So far, Earl has been quite kind to everyone
he's visited. :) My friends in St. John, USVIs described their sudden,
terrifying realization in the midst of the passage that they were out of
coffee!!! Fortunately, it was a false alarm, and thus bloodshed and loss
of life (or at least having to go ashore) were avoided. Darn it, I
*knew* those hurricane things were dangerous...

The New York area is down to a 21% cumulative probability for gale-force
winds; Boston is currently at 41% cumulative for gales, 7% for storm
force. It ain't over till the fat lady sings, but at this point, it just
looks like a two-reef sailin' breeze.



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